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Proof of The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record

lemmalem:synthetic-copy-joint-density-2026a
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Reason: Proof of lem:synthetic-copy-joint-density-2026a (P5.1).

Proof

Throughout, measurable for a real-valued map means measurable with respect to the Borel σ\sigma-algebra B(R)\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}) on the target, and Bd=B(Rd)\mathcal{B}_d=\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d) by claim 5 of The Borel Sigma-Algebra of a Euclidean Space as a Product, and Measurability of Projections, Sequentially Continuous Maps, and Open and Closed Sets. We write Gc\mathcal{G}_c for the σ\sigma-algebra generated by KcK^{c} and the VicV^{c}_i (iNi\in\mathbb{N}), and Uc\mathcal{U}_c for the one generated by the Uic,jU^{c,j}_i (1jJc1\le j\le J_c, iNi\in\mathbb{N}); thus GcV\mathcal{G}_c\subseteq\mathcal{V} and UcU\mathcal{U}_c\subseteq\mathcal{U}.

Preliminaries.

(Q1) Generator criterion and projections. If ϕ:(X,G)Y\phi:(X,\mathcal{G})\to Y is a map into a set carrying the σ\sigma-algebra generated by a family E\mathcal{E}, and ϕ1(E)G\phi^{-1}(E)\in\mathcal{G} for all EEE\in\mathcal{E}, then ϕ\phi is measurable: the sets AYA\subseteq Y with ϕ1(A)G\phi^{-1}(A)\in\mathcal{G} form a σ\sigma-algebra containing E\mathcal{E}, hence containing the generated σ\sigma-algebra by Intersections of Sigma-Algebras and Minimality of the Generated Sigma-Algebra. A product σ\sigma-algebra is generated by its measurable rectangles, so the coordinate projections of a product are measurable, and a map into a product is measurable as soon as the preimages of rectangles are measurable. In particular the maps (ω,θ,r)ω(\omega,\theta,r)\mapsto\omega, θ\mapsto\theta, r\mapsto r, (ω,θ)\mapsto(\omega,\theta), (θ,r)\mapsto(\theta,r) and (r,ω)\mapsto(r,\omega) on Ω\Omega^{\sharp} are measurable from F\mathcal{F}^{\sharp} to F\mathcal{F}, Bd\mathcal{B}_d, R\mathcal{R}, FBd\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{B}_d, BdR\mathcal{B}_d\otimes\mathcal{R} and RF\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{F} respectively: the preimage of a rectangle is in each case a set of the form A×B×CA\times B\times C' with AFA\in\mathcal{F}, BBdB\in\mathcal{B}_d, CRC'\in\mathcal{R}, which lies in F=(FBd)R\mathcal{F}^{\sharp}=(\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{B}_d)\otimes\mathcal{R} as the rectangle (A×B)×C(A\times B)\times C'. Compositions of measurable maps are measurable.

(Q2) Countable sums under the expectation. If Zn:Ω[0,]Z_n:\Omega\to[0,\infty] (nNn\in\mathbb{N}) are F\mathcal{F}-measurable, then nZn\sum_nZ_n (a pointwise least upper bound of the partial sums) is measurable and E[nZn]=nE[Zn]\mathbb{E}[\sum_nZ_n]=\sum_n\mathbb{E}[Z_n]: the partial sums increase to the sum, their expectations are the partial sums of the right side by Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral, and Monotone Convergence Theorem gives the identity. The same holds for integrals with respect to any measure.

(Q3) Countability. N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} is countable in the sense of Assembly of Measure Spaces: Restriction, Transport, One-Point Spaces, and Countable Disjoint Unions: for each nN0n\in\mathbb{N}_0 the set of yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} with (c,j)yc,j=n\sum_{(c,j)}y_{c,j}=n is finite, and listing these finite sets one after the other yields a sequence whose set of values is N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}. Sums of nonnegative terms over N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}, or over S\mathsf{S}, are least upper bounds of finite partial sums (Sum of a Nonnegative Function over an Arbitrary Set); they are unchanged by bijective reindexing, and by the preamble of Assembly of Measure Spaces: Restriction, Transport, One-Point Spaces, and Countable Disjoint Unions they agree with the sequential sums along any enumeration.

