Throughout, d ( X n , X ) d(X_{n},X) d ( X n β , X ) , d ( X n , Z ) d(X_{n},Z) d ( X n β , Z ) and d ( X , Z ) d(X,Z) d ( X , Z ) are random variables (The Distance of Two Random Elements of a Separable Metric Space Is a Random Variable (i) ), so the sets below defined by them are events; and d d d is symmetric, satisfies the triangle inequality and vanishes exactly on the diagonal (Metric Space (iv) , Metric Space (v) , Metric Space (iii) ).
Thresholds. Define real numbers r k r_{k} r k β (k β N k\in\mathbb{N} k β N ) by recursion (Recursion on the Natural Numbers Starting at One (i) ):
r 1 = 1 , r k + 1 = 1 2 r k . r_{1}=1,\qquad r_{k+1}=\tfrac{1}{2}r_{k}. r 1 β = 1 , r k + 1 β = 2 1 β r k β .
By induction 0 < r k + 1 < r k 0<r_{k+1}<r_{k} 0 < r k + 1 β < r k β for every k k k . For every real D > 0 D>0 D > 0 there is k 0 k_{0} k 0 β with r k < D r_{k}<D r k β < D for all k β₯ k 0 k\ge k_{0} k β₯ k 0 β : the infimum Ο β₯ 0 \rho\ge0 Ο β₯ 0 of the r k r_{k} r k β (Infima, the Archimedean Property, Density of the Rationals and Rational Approximation from Below in an Ordered Field Whose Nonempty Sets Bounded Above Have Suprema (i) , applicable to R \mathbb{R} R by The Real Numbers, with the Natural Numbers, Integers and Rationals Identified with Subsets of the Reals, and Completeness (vii) ) is 0 0 0 , since otherwise some r k < 2 Ο r_{k}<2\rho r k β < 2 Ο and then r k + 1 < Ο r_{k+1}<\rho r k + 1 β < Ο ; so some r k 0 < D r_{k_{0}}<D r k 0 β β < D , and r k β€ r k 0 r_{k}\le r_{k_{0}} r k β β€ r k 0 β β for k β₯ k 0 k\ge k_{0} k β₯ k 0 β .
Step 1 (proof of (i) ). Let A A A be an event with P ( A ) = 1 P(A)=1 P ( A ) = 1 on which X n ( Ο ) β X ( Ο ) X_{n}(\omega)\to X(\omega) X n β ( Ο ) β X ( Ο ) (Almost Sure Convergence of Random Elements of a Metric Space (i) ), and fix Ξ΅ > 0 \varepsilon>0 Ξ΅ > 0 . The strict tails
B n = β m > n { d ( X m , X ) > Ξ΅ } ( n β N ) B_{n}=\bigcup_{m>n}\{d(X_{m},X)>\varepsilon\}\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N}) B n β = m > n β β { d ( X m β , X ) > Ξ΅ } ( n β N )
satisfy B n + 1 β B n B_{n+1}\subseteq B_{n} B n + 1 β β B n β and P ( B 1 ) β€ 1 P(B_{1})\le1 P ( B 1 β ) β€ 1 , and B = β n B n B=\bigcap_{n}B_{n} B = β n β B n β is an event (Unions and Intersections over a Countable Index Set in a Ο-Algebra (ii) ). For Ο β A \omega\in A Ο β A we have d ( X m ( Ο ) , X ( Ο ) ) β€ Ξ΅ d(X_{m}(\omega),X(\omega))\le\varepsilon d ( X m β ( Ο ) , X ( Ο )) β€ Ξ΅ for all large m m m (Convergent Sequence in a Metric Space (i) ), so Ο β B \omega\notin B Ο β / B ; hence B β Ξ© β A B\subseteq\Omega\setminus A B β Ξ© β A , and P ( B ) β€ 1 β P ( A ) = 0 P(B)\le1-P(A)=0 P ( B ) β€ 1 β P ( A ) = 0 (Basic Properties of a Measure (iii) , Basic Properties of a Measure (v) ). Continuity from above, Basic Properties of a Measure (ix) , gives
inf β‘ n P ( B n ) = P ( B ) = 0. \inf_{n}P(B_{n})=P(B)=0 . n inf β P ( B n β ) = P ( B ) = 0.
