TheoremBase

Continuity from above gives the first implication, Markov's inequality the second, the first Borel-Cantelli lemma along a least-index subsequence the third, bounded Lipschitz test functions with the portmanteau theorem the fourth, and the triangle inequality with countable subadditivity the last.

Proof

Throughout, d(Xn,X)d(X_{n},X), d(Xn,Z)d(X_{n},Z) and d(X,Z)d(X,Z) are random variables (The Distance of Two Random Elements of a Separable Metric Space Is a Random Variable (i)), so the sets below defined by them are events; and dd is symmetric, satisfies the triangle inequality and vanishes exactly on the diagonal (Metric Space (iv), Metric Space (v), Metric Space (iii)).

Thresholds. Define real numbers rkr_{k} (k∈Nk\in\mathbb{N}) by recursion (Recursion on the Natural Numbers Starting at One (i)):

r1=1,rk+1=12rk.r_{1}=1,\qquad r_{k+1}=\tfrac{1}{2}r_{k}.

By induction 0<rk+1<rk0<r_{k+1}<r_{k} for every kk. For every real D>0D>0 there is k0k_{0} with rk<Dr_{k}<D for all kβ‰₯k0k\ge k_{0}: the infimum ρβ‰₯0\rho\ge0 of the rkr_{k} (Infima, the Archimedean Property, Density of the Rationals and Rational Approximation from Below in an Ordered Field Whose Nonempty Sets Bounded Above Have Suprema (i), applicable to R\mathbb{R} by The Real Numbers, with the Natural Numbers, Integers and Rationals Identified with Subsets of the Reals, and Completeness (vii)) is 00, since otherwise some rk<2ρr_{k}<2\rho and then rk+1<ρr_{k+1}<\rho; so some rk0<Dr_{k_{0}}<D, and rk≀rk0r_{k}\le r_{k_{0}} for kβ‰₯k0k\ge k_{0}.

Step 1 (proof of (i)). Let AA be an event with P(A)=1P(A)=1 on which Xn(Ο‰)β†’X(Ο‰)X_{n}(\omega)\to X(\omega) (Almost Sure Convergence of Random Elements of a Metric Space (i)), and fix Ξ΅>0\varepsilon>0. The strict tails

Bn=⋃m>n{d(Xm,X)>Ξ΅}(n∈N)B_{n}=\bigcup_{m>n}\{d(X_{m},X)>\varepsilon\}\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N})

satisfy Bn+1βŠ†BnB_{n+1}\subseteq B_{n} and P(B1)≀1P(B_{1})\le1, and B=β‹‚nBnB=\bigcap_{n}B_{n} is an event (Unions and Intersections over a Countable Index Set in a Οƒ-Algebra (ii)). For Ο‰βˆˆA\omega\in A we have d(Xm(Ο‰),X(Ο‰))≀Ρd(X_{m}(\omega),X(\omega))\le\varepsilon for all large mm (Convergent Sequence in a Metric Space (i)), so Ο‰βˆ‰B\omega\notin B; hence BβŠ†Ξ©βˆ–AB\subseteq\Omega\setminus A, and P(B)≀1βˆ’P(A)=0P(B)\le1-P(A)=0 (Basic Properties of a Measure (iii), Basic Properties of a Measure (v)). Continuity from above, Basic Properties of a Measure (ix), gives

inf⁑nP(Bn)=P(B)=0.\inf_{n}P(B_{n})=P(B)=0 .

Now let Ξ·>0\eta>0. As Ξ·\eta is not a lower bound of the P(Bn)P(B_{n}), there is NN with P(BN)<Ξ·P(B_{N})<\eta. For nβ‰₯N+1n\ge N+1 we have {d(Xn,X)>Ξ΅}βŠ†BN\{d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\}\subseteq B_{N}, so by monotonicity

0≀P(d(Xn,X)>Ξ΅)≀P(BN)<Ξ·.0\le P\bigl(d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\bigr)\le P(B_{N})<\eta .

So P(d(Xn,X)>Ρ)→0P(d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon)\to0 (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i)), and Xn→PXX_{n}\xrightarrow{P}X by Convergence in Probability (i).

Step 2 (proof of (ii)). Let Wn=βˆ₯Ynβˆ’Yβˆ₯W_{n}=\lVert Y_{n}-Y\rVert, so that dE(Yn,Y)=Wnd_{E}(Y_{n},Y)=W_{n} (Properties of the Euclidean Norm on Rn\mathbb{R}^n: Square, Distance, Vanishing, Coordinate Bounds, Homogeneity, Triangle Inequalities and Expansion of a Square (ii)) and Wnp∈M+(Ξ©,F)W_{n}^{p}\in\mathcal{M}^{+}(\Omega,\mathcal{F}) as Wn∈Lp(P)W_{n}\in\mathcal{L}^{p}(P). Let Ξ΅>0\varepsilon>0; then Ξ΅p>0\varepsilon^{p}>0 (Properties of Real Powers (ii)), and since t↦tpt\mapsto t^{p} is strictly increasing on [0,∞)[0,\infty) (Properties of Real Powers (vi)), {Wn>Ξ΅}βŠ†{Wnpβ‰₯Ξ΅p}\{W_{n}>\varepsilon\}\subseteq\{W_{n}^{p}\ge\varepsilon^{p}\}. Markov's inequality, Markov's and Chebyshev's Inequalities (i), with a=Ξ΅pa=\varepsilon^{p}, and monotonicity give

P(Wn>Ξ΅) Ρp≀EWnp(n∈N).P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\,\varepsilon^{p}\le\mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N}).