Step 1 (claim 1). Independence. Enumerate the driving family by a bijection with N\mathbb{N} (independence of a family is unaffected by reindexing, being a condition on finite subfamilies by Independence of Events and of Random Variables). The σ\sigma-algebras V\mathcal{V} and U\mathcal{U} are generated by disjoint subfamilies, so they are independent by Grouping Lemma for Independent Random Variables; likewise the family (Gc)c(\mathcal{G}_c)_c is independent, and so is (Uc)c(\mathcal{U}_c)_c.

The event Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0. It is the complement of the union of the countably many events {Uic,j=Uic,j}\{U^{c,j}_i=U^{c,j'}_{i'}\} ((j,i)(j,i)(j,i)\neq(j',i')) and {Uic,jIc,j}\{U^{c,j}_i\notin I_{c,j}\}, over all labels cc; each of these is in U\mathcal{U} (the first is the zero set of the measurable difference Uic,jUic,jU^{c,j}_i-U^{c,j'}_{i'}, by claim 2 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions, the second a preimage of a Borel set), so Ω0UU\Omega^{U}_0\in\mathcal{U}. For each label cc the event Ω0c\Omega^{c}_0 of Uniform Representation of the Rate-One Poisson Counting Path on a Bounded Interval: Distinct Points, Poisson Increments, Conditional Law Given the Cell Counts, and Point Insertion is contained in the complement of the union of those of these events that concern the label cc, so cΩ0cΩ0U\bigcap_c\Omega^{c}_0\subseteq\Omega^{U}_0; each Ω0c\Omega^{c}_0 has probability one by claim 1 of that lemma, hence so has their finite intersection (the complement is a finite union of null events, of measure at most the sum of their measures by Basic Properties of a Measure), and P(Ω0U)=1P(\Omega^{U}_0)=1.

The cell counts. Write Kc,=(Kc,1,,Kc,Jc)\mathsf{K}_{c,\cdot}=(\mathsf{K}_{c,1},\dots,\mathsf{K}_{c,J_c}), the cell-count vector of the label cc (the vector CC of Uniform Representation of the Rate-One Poisson Counting Path on a Bounded Interval: Distinct Points, Poisson Increments, Conditional Law Given the Cell Counts, and Point Insertion for that label). By claim 2 of that lemma applied to the label cc, each Kc,j\mathsf{K}_{c,j} is a random variable with values in N0\mathbb{N}_0, the counts Kc,1,,Kc,Jc\mathsf{K}_{c,1},\dots,\mathsf{K}_{c,J_c} are independent with Kc,j\mathsf{K}_{c,j} Poisson with parameter Ic,j|I_{c,j}|, and P(Kc,=yc,)=jpoiIc,j(yc,j)>0P(\mathsf{K}_{c,\cdot}=y_{c,\cdot})=\prod_{j}\mathrm{poi}_{|I_{c,j}|}(y_{c,j})>0 for every yc,N0Jcy_{c,\cdot}\in\mathbb{N}_0^{J_c}. Each Kc,j=iN1{iK~c}1{VicIc,j}\mathsf{K}_{c,j}=\sum_{i\in\mathbb{N}}\mathbf{1}\{i\le\widetilde{K}^{c}\}\mathbf{1}\{V^{c}_i\in I_{c,j}\} is the pointwise limit of its partial sums, which are Gc\mathcal{G}_c-measurable (K~c\widetilde{K}^{c} is a function of KcK^{c}), hence Kc,j\mathsf{K}_{c,j} is Gc\mathcal{G}_c-measurable by claim 5 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions, and a fortiori V\mathcal{V}-measurable. Its expectation is Ic,j|I_{c,j}| by claim (a) of Factorial Moments and Moments of Every Order of the Poisson Distribution with the order there equal to 11. For yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}, the event {K=y}\{\mathsf{K}=y\} is the intersection over cc of the events {Kc,=yc,}Gc\{\mathsf{K}_{c,\cdot}=y_{c,\cdot}\}\in\mathcal{G}_c; by the independence of (Gc)c(\mathcal{G}_c)_c, P(K=y)=cP(Kc,=yc,)=(c,j)LpoiIc,j(yc,j)>0.P(\mathsf{K}=y)=\prod_{c}P(\mathsf{K}_{c,\cdot}=y_{c,\cdot})=\prod_{(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}}\mathrm{poi}_{|I_{c,j}|}(y_{c,j})>0 . The events {K=y}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}, yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}, are pairwise disjoint with union Ω\Omega (as K\mathsf{K} takes values in N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}), and countably many by (Q3); countable additivity gives yP(K=y)=1\sum_yP(\mathsf{K}=y)=1.