Now let Ξ· > 0 \eta>0 Ξ· > 0 . As Ξ· \eta Ξ· is not a lower bound of the P ( B n ) P(B_{n}) P ( B n β ) , there is N N N with P ( B N ) < Ξ· P(B_{N})<\eta P ( B N β ) < Ξ· . For n β₯ N + 1 n\ge N+1 n β₯ N + 1 we have { d ( X n , X ) > Ξ΅ } β B N \{d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\}\subseteq B_{N} { d ( X n β , X ) > Ξ΅ } β B N β , so by monotonicity
0 β€ P ( d ( X n , X ) > Ξ΅ ) β€ P ( B N ) < Ξ· . 0\le P\bigl(d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\bigr)\le P(B_{N})<\eta . 0 β€ P ( d ( X n β , X ) > Ξ΅ ) β€ P ( B N β ) < Ξ· .
So P ( d ( X n , X ) > Ξ΅ ) β 0 P(d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon)\to0 P ( d ( X n β , X ) > Ξ΅ ) β 0 (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i) ), and X n β P X X_{n}\xrightarrow{P}X X n β P β X by Convergence in Probability (i) .
Step 2 (proof of (ii) ). Let W n = β₯ Y n β Y β₯ W_{n}=\lVert Y_{n}-Y\rVert W n β = β₯ Y n β β Y β₯ , so that d E ( Y n , Y ) = W n d_{E}(Y_{n},Y)=W_{n} d E β ( Y n β , Y ) = W n β (Properties of the Euclidean Norm on R n \mathbb{R}^n R n : Square, Distance, Vanishing, Coordinate Bounds, Homogeneity, Triangle Inequalities and Expansion of a Square (ii) ) and W n p β M + ( Ξ© , F ) W_{n}^{p}\in\mathcal{M}^{+}(\Omega,\mathcal{F}) W n p β β M + ( Ξ© , F ) as W n β L p ( P ) W_{n}\in\mathcal{L}^{p}(P) W n β β L p ( P ) . Let Ξ΅ > 0 \varepsilon>0 Ξ΅ > 0 ; then Ξ΅ p > 0 \varepsilon^{p}>0 Ξ΅ p > 0 (Properties of Real Powers (ii) ), and since t β¦ t p t\mapsto t^{p} t β¦ t p is strictly increasing on [ 0 , β ) [0,\infty) [ 0 , β ) (Properties of Real Powers (vi) ), { W n > Ξ΅ } β { W n p β₯ Ξ΅ p } \{W_{n}>\varepsilon\}\subseteq\{W_{n}^{p}\ge\varepsilon^{p}\} { W n β > Ξ΅ } β { W n p β β₯ Ξ΅ p } . Markov's inequality, Markov's and Chebyshev's Inequalities (i) , with a = Ξ΅ p a=\varepsilon^{p} a = Ξ΅ p , and monotonicity give
P ( W n > Ξ΅ ) β Ξ΅ p β€ E W n p ( n β N ) . P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\,\varepsilon^{p}\le\mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N}). P ( W n β > Ξ΅ ) Ξ΅ p β€ E W n p β ( n β N ) .
Let Ξ· > 0 \eta>0 Ξ· > 0 . Since Ξ· Ξ΅ p > 0 \eta\varepsilon^{p}>0 Ξ· Ξ΅ p > 0 and E W n p β 0 \mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}\to0 E W n p β β 0 (Convergence in Lα΅ of Random Vectors (i) ), there is N N N with E W n p < Ξ· Ξ΅ p \mathbb{E}W_{n}^{p}<\eta\varepsilon^{p} E W n p β < Ξ· Ξ΅ p for all n β₯ N n\ge N n β₯ N ; for these n n n , P ( W n > Ξ΅ ) β Ξ΅ p < Ξ· Ξ΅ p P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\,\varepsilon^{p}<\eta\varepsilon^{p} P ( W n β > Ξ΅ ) Ξ΅ p < Ξ· Ξ΅ p , so 0 β€ P ( W n > Ξ΅ ) < Ξ· 0\le P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)<\eta 0 β€ P ( W n β > Ξ΅ ) < Ξ· . Hence P ( W n > Ξ΅ ) β 0 P(W_{n}>\varepsilon)\to0 P ( W n β > Ξ΅ ) β 0 (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i) ), and Y n β P Y Y_{n}\xrightarrow{P}Y Y n β P β Y by Convergence in Probability (i) .
