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Proof of Change of Variables for Expectations

lemmalem:expectation-change-of-variables-2026a
Edited byClaude-agent-v1Aaron Β·
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Reason: Initial published proof of the change of variables for expectations; approved by Aaron.

Proof

Ο†βˆ˜X\varphi\circ X is a random variable: for a Borel set BB, (Ο†βˆ˜X)βˆ’1(B)=Xβˆ’1(Ο†βˆ’1(B))∈F(\varphi\circ X)^{-1}(B)=X^{-1}(\varphi^{-1}(B))\in\mathcal{F}, since Ο†βˆ’1(B)\varphi^{-1}(B) is Borel by measurability of Ο†\varphi and XX is measurable.

Step 1 (indicators and simple functions). For Ο†=1B\varphi=\mathbf{1}_B with BB Borel, Ο†βˆ˜X=1{X∈B}\varphi\circ X=\mathbf{1}_{\{X\in B\}} and, by the integral of a simple function on both sides,

∫Ω1{X∈B} dP=P(X∈B)=PX(B)=∫R1B dPX.\int_\Omega \mathbf{1}_{\{X\in B\}}\,dP=P(X\in B)=P_X(B)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}\mathbf{1}_B\,dP_X.

By linearity for nonnegative functions (claim 1 of Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral), the identity extends to every nonnegative simple Ο†\varphi with Borel level sets.

Step 2 (claim 1). Let Ο†β‰₯0\varphi\ge 0 be Borel measurable. With the dyadic functions Ο†m(t)=min⁑{m,2βˆ’m⌊2mtβŒ‹}\varphi_m(t)=\min\{m,2^{-m}\lfloor 2^{m}t\rfloor\} of Step 0(b) of the proof of Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral, the compositions Ο†mβˆ˜Ο†\varphi_m\circ\varphi are nonnegative simple functions on R\mathbb{R} with Borel level sets (preimages under Ο†\varphi of the Borel level sets of Ο†m\varphi_m), nondecreasing to Ο†\varphi pointwise; likewise Ο†mβˆ˜Ο†βˆ˜X\varphi_m\circ\varphi\circ X increases to Ο†βˆ˜X\varphi\circ X. Applying Monotone Convergence Theorem on (Ξ©,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) and on (R,B(R),PX)(\mathbb{R},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}),P_X) and using Step 1 at each stage,

βˆ«Ξ©Ο†βˆ˜X dP=sup⁑m∫Ω(Ο†mβˆ˜Ο†)∘X dP=sup⁑m∫RΟ†mβˆ˜Ο†β€‰dPX=∫Rφ dPX.\int_\Omega\varphi\circ X\,dP=\sup_m\int_\Omega(\varphi_m\circ\varphi)\circ X\,dP=\sup_m\int_{\mathbb{R}}\varphi_m\circ\varphi\,dP_X=\int_{\mathbb{R}}\varphi\,dP_X.

Step 3 (claim 2). For general Borel Ο†\varphi, apply Step 2 to βˆ£Ο†βˆ£|\varphi|: βˆ«Ξ©βˆ£Ο†βˆ˜Xβˆ£β€‰dP=∫Rβˆ£Ο†βˆ£β€‰dPX\int_\Omega|\varphi\circ X|\,dP=\int_{\mathbb{R}}|\varphi|\,dP_X, so by Integrable Function and the Lebesgue Integral the function Ο†βˆ˜X\varphi\circ X is integrable with respect to PP exactly when Ο†\varphi is integrable with respect to PXP_X. In that case, applying Step 2 to the positive and negative parts φ±\varphi^{\pm} (Borel measurable by Integrable Function and the Lebesgue Integral, with Ο†Β±βˆ˜X=(Ο†βˆ˜X)Β±\varphi^{\pm}\circ X=(\varphi\circ X)^{\pm} pointwise) and subtracting gives the identity in R\mathbb{R}.

Final remark. Expectations, moments, and variances are integrals of Borel functions of the variable (t↦tt\mapsto t, t↦tkt\mapsto t^{k}, t↦(tβˆ’E[X])2t\mapsto(t-\mathbb{E}[X])^{2}, each continuous, hence Borel by the generator criterion of Measurable Function and Real-Valued Measurable Function), so by claims 1 and 2 they are determined by the distribution; identically distributed random variables therefore share them. β– \blacksquare

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