Factorisation. Let Z:Ω[0,]Z:\Omega\to[0,\infty] be U\mathcal{U}-measurable. For nNn\in\mathbb{N} put Zn=min(Z,n)Z_n=\min(Z,n), a bounded U\mathcal{U}-measurable random variable: for a real aa, {Zn>a}={Z>a}U\{Z_n>a\}=\{Z>a\}\in\mathcal{U} if a<na<n and {Zn>a}=\{Z_n>a\}=\emptyset if ana\ge n, and the sets (a,)(a,\infty) generate the Borel σ\sigma-algebra (Borel Sigma-Algebra on the Real Line). The indicator 1{K=y}\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\} is V\mathcal{V}-measurable, so 1{K=y}\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\} and ZnZ_n are independent random variables by Grouping Lemma for Independent Random Variables (its final assertion, applied to the generating subfamilies of V\mathcal{V} and U\mathcal{U}), both with finite expectation; Expectation of a Product of Independent Random Variables gives E[1{K=y}Zn]=P(K=y)E[Zn]\mathbb{E}[\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}Z_n]=P(\mathsf{K}=y)\mathbb{E}[Z_n]. As nn\to\infty, ZnZ_n and 1{K=y}Zn\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}Z_n increase pointwise to ZZ and 1{K=y}Z\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}Z, and Monotone Convergence Theorem applied to both sides yields the identity in [0,][0,\infty].

Step 2 (claim 2). Deterministic-count clocks. Fix yy and cc. Off Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0 the path of P(y),c\mathsf{P}^{(y),c} is identically 00, a counting path. On Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0 it is uq=1n1{Wqu}u\mapsto\sum_{q=1}^{n}\mathbf{1}\{W_q\le u\}, where W1,,WnW_1,\dots,W_n (n=jyc,jn=\sum_jy_{c,j}) are the points Uic,jU^{c,j}_i with 1jJc1\le j\le J_c, 1iyc,j1\le i\le y_{c,j}, which are pairwise distinct and lie in (0,R](0,R]. We verify Counting Path and Its Jump Times: the value at 00 is 00 because every Wq>0W_q>0; the values are in N0\mathbb{N}_0; the path is nondecreasing because each summand is; for right-continuity at u0u\ge0, let δ>0\delta>0 be smaller than every WquW_q-u with Wq>uW_q>u (or δ=1\delta=1 if there is none), then every summand, hence the sum, is constant on [u,u+δ)[u,u+\delta), so the value at uu is the greatest lower bound over (u,)(u,\infty) of a nondecreasing path; for the unit-jump condition at t>0t>0, the least upper bound over [0,t)[0,t) is the number of Wq<tW_q<t, the value at tt is the number of WqtW_q\le t, and their difference is the number of WqW_q equal to tt, at most 11 by distinctness; at t=0t=0 the difference is 00=00-0=0. Each Pu(y),c\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}_u is a finite sum of products of indicators of members of U\mathcal{U} (claims 1 to 3 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions), hence U\mathcal{U}-measurable. On Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0 and for u[0,R]u\in[0,R] the defining sum is exactly the deterministic-count path puc,(yc,)p^{c,(y_{c,\cdot})}_u of Uniform Representation of the Rate-One Poisson Counting Path on a Bounded Interval: Distinct Points, Poisson Increments, Conditional Law Given the Cell Counts, and Point Insertion.

Insertion. For cc0c\neq c_0 the defining sums for yy and y+mec0,j0y+\mathsf{m}e_{c_0,j_0} coincide. For c=c0c=c_0, the sum for y+mec0,j0y+\mathsf{m}e_{c_0,j_0} contains the additional terms i=yc0,j0+1,,yc0,j0+mi=y_{c_0,j_0}+1,\dots,y_{c_0,j_0}+\mathsf{m} of the cell j0j_0, which gives the displayed identity; on Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0 the inserted points lie in Ic0,j0I_{c_0,j_0} and are distinct from each other and from all other points Uic0,jU^{c_0,j}_{i'} by the definition of Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0.