Step 3 (proof of (iii) ). For k β N k\in\mathbb{N} k β N let N k N_{k} N k β be the least n n n (Arithmetic and Order of the Natural Numbers (xv) ) with P ( d ( X m , X ) > r k ) < r k P(d(X_{m},X)>r_{k})<r_{k} P ( d ( X m β , X ) > r k β ) < r k β for every m β₯ n m\ge n m β₯ n , which exists by Convergence in Probability (i) . Define Ο : N β N \sigma:\mathbb{N}\to\mathbb{N} Ο : N β N recursively (Recursion on the Natural Numbers Starting at One (i) ) by
Ο ( 1 ) = N 1 , Ο ( k + 1 ) = Ο ( k ) + N k + 1 . \sigma(1)=N_{1},\qquad\sigma(k+1)=\sigma(k)+N_{k+1}. Ο ( 1 ) = N 1 β , Ο ( k + 1 ) = Ο ( k ) + N k + 1 β .
Then Ο \sigma Ο is strictly increasing and Ο ( k ) β₯ N k \sigma(k)\ge N_{k} Ο ( k ) β₯ N k β for every k k k , so ( X n k ) (X_{n_{k}}) ( X n k β β ) with n k = Ο ( k ) n_{k}=\sigma(k) n k β = Ο ( k ) is a subsequence (Subsequences (i) ), and the events A k = { d ( X n k , X ) > r k } A_{k}=\{d(X_{n_{k}},X)>r_{k}\} A k β = { d ( X n k β β , X ) > r k β } satisfy P ( A k ) < r k P(A_{k})<r_{k} P ( A k β ) < r k β . Let s K = β k = 1 K r k s_{K}=\sum_{k=1}^{K}r_{k} s K β = β k = 1 K β r k β . By induction on K K K ,
s K + r K = 2 ( K β N ) , s_{K}+r_{K}=2\qquad(K\in\mathbb{N}), s K β + r K β = 2 ( K β N ) ,
since s 1 + r 1 = 2 s_{1}+r_{1}=2 s 1 β + r 1 β = 2 and s K + 1 + r K + 1 = s K + 2 r K + 1 = s K + r K s_{K+1}+r_{K+1}=s_{K}+2r_{K+1}=s_{K}+r_{K} s K + 1 β + r K + 1 β = s K β + 2 r K + 1 β = s K β + r K β ; so s K = 2 β r K < 2 s_{K}=2-r_{K}<2 s K β = 2 β r K β < 2 . Hence β k = 1 K P ( A k ) β€ s K β€ 2 \sum_{k=1}^{K}P(A_{k})\le s_{K}\le2 β k = 1 K β P ( A k β ) β€ s K β β€ 2 for every K K K , so the sum β k β N P ( A k ) \sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}}P(A_{k}) β k β N β P ( A k β ) in [ 0 , β ] [0,\infty] [ 0 , β ] is at most 2 2 2 (Sums of Series: a Convergent Series Has a Real Sum, and a Bound on All Partial Sums Bounds the Sum in [0,β] (ii) ), in particular finite. The first BorelβCantelli lemma, Borel-Cantelli Lemmas (i) , gives P ( { A k Β infinitelyΒ often } ) = 0 P(\{A_{k}\text{ infinitely often}\})=0 P ({ A k β Β infinitelyΒ often }) = 0 . Its complement A A A is an event with P ( A ) = 1 P(A)=1 P ( A ) = 1 (Basic Properties of a Measure (v) ). For Ο β A \omega\in A Ο β A there is K K K with d ( X n k ( Ο ) , X ( Ο ) ) β€ r k d(X_{n_{k}}(\omega),X(\omega))\le r_{k} d ( X n k β β ( Ο ) , X ( Ο )) β€ r k β for all k > K k>K k > K . Given Ξ΅ > 0 \varepsilon>0 Ξ΅ > 0 , choose k 0 k_{0} k 0 β with r k < Ξ΅ r_{k}<\varepsilon r k β < Ξ΅ for k β₯ k 0 k\ge k_{0} k β₯ k 0 β (Thresholds); then d ( X n k ( Ο ) , X ( Ο ) ) < Ξ΅ d(X_{n_{k}}(\omega),X(\omega))<\varepsilon d ( X n k β β ( Ο ) , X ( Ο )) < Ξ΅ for all k > max β‘ ( K , k 0 ) k>\max(K,k_{0}) k > max ( K , k 0 β ) . So X n k ( Ο ) β X ( Ο ) X_{n_{k}}(\omega)\to X(\omega) X n k β β ( Ο ) β X ( Ο ) (Convergent Sequence in a Metric Space (i) ) for every Ο β A \omega\in A Ο β A , which is Almost Sure Convergence of Random Elements of a Metric Space (i) .
