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Proof of One-Agent-Move Ratio of the Record Density Kernel

propositionprop:one-agent-move-score-2026a
Edited byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Initial publication of the proof of the one-agent-move likelihood ratio (moved driving system, positivity, exact ratio, measurability).

Proof

Claim 1. The moved initial states are random variables with values in {1,,l}\{1,\dots,l\}: for ii0i\neq i_0 this is condition 1 of N-Agent Driving System for the original system, and for every state δ\delta the event where ς0i0=δ\varsigma'^{i_0}_0=\delta is a finite union of intersections of events of σ(ς0i0)\sigma(\varsigma^{i_0}_0) (it equals the event ς0i0=δ\varsigma^{i_0}_0=\delta with the event ς0i0=σ\varsigma^{i_0}_0=\sigma^* removed or, for δ=γ\delta=\gamma^*, adjoined), so ς0i0\varsigma'^{i_0}_0 is measurable and σ(ς01,,ς0N)σ(ς01,,ς0N)\sigma(\varsigma'^1_0,\dots,\varsigma'^N_0)\subseteq\sigma(\varsigma^1_0,\dots,\varsigma^N_0). Conditions 2 and 3 of N-Agent Driving System concern only the clocks, which are unchanged. For condition 4: by Sigma-Algebra Generated by Random Variables and Independence of Sigma-Algebras, independence of the finite family consisting of σ(ς01,,ς0N)\sigma(\varsigma'^1_0,\dots,\varsigma'^N_0) and the clock σ\sigma-algebras is verified through the product rule for finitely many chosen events, and every event chosen from σ(ς01,,ς0N)\sigma(\varsigma'^1_0,\dots,\varsigma'^N_0) is an event of σ(ς01,,ς0N)\sigma(\varsigma^1_0,\dots,\varsigma^N_0), for which the product rule holds by condition 4 for the original system. The same inclusion gives TT\mathcal{T}'\subseteq\mathcal{T}: the generators of T\mathcal{T}' are events of σ(ς01,,ς0N)\sigma(\varsigma^1_0,\dots,\varsigma^N_0) and transition-clock events, all of which lie in T\mathcal{T}. A solution for hh on the moved system exists by claim (ii) of Existence, Uniqueness, and Regularity for the Controlled N-Agent Dynamics, and Measurable Reconstruction of the Controlled N-Agent Dynamics from Observation Records provides reconstruction data for the moved system and hh, so the setting of Conditional Density of the Observation Record Given the Initial States and Transition Clocks is fully instantiated for the moved system.

Claim 2. For (r,ω)G(r,\omega)\in G with r=(k,t,v)r=(k,t,v), the kernel value f(r,ω)f(r,\omega) is the product of the kk real factors Nb~vj(Σtjr(ω))N\tilde{b}^{v_j}(\Sigma^r_{t_j-}(\omega)) with the factor exp(N[0,T]b~tot(Σur(ω))du)\exp(-N\int_{[0,T]}\tilde{b}^{\mathrm{tot}}(\Sigma^r_u(\omega))du). The integrand is bounded by l~B~\tilde{l}\tilde{B}, so the integral is a real number and the exponential factor is a strictly positive real, the real exponential function being strictly positive. Each remaining factor is nonnegative, since observation rates are nonnegative by Observation-Rate Family and the coordinates of a member of the probability simplex are nonnegative, so the aggregate observation drift has nonnegative components. A finite product of nonnegative reals and one strictly positive real is strictly positive if and only if every factor is nonzero. This proves claim 2 for ff; the argument applies verbatim to ff' on GG'.

Claim 3. Let ωΩGΩG\omega\in\Omega_G\cap\Omega'_G and let r=(k,t,v)r=(k,t,v) satisfy f(r,ω)>0f(r,\omega)>0. Since R×ΩGG\mathbf{R}\times\Omega_G\subseteq G and R×ΩGG\mathbf{R}\times\Omega'_G\subseteq G', both (r,ω)G(r,\omega)\in G and (r,ω)G(r,\omega)\in G', so f(r,ω)f(r,\omega) and f(r,ω)f'(r,\omega) are both given by their product-exponential expressions. By claim 2, every factor b~vj(Σtjr(ω))\tilde{b}^{v_j}(\Sigma^r_{t_j-}(\omega)) is strictly positive, so the quotient of the two finite products is the product of the quotients of corresponding factors, the factors NN cancelling. For the exponential factors: both integrals are finite; the quotient of values of the exponential function is the exponential of the difference of the arguments, by the functional property of The Real Exponential Function; and the difference of the two integrals is the integral of the difference of the integrands by linearity of the integral, both integrands being bounded and measurable on [0,T][0,T] as in the definition of the kernels. Combining gives the asserted identity.

Claim 4. By claim 2 of Conditional Density of the Observation Record Given the Initial States and Transition Clocks, ff is measurable with respect to RT\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{T} and ff' with respect to RT\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{T}'; since TT\mathcal{T}'\subseteq\mathcal{T} by claim 1, and the product σ\sigma-algebra is monotone in its factors (its generators are), both are RT\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{T}-measurable. The set where f>0f>0 lies in RT\mathcal{R}\otimes\mathcal{T}. On this set the quotient is the composition of the measurable pair (f,f)(f',f) with the map (u,w)u/w(u,w)\mapsto u/w, which is sequentially continuous on [0,)×(0,)[0,\infty)\times(0,\infty), so the restriction is measurable by Sequentially Continuous Functions of Measurable Euclidean Maps are Measurable; the map of claim 4 agrees with this restriction on the set where f>0f>0 and with the constant 00 on its complement, a two-member measurable partition, so it is measurable.

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