Copy clocks. For every ω\omega and uu, Pu,c(ω)=yN0L1{K(ω)=y}Pu(y),c(ω)\mathsf{P}^{\sharp,c}_u(\omega)=\sum_{y\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}}\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}(\omega)=y\}\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}_u(\omega), a countable sum with exactly one nonzero term, hence the pointwise limit of F\mathcal{F}-measurable partial sums along the enumeration of (Q3); so Pu,c\mathsf{P}^{\sharp,c}_u is F\mathcal{F}-measurable by claim 5 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions. Its path at ω\omega is the path of P(K(ω)),c\mathsf{P}^{(\mathsf{K}(\omega)),c} at ω\omega, a counting path.

Step 3 (claim 3). The triple (Ω,U,PU)(\Omega,\mathcal{U},P|_{\mathcal{U}}) is a probability space (PUP|_{\mathcal{U}} is countably additive on UF\mathcal{U}\subseteq\mathcal{F} with total mass 11), and by Step 2 each P(y),c\mathsf{P}^{(y),c} is a family of U\mathcal{U}-measurable random variables all of whose paths are counting paths, i.e. a stochastic process on this space with counting paths. Likewise P\mathsf{P}^{\sharp} on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P). All remaining data of The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood (N,l,m,A,B,T,β,l~,β~,B~,h,x0N,l,m,\mathcal{A},B,T,\beta,\tilde{l},\tilde\beta,\tilde{B},h,x_0) are those fixed here, so that lemma applies in both cases. Its claim 4 gives the measurability (with respect to RU\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{U}, respectively RF\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{F}), the bounds on R(k)\mathbf{R}^{(k)}, and the normalization for every ω\omega.

Fix ω\omega and put y=K(ω)y=\mathsf{K}(\omega). The clock families P(ω)\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega) and P(y)(ω)\mathsf{P}^{(y)}(\omega) are the same family of counting paths. For each rr, the recursion of Existence, Uniqueness, Causality, and Measurability of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution for the data (P(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega),a^r,x_0) is therefore the recursion for (P(y)(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{(y)}(\omega),a^r,x_0): the same stopping index, times, points, recursion path and conflict-freeness. The regularised path, the left limits, the intensity and the likelihood of The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood are defined pointwise in (r,ω)(r,\omega) from the recursion path alone, so Σˉt,r(ω)=Σˉt(y),r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_t(\omega)=\bar\Sigma^{(y),r}_t(\omega), ,ω=(y),ω\ell^{\sharp,\omega}=\ell^{(y),\omega}, and (r,ω)G(r,\omega)\in\mathsf{G}^{\sharp} if and only if (r,ω)G(y)(r,\omega)\in\mathsf{G}^{(y)}.

Step 4 (claim 4). Measurability of the density. The map (ω,θ,r)θc,jKc,j(ω)/N(\omega,\theta,r)\mapsto\theta_{c,j}-\mathsf{K}_{c,j}(\omega)/\sqrt{N} is F\mathcal{F}^{\sharp}-measurable for every (c,j)(c,j): θc,j\theta_{c,j} is the composition of the projection to θ\theta (Q1) with a coordinate projection of Rd\mathbb{R}^d (claim 1 of The Borel Sigma-Algebra of a Euclidean Space as a Product, and Measurability of Projections, Sequentially Continuous Maps, and Open and Closed Sets), Kc,j(ω)\mathsf{K}_{c,j}(\omega) is the composition of the projection to ω\omega with the random variable Kc,j\mathsf{K}_{c,j}, and differences and scalar multiples are measurable by claim 2 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions. Since φη\varphi_\eta is sequentially continuous on Rd\mathbb{R}^d by claim 1 of The Gaussian Smoothing Weight: Normalization, Derivatives, Exponential Tilting, Moments, and First-Order Remainder, the composition (ω,θ,r)φη(θK(ω)/N)(\omega,\theta,r)\mapsto\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N}) is measurable by Sequentially Continuous Functions of Measurable Euclidean Maps are Measurable (with E=RdE=\mathbb{R}^d). The map (ω,θ,r),ω(r)(\omega,\theta,r)\mapsto\ell^{\sharp,\omega}(r) is the composition of the projection (ω,θ,r)(r,ω)(\omega,\theta,r)\mapsto(r,\omega) of (Q1) with the RF\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{F}-measurable map of claim 3. The product q\mathsf{q}^{\sharp} is measurable by claim 3 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions, with values in [0,)[0,\infty).