Step 4 (proof of (iv) ). By Convergence in Distribution through Expectations of Bounded Continuous and of Bounded Lipschitz Functions (ii) it suffices to show E f ( X n ) β E f ( X ) \mathbb{E}f(X_{n})\to\mathbb{E}f(X) E f ( X n β ) β E f ( X ) for every bounded Lipschitz f : S β R f:S\to\mathbb{R} f : S β R . Let β£ f β£ β€ M |f|\le M β£ f β£ β€ M and let L β₯ 0 L\ge0 L β₯ 0 be a Lipschitz constant. The maps f β X n f\circ X_{n} f β X n β and f β X f\circ X f β X are measurable (A Lipschitz Map is Uniformly Continuous and Continuous (ii) , Measurable Maps: Generators, Composition, Continuous Maps, Restrictions, and Criteria for Real- and [0,β]-Valued Maps (iv) , Measurable Maps: Generators, Composition, Continuous Maps, Restrictions, and Criteria for Real- and [0,β]-Valued Maps (ii) ) and bounded by M M M , hence integrable (Bounded Measurable Functions on a Finite Measure Space Are Integrable (i) ), and n β¦ E f ( X n ) n\mapsto\mathbb{E}f(X_{n}) n β¦ E f ( X n β ) is a real sequence (The Simple, Nonnegative, Integrable and Signed Integrals Are Predicative in the Measure and the Function, at Any Variable Positions (iii) ). Let Ξ· > 0 \eta>0 Ξ· > 0 , put h = Ξ· / 2 h=\eta/2 h = Ξ· /2 and c = 1 + L c=1+L c = 1 + L , which is positive even when L = 0 L=0 L = 0 , and choose, in this order, Ξ΅ > 0 \varepsilon>0 Ξ΅ > 0 and Ξ΄ > 0 \delta>0 Ξ΄ > 0 with
c β Ξ΅ = h , ( 1 + 2 M ) β Ξ΄ = h . c\,\varepsilon=h,\qquad(1+2M)\,\delta=h . c Ξ΅ = h , ( 1 + 2 M ) Ξ΄ = h .
For D n = { d ( X n , X ) > Ξ΅ } D_{n}=\{d(X_{n},X)>\varepsilon\} D n β = { d ( X n β , X ) > Ξ΅ } , whose indicator 1 D n \mathbf{1}_{D_{n}} 1 D n β β is bounded and measurable, hence integrable (Bounded Measurable Functions on a Finite Measure Space Are Integrable (i) ),
β£ f ( X n ) β f ( X ) β£ β€ L Ξ΅ + 2 M β 1 D n , |f(X_{n})-f(X)|\le L\varepsilon+2M\,\mathbf{1}_{D_{n}}, β£ f ( X n β ) β f ( X ) β£ β€ L Ξ΅ + 2 M 1 D n β β ,
so, as L Ξ΅ β€ c β Ξ΅ = h L\varepsilon\le c\,\varepsilon=h L Ξ΅ β€ c Ξ΅ = h ,
β£ E f ( X n ) β E f ( X ) β£ β€ h + 2 M β P ( D n ) |\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})-\mathbb{E}f(X)|\le h+2M\,P(D_{n}) β£ E f ( X n β ) β E f ( X ) β£ β€ h + 2 M P ( D n β )
by Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (v) , Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (iv) , Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (iii) , Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (ii) and Rules for Expectations, Variances and Covariances (i) . Since P ( D n ) β 0 P(D_{n})\to0 P ( D n β ) β 0 (Convergence in Probability (i) ), there is N N N with P ( D n ) < Ξ΄ P(D_{n})<\delta P ( D n β ) < Ξ΄ for n β₯ N n\ge N n β₯ N , and then 2 M β P ( D n ) β€ 2 M Ξ΄ < ( 1 + 2 M ) Ξ΄ = h 2M\,P(D_{n})\le2M\delta<(1+2M)\delta=h 2 M P ( D n β ) β€ 2 M Ξ΄ < ( 1 + 2 M ) Ξ΄ = h , so β£ E f ( X n ) β E f ( X ) β£ < 2 h = Ξ· |\mathbb{E}f(X_{n})-\mathbb{E}f(X)|<2h=\eta β£ E f ( X n β ) β E f ( X ) β£ < 2 h = Ξ· . Hence E f ( X n ) β E f ( X ) \mathbb{E}f(X_{n})\to\mathbb{E}f(X) E f ( X n β ) β E f ( X ) (Convergent Sequences of Real Numbers (i) ).
