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Proof of Localized Filtering Lower Bound from a van Trees Certificate

lemmalem:filtering-certificate-bound-2026a
Edited byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: First version. Proof of the certified filtering bound: the indicator is taken inside the conditional expectation, the optimal estimator is expressed through the data map, and the van Trees bound is combined with the mean-square triangle inequality.

Proof

Claim 1. The indicator 1H\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}} is G\mathcal{G}-measurable, because HG\mathcal{H}\in\mathcal{G}, and bounded by 11. By claim 1 of the conditional expectation properties lemma, applied finitely many times, cMc\cdot M is a conditional expectation of cXc\cdot X given G\mathcal{G}. By claim 4 of the same lemma, applied with Z=1HZ=\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}, the random variables 1H(cX)\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot X) and 1H(cM)\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot M) are square-integrable and 1H(cM)\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot M) is a conditional expectation of 1H(cX)\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot X) given G\mathcal{G}.

Since 1H2=1H\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}^{2}=\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}} and cXcM=cεc\cdot X-c\cdot M=c\cdot\varepsilon at every point of Ω\Omega,

1Hγ=1lδ=1lcγcδεγεδ=1H(cε)2=(1H(cX)1H(cM))2\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}\sum_{\delta=1}^{l}c^{\gamma}c^{\delta}\,\varepsilon^{\gamma}\varepsilon^{\delta}=\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}\,(c\cdot\varepsilon)^{2}=\bigl(\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot X)-\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot M)\bigr)^{2}

at every point of Ω\Omega. Each of the finitely many products 1Hεγεδ\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}\varepsilon^{\gamma}\varepsilon^{\delta} is integrable: each εγ\varepsilon^{\gamma} is square-integrable, so each product εγεδ\varepsilon^{\gamma}\varepsilon^{\delta} is integrable by the closure properties of the square-integrability definition, and multiplying by the bounded 1H\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}} preserves integrability, by the monotonicity of the integral applied to the pointwise bound 1Hεγεδεγεδ|\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}\varepsilon^{\gamma}\varepsilon^{\delta}|\le|\varepsilon^{\gamma}\varepsilon^{\delta}|. Consequently all three expressions have the same expectation; the equality of claim 1 is the equality of the expectations of the first two, obtained from the linearity of the integral.

Claim 2. Write T=1H(cX)T=\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot X) and T^=1H(cM)\hat{T}=\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot M), so that by claim 1

E[(TT^)2]=E[1H(cε)2].\mathbb{E}\bigl[(T-\hat{T})^{2}\bigr]=\mathbb{E}\bigl[\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot\varepsilon)^{2}\bigr].

The random variable T^\hat{T} is G\mathcal{G}-measurable and square-integrable, so by (C1) there is a measurable g:YRg:\mathsf{Y}\to\mathbb{R} with g(D)g(\mathsf{D}) square-integrable and T^=g(D)\hat{T}=g(\mathsf{D}) almost surely. Then (TT^)2=(Tg(D))2(T-\hat{T})^{2}=(T-g(\mathsf{D}))^{2} almost surely, and almost surely equal integrable random variables have equal expectations, so

Tg(D)22=E[(Tg(D))2]=E[1H(cε)2].\lVert T-g(\mathsf{D})\rVert_{2}^{2}=\mathbb{E}\bigl[(T-g(\mathsf{D}))^{2}\bigr]=\mathbb{E}\bigl[\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot\varepsilon)^{2}\bigr].

By (C2) the hypotheses of Directional Form of the Multivariate van Trees Inequality hold for the certificate data, with ll there replaced by dd, the data space (Y,Y)(\mathsf{Y},\mathcal{Y}) with the measure ϱ0\varrho_{0}, the random variables Θ1,,Θd\Theta_{1},\dots,\Theta_{d}, the map D\mathsf{D}, the information matrix I\mathcal{I}, and the vectors α\alpha and zz in place of aa and zz there. Applying that corollary to the function gg gives

g(D)αΘ22=E[(g(D)αΘ)2]  (αz)2z(Iz)  ϰ,\bigl\lVert g(\mathsf{D})-\alpha\cdot\Theta\bigr\rVert_{2}^{2}=\mathbb{E}\bigl[(g(\mathsf{D})-\alpha\cdot\Theta)^{2}\bigr]\ \ge\ \frac{(\alpha\cdot z)^{2}}{z\cdot(\mathcal{I}z)}\ \ge\ \varkappa,

the last step by (C4), division by z(Iz)z\cdot(\mathcal{I}z) being legitimate because z(Iz)>0z\cdot(\mathcal{I}z)>0 by claim 1 of Rank-One Lower Bound for the Inverse of a Positive Definite Matrix. Since the mean-square norm is nonnegative, g(D)αΘ2ϰ\lVert g(\mathsf{D})-\alpha\cdot\Theta\rVert_{2}\ge\sqrt{\varkappa}.

By claim 2 of the triangle inequality for the mean-square norm, applied to the decomposition g(D)αΘ=(g(D)T)+(TαΘ)g(\mathsf{D})-\alpha\cdot\Theta=\bigl(g(\mathsf{D})-T\bigr)+\bigl(T-\alpha\cdot\Theta\bigr), and by (C3),

ϰ  g(D)αΘ2  g(D)T2+TαΘ2  Tg(D)2+ϵ,\sqrt{\varkappa}\ \le\ \bigl\lVert g(\mathsf{D})-\alpha\cdot\Theta\bigr\rVert_{2}\ \le\ \bigl\lVert g(\mathsf{D})-T\bigr\rVert_{2}+\bigl\lVert T-\alpha\cdot\Theta\bigr\rVert_{2}\ \le\ \bigl\lVert T-g(\mathsf{D})\bigr\rVert_{2}+\epsilon,

the last step also using U2=U2\lVert -U\rVert_{2}=\lVert U\rVert_{2}, which is immediate from the definition of the mean-square norm. Hence Tg(D)2ϰϵ\lVert T-g(\mathsf{D})\rVert_{2}\ge\sqrt{\varkappa}-\epsilon, and the right-hand side is nonnegative by the hypothesis ϰϵ\sqrt{\varkappa}\ge\epsilon. Squaring an inequality between nonnegative real numbers preserves it, so

E[1H(cε)2]=Tg(D)22  (ϰϵ)2,\mathbb{E}\bigl[\mathbf{1}_{\mathcal{H}}(c\cdot\varepsilon)^{2}\bigr]=\lVert T-g(\mathsf{D})\rVert_{2}^{2}\ \ge\ \bigl(\sqrt{\varkappa}-\epsilon\bigr)^{2},

which is claim 2.

Independence of the choice of conditional expectations. Any two conditional expectations of XγX^{\gamma} given G\mathcal{G} are almost surely equal, by the uniqueness part of the existence and uniqueness theorem. Replacing the MγM^{\gamma} therefore changes cεc\cdot\varepsilon only on a set of probability zero, which leaves the expectations displayed in claims 1 and 2 unchanged.

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