The reference measure. PP is finite and λd\lambda_d is σ\sigma-finite, so PλdP\otimes\lambda_d exists by Existence and Uniqueness of the Product Measure and is σ\sigma-finite; ρ\rho is σ\sigma-finite (Step 5(b) below, which uses nothing from this step), so (Pλd)ρ(P\otimes\lambda_d)\otimes\rho exists and is σ\sigma-finite. By claim 3 of Image Measures, Measures with Densities, and Change of Variables (the density q\mathsf{q}^{\sharp} being finite-valued), μ\mu^{\sharp} is a measure on F\mathcal{F}^{\sharp} and ΩHdμ=ΩHqd((Pλd)ρ)\int_{\Omega^{\sharp}}H\,d\mu^{\sharp}=\int_{\Omega^{\sharp}}H\mathsf{q}^{\sharp}\,d((P\otimes\lambda_d)\otimes\rho) for every F\mathcal{F}^{\sharp}-measurable H:Ω[0,]H:\Omega^{\sharp}\to[0,\infty].

Total mass. By the Tonelli theorem on (Ω×Rd)×R(\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d)\times\mathbf{R}, μ(Ω)=Ω×Rd(Rφη(θK(ω)/N),ω(r)ρ(dr))d(Pλd)(ω,θ)=Ω×Rdφη(θK(ω)/N)d(Pλd)(ω,θ),\mu^{\sharp}(\Omega^{\sharp})=\int_{\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d}\Bigl(\int_{\mathbf{R}}\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N})\,\ell^{\sharp,\omega}(r)\,\rho(dr)\Bigr)d(P\otimes\lambda_d)(\omega,\theta)=\int_{\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d}\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N})\,d(P\otimes\lambda_d)(\omega,\theta), using R,ωdρ=1\int_{\mathbf{R}}\ell^{\sharp,\omega}\,d\rho=1 (claim 3) and the linearity of Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral for the constant factor. By Tonelli on Ω×Rd\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d, the last integral equals Ω(Rdφη(θK(ω)/N)λd(dθ))P(dω)=Ω1dP=1\int_{\Omega}\bigl(\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N})\,\lambda_d(d\theta)\bigr)P(d\omega)=\int_\Omega1\,dP=1 by claim 1 of The Gaussian Smoothing Weight: Normalization, Derivatives, Exponential Tilting, Moments, and First-Order Remainder with a=K(ω)/Na=\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N}. Hence μ\mu^{\sharp} is a probability measure. The measurability of Θ\Theta and D\mathsf{D} is (Q1).

Step 5 (claim 5). (a) The count mass function. S\mathsf{S} is the image of N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} under the injective map yy/Ny\mapsto y/\sqrt{N}, hence countable by (Q3). p\mathsf{p} takes values in [0,1][0,1] and is positive exactly on S\mathsf{S} (Step 1). Since p\mathsf{p} vanishes off S\mathsf{S}, every finite partial sum of p\mathsf{p} over a finite set FRdF\subseteq\mathbb{R}^d equals the partial sum over FSF\cap\mathsf{S}, so the two least upper bounds in Sum of a Nonnegative Function over an Arbitrary Set agree: xRdp(x)=xSp(x)=yP(K=y)=1\sum_{x\in\mathbb{R}^d}\mathsf{p}(x)=\sum_{x\in\mathsf{S}}\mathsf{p}(x)=\sum_{y}P(\mathsf{K}=y)=1 by (Q3) and Step 1; so p\mathsf{p} is a discrete probability mass function with support S\mathsf{S}. For xRdx\in\mathbb{R}^d, x2=(c,j)xc,j2((c,j)xc,j)2\lVert x\rVert^{2}=\sum_{(c,j)}x_{c,j}^{2}\le(\sum_{(c,j)}|x_{c,j}|)^{2}, so x(c,j)xc,j\lVert x\rVert\le\sum_{(c,j)}|x_{c,j}|, and for x=y/NSx=y/\sqrt{N}\in\mathsf{S} all coordinates are nonnegative. Hence, by (Q3) and (Q2), xSp(x)x1N(c,j)LyP(K=y)yc,j=1N(c,j)LE[y1{K=y}yc,j]=1N(c,j)LE[Kc,j]=1Ncj=1JcIc,j=l(l1)RN,\sum_{x\in\mathsf{S}}\mathsf{p}(x)\lVert x\rVert\le\frac{1}{\sqrt{N}}\sum_{(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}}\sum_{y}P(\mathsf{K}=y)\,y_{c,j}=\frac{1}{\sqrt{N}}\sum_{(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}}\mathbb{E}\Bigl[\sum_{y}\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}\,y_{c,j}\Bigr]=\frac{1}{\sqrt{N}}\sum_{(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}}\mathbb{E}[\mathsf{K}_{c,j}]=\frac{1}{\sqrt{N}}\sum_{c}\sum_{j=1}^{J_c}|I_{c,j}|=\frac{l(l-1)R}{\sqrt{N}}, since jIc,j=bJccb0c=R\sum_j|I_{c,j}|=b^{c}_{J_c}-b^{c}_0=R for each of the l(l1)l(l-1) labels.