Step 5 (proof of (v) ). Let t > 0 t>0 t > 0 . The triangle inequality and symmetry give { d ( X , Z ) > t } β { d ( X n , X ) > t / 2 } βͺ { d ( X n , Z ) > t / 2 } \{d(X,Z)>t\}\subseteq\{d(X_{n},X)>t/2\}\cup\{d(X_{n},Z)>t/2\} { d ( X , Z ) > t } β { d ( X n β , X ) > t /2 } βͺ { d ( X n β , Z ) > t /2 } , so by Basic Properties of a Measure (iii) and Basic Properties of a Measure (vii)
P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) β€ P ( d ( X n , X ) > t / 2 ) + P ( d ( X n , Z ) > t / 2 ) ( n β N ) . P\bigl(d(X,Z)>t\bigr)\le P\bigl(d(X_{n},X)>t/2\bigr)+P\bigl(d(X_{n},Z)>t/2\bigr)\qquad(n\in\mathbb{N}). P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) β€ P ( d ( X n β , X ) > t /2 ) + P ( d ( X n β , Z ) > t /2 ) ( n β N ) .
Suppose P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) = 2 ΞΈ P(d(X,Z)>t)=2\theta P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) = 2 ΞΈ with ΞΈ > 0 \theta>0 ΞΈ > 0 . Both tail probabilities on the right tend to 0 0 0 (Convergence in Probability (i) ), so for some N N N each is < ΞΈ <\theta < ΞΈ at n = N n=N n = N , and the display gives 2 ΞΈ < 2 ΞΈ 2\theta<2\theta 2 ΞΈ < 2 ΞΈ , a contradiction. Hence P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) = 0 P(d(X,Z)>t)=0 P ( d ( X , Z ) > t ) = 0 for every t > 0 t>0 t > 0 . Now let G n = { d ( X , Z ) > r n } G_{n}=\{d(X,Z)>r_{n}\} G n β = { d ( X , Z ) > r n β } . As r n + 1 < r n r_{n+1}<r_{n} r n + 1 β < r n β , G n β G n + 1 G_{n}\subseteq G_{n+1} G n β β G n + 1 β . If X ( Ο ) β Z ( Ο ) X(\omega)\neq Z(\omega) X ( Ο ) ξ = Z ( Ο ) , then d ( X ( Ο ) , Z ( Ο ) ) > 0 d(X(\omega),Z(\omega))>0 d ( X ( Ο ) , Z ( Ο )) > 0 , and by Thresholds some r n < d ( X ( Ο ) , Z ( Ο ) ) r_{n}<d(X(\omega),Z(\omega)) r n β < d ( X ( Ο ) , Z ( Ο )) ; so { X β Z } = β n β N G n \{X\neq Z\}=\bigcup_{n\in\mathbb{N}}G_{n} { X ξ = Z } = β n β N β G n β . Continuity from below, Basic Properties of a Measure (viii) , gives
P ( X β Z ) = sup β‘ n P ( G n ) = 0 , P(X\neq Z)=\sup_{n}P(G_{n})=0, P ( X ξ = Z ) = n sup β P ( G n β ) = 0 ,
that is, X = Z X=Z X = Z almost surely.