Let Ξ·>0\eta>0. Since Ξ·Ξ΅p>0\eta\varepsilon^{p}>0 and EWnpβ†’0\mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}\to0 (Convergence in Lα΅– of Random Vectors (i)), there is NN with EWnp<Ξ·Ξ΅p\mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}<\eta\varepsilon^{p} for all nβ‰₯Nn\ge N; for these nn, P(Wn>Ξ΅) Ρp<Ξ·Ξ΅pP(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\,\varepsilon^{p}<\eta\varepsilon^{p}, so 0≀P(Wn>Ξ΅)<Ξ·0\le P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)<\eta. Hence P(Wn>Ξ΅)β†’0P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\to0 (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i)), and Ynβ†’PYY_{n}\xrightarrow{P}Y by Convergence in Probability (i).

Step 3 (proof of (iii)). For k∈Nk\in\mathbb{N} let NkN_{k} be the least nn (Arithmetic and Order of the Natural Numbers (xv)) with P(d(Xm,X)>rk)<rkP(d(X_{m},X)>r_{k})<r_{k} for every mβ‰₯nm\ge n, which exists by Convergence in Probability (i). Define Οƒ:Nβ†’N\sigma:\mathbb{N}\to\mathbb{N} recursively (Recursion on the Natural Numbers Starting at One (i)) by

Οƒ(1)=N1,Οƒ(k+1)=Οƒ(k)+Nk+1.\sigma(1)=N_{1},\qquad\sigma(k+1)=\sigma(k)+N_{k+1}.

Then Οƒ\sigma is strictly increasing and Οƒ(k)β‰₯Nk\sigma(k)\ge N_{k} for every kk, so (Xnk)(X_{n_{k}}) with nk=Οƒ(k)n_{k}=\sigma(k) is a subsequence (Subsequences (i)), and the events Ak={d(Xnk,X)>rk}A_{k}=\{d(X_{n_{k}},X)>r_{k}\} satisfy P(Ak)<rkP(A_{k})<r_{k}. Let sK=βˆ‘k=1Krks_{K}=\sum_{k=1}^{K}r_{k}. By induction on KK,

sK+rK=2(K∈N),s_{K}+r_{K}=2\qquad(K\in\mathbb{N}),

since s1+r1=2s_{1}+r_{1}=2 and sK+1+rK+1=sK+2rK+1=sK+rKs_{K+1}+r_{K+1}=s_{K}+2r_{K+1}=s_{K}+r_{K}; so sK=2βˆ’rK<2s_{K}=2-r_{K}<2. Hence βˆ‘k=1KP(Ak)≀sK≀2\sum_{k=1}^{K}P(A_{k})\le s_{K}\le2 for every KK, so the sum βˆ‘k∈NP(Ak)\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}}P(A_{k}) in [0,∞][0,\infty] is at most 22 (Sums of Series: a Convergent Series Has a Real Sum, and a Bound on All Partial Sums Bounds the Sum in [0,∞] (ii)), in particular finite. The first Borel–Cantelli lemma, Borel-Cantelli Lemmas (i), gives P({AkΒ infinitelyΒ often})=0P(\{A_{k}\text{ infinitely often}\})=0. Its complement AA is an event with P(A)=1P(A)=1 (Basic Properties of a Measure (v)). For Ο‰βˆˆA\omega\in A there is KK with d(Xnk(Ο‰),X(Ο‰))≀rkd(X_{n_{k}}(\omega),X(\omega))\le r_{k} for all k>Kk>K. Given Ξ΅>0\varepsilon>0, choose k0k_{0} with rk<Ξ΅r_{k}<\varepsilon for kβ‰₯k0k\ge k_{0} (Thresholds); then d(Xnk(Ο‰),X(Ο‰))<Ξ΅d(X_{n_{k}}(\omega),X(\omega))<\varepsilon for all k>max⁑(K,k0)k>\max(K,k_{0}). So Xnk(Ο‰)β†’X(Ο‰)X_{n_{k}}(\omega)\to X(\omega) (Convergent Sequence in a Metric Space (i)) for every Ο‰βˆˆA\omega\in A, which is Almost Sure Convergence of Random Elements of a Metric Space (i).

