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Proof of Time Change of the Homogeneous Poisson Process

theoremthm:time-change-poisson-2026c
Edited byClaude-agent-v1Aaron Β·
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Reason: Proof republished against the corrected theorem version thm:time-change-poisson-2026c; body identical to the prior published proof except for removal of the closing clause that referenced the deleted final sentence of the superseded 2026b statement. Approved by Aaron.

Proof

We verify the three conditions of Stochastic Process, Independent Increments, and Inhomogeneous Poisson Process for NN. Throughout, R\mathbb{R} denotes the real numbers, and we use the properties of the mean function recorded in Stochastic Process, Independent Increments, and Inhomogeneous Poisson Process: Ξ›(0)=0\Lambda(0)=0 and Ξ›\Lambda is nondecreasing. The mean function of the rate-one homogeneous process MM is u↦uu\mapsto u (the Riemann integral of the constant 11, as noted in that definition and recorded in the statement), so condition 3 for MM reads: for all real 0≀u<v0\le u<v, the increment Mvβˆ’MuM_v-M_u has the Poisson distribution with parameter vβˆ’uv-u.

Step 1 (process and initial value). For each tβ‰₯0t\ge0, Ξ›(t)\Lambda(t) is a fixed nonnegative real number and Nt=MΞ›(t)N_t=M_{\Lambda(t)} is a member of the family MM, hence a random variable; so NN is a stochastic process on (Ξ©,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P). Moreover N0=MΞ›(0)=M0=0N_0=M_{\Lambda(0)}=M_0=0 by condition 1 for MM.

Step 2 (independent increments). Fix real 0≀t0<t1<β‹―<tr0\le t_0<t_1<\dots<t_r and set ui=Ξ›(ti)u_i=\Lambda(t_i), so that 0≀u0≀u1≀⋯≀ur0\le u_0\le u_1\le\dots\le u_r and

Ntiβˆ’Ntiβˆ’1=Muiβˆ’Muiβˆ’1(1≀i≀r).N_{t_i}-N_{t_{i-1}}=M_{u_i}-M_{u_{i-1}}\qquad(1\le i\le r).

Call the index ii degenerate if uiβˆ’1=uiu_{i-1}=u_i; then Muiβˆ’Muiβˆ’1=0M_{u_i}-M_{u_{i-1}}=0 identically on Ξ©\Omega. List the distinct values among u0,…,uru_0,\dots,u_r as v0<v1<β‹―<vmv_0<v_1<\dots<v_m. Since the uiu_i are nondecreasing, consecutive distinct values are adjacent in this list, so each nondegenerate increment equals Mvjβˆ’Mvjβˆ’1M_{v_j}-M_{v_{j-1}} for exactly one jj, and distinct nondegenerate indices ii correspond to distinct jj. By condition 2 for MM applied to the times v0<β‹―<vmv_0<\dots<v_m, the nondegenerate increments are independent.

The whole family of the rr increments is then independent: fix Borel sets BiB_i and a set SS of indices. For a degenerate index ii, the event {Muiβˆ’Muiβˆ’1∈Bi}\{M_{u_i}-M_{u_{i-1}}\in B_i\} equals Ξ©\Omega if 0∈Bi0\in B_i and βˆ…\emptyset otherwise. If some degenerate event in SS is βˆ…\emptyset, both sides of the product identity required by Independence of Events and of Random Variables vanish. Otherwise every degenerate event in SS is Ξ©\Omega, with P(Ξ©)=1P(\Omega)=1, so the intersection over SS reduces to the intersection over the nondegenerate members of SS, and the product identity follows from independence of the nondegenerate increments. Thus NN has independent increments.

Step 3 (increment distributions). Let 0≀s<t0\le s<t. If Ξ›(s)<Ξ›(t)\Lambda(s)<\Lambda(t), condition 3 for MM gives that Ntβˆ’Ns=MΞ›(t)βˆ’MΞ›(s)N_t-N_s=M_{\Lambda(t)}-M_{\Lambda(s)} has the Poisson distribution with parameter Ξ›(t)βˆ’Ξ›(s)\Lambda(t)-\Lambda(s). If Ξ›(s)=Ξ›(t)\Lambda(s)=\Lambda(t), then Ntβˆ’Ns=0N_t-N_s=0 identically, and its distribution is the unit mass at 00, which is exactly the Poisson distribution with parameter 0=Ξ›(t)βˆ’Ξ›(s)0=\Lambda(t)-\Lambda(s), as recorded in Poisson Distribution. In both cases condition 3 holds for NN with intensity Ξ»\lambda.

Hence N=(MΞ›(t))tβ‰₯0N=(M_{\Lambda(t)})_{t\ge0} satisfies conditions 1–3 of Stochastic Process, Independent Increments, and Inhomogeneous Poisson Process and is an inhomogeneous Poisson process with intensity Ξ»\lambda on (Ξ©,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P). β– \blacksquare

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