(b) σ\sigma-finiteness of ρ\rho. By The Observation Record Space, R\mathbf{R} is the countable disjoint union of its cells, ρ(C)=1\rho(C_\emptyset)=1, and ρ(Ck,v)=λk(Dk(T))\rho(C_{k,v})=\lambda_k(D_k(T)) (the cell being the transport of the restriction of λk\lambda_k to Dk(T)D_k(T), and the measure of the disjoint union agreeing with the cell measures by claim 4(a) of Assembly of Measure Spaces: Restriction, Transport, One-Point Spaces, and Countable Disjoint Unions), where λk\lambda_k is the kk-fold product Lebesgue measure and Dk(T)D_k(T) the ordered time simplex, whose volume λk(Dk(T))\lambda_k(D_k(T)) is finite by that lemma.

(c) The kernel. Fix x=y/NSx=y/\sqrt{N}\in\mathsf{S}. The map (r,ω)(y),ω(r)(r,\omega)\mapsto\ell^{(y),\omega}(r) is RU\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{U}-measurable, hence RF\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{F}-measurable, with values in [0,(NB~)k][0,(N\tilde{B})^{k}] on R(k)×Ω\mathbf{R}^{(k)}\times\Omega (claim 3). By Tonelli on R×Ω\mathbf{R}\times\Omega with the σ\sigma-finite measures ρ\rho and PP, the map rf(x,r)=Ω(y),ω(r)P(dω)r\mapsto f(x,r)=\int_\Omega\ell^{(y),\omega}(r)\,P(d\omega) is R\mathcal{R}-measurable, and Rf(x,r)ρ(dr)=Ω(R(y),ω(r)ρ(dr))P(dω)=Ω1dP=1\int_{\mathbf{R}}f(x,r)\,\rho(dr)=\int_{\Omega}\Bigl(\int_{\mathbf{R}}\ell^{(y),\omega}(r)\,\rho(dr)\Bigr)P(d\omega)=\int_\Omega1\,dP=1 by claim 3; this is (K1). By the monotonicity of Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral, f(x,r)(NB~)k=M(r)f(x,r)\le(N\tilde{B})^{k}=M(r) for rR(k)r\in\mathbf{R}^{(k)}, and MM is R\mathcal{R}-measurable, each R(k)\mathbf{R}^{(k)} being a finite union of cells (claim 4(a) of Assembly of Measure Spaces: Restriction, Transport, One-Point Spaces, and Countable Disjoint Unions) and MM being constant on each; this is (K2), and ff is finite. Together with d1d\ge1, 0<η10<\eta\le1, (a) and (b), all hypotheses of Gaussian Smoothing of a Kernel-Weighted Discrete Family with Countable Support: Joint Density, van Trees Regularity, and the Symmetrised Directional Score Bound on (d,η,p,f)(d,\eta,\mathsf{p},f) hold; for moves of the displayed form, x+aq=(y+mqecq,jq)/NSx+a_q=(y+\mathsf{m}_qe_{c_q,j_q})/\sqrt{N}\in\mathsf{S}.