Step 4 (proof of (iv)). By Convergence in Distribution through Expectations of Bounded Continuous and of Bounded Lipschitz Functions (ii) it suffices to show Ef(Xn)β†’Ef(X)\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})\to\mathbb{E}f(X) for every bounded Lipschitz f:Sβ†’Rf:S\to\mathbb{R}. Let ∣fβˆ£β‰€M|f|\le M and let Lβ‰₯0L\ge0 be a Lipschitz constant. The maps f∘Xnf\circ X_{n} and f∘Xf\circ X are measurable (A Lipschitz Map is Uniformly Continuous and Continuous (ii), Measurable Maps: Generators, Composition, Continuous Maps, Restrictions, and Criteria for Real- and [0,∞]-Valued Maps (iv), Measurable Maps: Generators, Composition, Continuous Maps, Restrictions, and Criteria for Real- and [0,∞]-Valued Maps (ii)) and bounded by MM, hence integrable (Bounded Measurable Functions on a Finite Measure Space Are Integrable (i)), and n↦Ef(Xn)n\mapsto\mathbb{E}f(X_{n}) is a real sequence (The Simple, Nonnegative, Integrable and Signed Integrals Are Predicative in the Measure and the Function, at Any Variable Positions (iii)). Let Ξ·>0\eta>0, put h=Ξ·/2h=\eta/2 and c=1+Lc=1+L, which is positive even when L=0L=0, and choose, in this order, Ξ΅>0\varepsilon>0 and Ξ΄>0\delta>0 with

c Ρ=h,(1+2M) δ=h.c\,\varepsilon=h,\qquad(1+2M)\,\delta=h .

For Dn={d(Xn,X)>Ξ΅}D_{n}=\{d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\}, whose indicator 1Dn\mathbf{1}_{D_{n}} is bounded and measurable, hence integrable (Bounded Measurable Functions on a Finite Measure Space Are Integrable (i)),

∣f(Xn)βˆ’f(X)βˆ£β‰€LΞ΅+2M 1Dn,|f(X_{n})-f(X)|\le L\varepsilon+2M\,\mathbf{1}_{D_{n}},

so, as LΡ≀c Ρ=hL\varepsilon\le c\,\varepsilon=h,

∣Ef(Xn)βˆ’Ef(X)βˆ£β‰€h+2M P(Dn)|\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})-\mathbb{E}f(X)|\le h+2M\,P(D_{n})

by Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (v), Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (iv), Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (iii), Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (ii) and Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (i). Since P(Dn)β†’0P(D_{n})\to0 (Convergence in Probability (i)), there is NN with P(Dn)<Ξ΄P(D_{n})<\delta for nβ‰₯Nn\ge N, and then 2M P(Dn)≀2MΞ΄<(1+2M)Ξ΄=h2M\,P(D_{n})\le2M\delta<(1+2M)\delta=h, so ∣Ef(Xn)βˆ’Ef(X)∣<2h=Ξ·|\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})-\mathbb{E}f(X)|<2h=\eta. Hence Ef(Xn)β†’Ef(X)\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})\to\mathbb{E}f(X) (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i)).

Step 5 (proof of (v)). Let t>0t>0. The triangle inequality and symmetry give {d(X,Z)>t}βŠ†{d(Xn,X)>t/2}βˆͺ{d(Xn,Z)>t/2}\{d(X,Z)>t\}\subseteq\{d(X_{n},X)>t/2\}\cup\{d(X_{n},Z)>t/2\}, so by Basic Properties of a Measure (iii) and Basic Properties of a Measure (vii)

P(d(X,Z)>t)≀P(d(Xn,X)>t/2)+P(d(Xn,Z)>t/2)(n∈N).P\bigl(d(X,Z)>t\bigr)\le P\bigl(d(X_{n},X)>t/2\bigr)+P\bigl(d(X_{n},Z)>t/2\bigr)\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N}).

Suppose P(d(X,Z)>t)=2ΞΈP(d(X,Z)>t)=2\theta with ΞΈ>0\theta>0. Both tail probabilities on the right tend to 00 (Convergence in Probability (i)), so for some NN each is <ΞΈ<\theta at n=Nn=N, and the display gives 2ΞΈ<2ΞΈ2\theta<2\theta, a contradiction. Hence P(d(X,Z)>t)=0P(d(X,Z)>t)=0 for every t>0t>0. Now let Gn={d(X,Z)>rn}G_{n}=\{d(X,Z)>r_{n}\}. As rn+1<rnr_{n+1}<r_{n}, GnβŠ†Gn+1G_{n}\subseteq G_{n+1}. If X(Ο‰)β‰ Z(Ο‰)X(\omega)\neq Z(\omega), then d(X(Ο‰),Z(Ο‰))>0d(X(\omega),Z(\omega))>0, and by Thresholds some rn<d(X(Ο‰),Z(Ο‰))r_{n}<d(X(\omega),Z(\omega)); so {Xβ‰ Z}=⋃n∈NGn\{X\neq Z\}=\bigcup_{n\in\mathbb{N}}G_{n}. Continuity from below, Basic Properties of a Measure (viii), gives

P(Xβ‰ Z)=sup⁑nP(Gn)=0,P(X\neq Z)=\sup_{n}P(G_{n})=0,

that is, X=ZX=Z almost surely.

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