(d) The identity for gg. Fix (θ,r)(\theta,r). For every ω\omega, exactly one term of y1{K(ω)=y}φη(θy/N)(y),ω(r)\sum_{y}\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}(\omega)=y\}\varphi_\eta(\theta-y/\sqrt{N})\ell^{(y),\omega}(r) is nonzero, namely the one with y=K(ω)y=\mathsf{K}(\omega), and it equals φη(θK(ω)/N),ω(r)\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N})\ell^{\sharp,\omega}(r) by claim 3. For each yy the map ω(y),ω(r)\omega\mapsto\ell^{(y),\omega}(r) is U\mathcal{U}-measurable, being the section at rr of an RU\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{U}-measurable map (the sets ER×ΩE\subseteq\mathbf{R}\times\Omega whose section at rr lies in U\mathcal{U} form a σ\sigma-algebra containing the measurable rectangles, hence containing RU\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{U} by Intersections of Sigma-Algebras and Minimality of the Generated Sigma-Algebra, and the preimage of a Borel set under the section is the section of the preimage). Hence, by (Q2) and the factorisation of claim 1, E[φη(θK/N),(r)]=yφη(θy/N)E[1{K=y}(y),(r)]=yP(K=y)φη(θy/N)E[(y),(r)]=xSp(x)φη(θx)f(x,r)=g(θ,r),\mathbb{E}\bigl[\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}/\sqrt{N})\,\ell^{\sharp,\cdot}(r)\bigr]=\sum_{y}\varphi_\eta(\theta-y/\sqrt{N})\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[\mathbf{1}\{\mathsf{K}=y\}\ell^{(y),\cdot}(r)\bigr]=\sum_{y}P(\mathsf{K}=y)\,\varphi_\eta(\theta-y/\sqrt{N})\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[\ell^{(y),\cdot}(r)\bigr]=\sum_{x\in\mathsf{S}}\mathsf{p}(x)\varphi_\eta(\theta-x)f(x,r)=g(\theta,r), the last step being the reindexing x=y/Nx=y/\sqrt{N} of (Q3).

(e) The joint density. Let F:Rd×R[0,]F:\mathbb{R}^d\times\mathbf{R}\to[0,\infty] be BdR\mathcal{B}_d\otimes\mathcal{R}-measurable. Then F(Θ,D)=FπF(\Theta,\mathsf{D})=F\circ\pi with π(ω,θ,r)=(θ,r)\pi(\omega,\theta,r)=(\theta,r) is F\mathcal{F}^{\sharp}-measurable by (Q1), and by Step 4, ΩF(Θ,D)dμ=ΩF(θ,r)q(ω,θ,r)d((Pλd)ρ)\int_{\Omega^{\sharp}}F(\Theta,\mathsf{D})\,d\mu^{\sharp}=\int_{\Omega^{\sharp}}F(\theta,r)\mathsf{q}^{\sharp}(\omega,\theta,r)\,d((P\otimes\lambda_d)\otimes\rho). By Tonelli on (Ω×Rd)×R(\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d)\times\mathbf{R} this equals R(Ω×RdF(θ,r)q(ω,θ,r)d(Pλd)(ω,θ))ρ(dr)\int_{\mathbf{R}}\bigl(\int_{\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d}F(\theta,r)\mathsf{q}^{\sharp}(\omega,\theta,r)\,d(P\otimes\lambda_d)(\omega,\theta)\bigr)\rho(dr), and for fixed rr the inner integrand is FBd\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{B}_d-measurable (section clause), so by Tonelli on Ω×Rd\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^d, integrating first over ω\omega, the inner integral equals RdF(θ,r)(Ωφη(θK(ω)/N),ω(r)P(dω))λd(dθ)=RdF(θ,r)g(θ,r)λd(dθ)\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}F(\theta,r)\Bigl(\int_{\Omega}\varphi_\eta(\theta-\mathsf{K}(\omega)/\sqrt{N})\,\ell^{\sharp,\omega}(r)\,P(d\omega)\Bigr)\lambda_d(d\theta)=\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}F(\theta,r)\,g(\theta,r)\,\lambda_d(d\theta) by (d) (for fixed θ\theta the constant F(θ,r)F(\theta,r) comes out of the ω\omega-integral by Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral, or trivially if F(θ,r)=F(\theta,r)=\infty and both sides are read in [0,][0,\infty] with 0=00\cdot\infty=0). Finally, gg is B(Rd)R\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^d)\otimes\mathcal{R}-measurable by claim 1 of Gaussian Smoothing of a Kernel-Weighted Discrete Family with Countable Support: Joint Density, van Trees Regularity, and the Symmetrised Directional Score Bound, so FgFg is measurable and Tonelli on Rd×R\mathbb{R}^d\times\mathbf{R} turns the iterated integral RRdFgdλddρ\int_{\mathbf{R}}\int_{\mathbb{R}^d}Fg\,d\lambda_d\,d\rho into Rd×RFgd(λdρ)\int_{\mathbb{R}^d\times\mathbf{R}}Fg\,d(\lambda_d\otimes\rho). \blacksquare

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