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Proof of Doob's L2 Maximal Inequality in Discrete Time

theoremthm:doob-l2-maximal-inequality-2026a
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Reason: Proof of thm:doob-l2-maximal-inequality-2026a via the layer-cake formula, the weak-type inequality, Tonelli, and Cauchy-Schwarz; martingale case via the absolute-value submartingale. Approved by Aaron.

Proof

Part 1: nonnegative submartingales. By Doob's Maximal Inequality for Square-Integrable Submartingales, Mβˆ—M^{*} is a square-integrable random variable, and for every u>0u>0,

u P(Mβˆ—>u)≀E[Mtn1{Mβˆ—>u}].u\,P(M^{*}>u)\le\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_{t_n}\mathbf{1}_{\{M^{*}>u\}}\bigr].

Since every Mtkβ‰₯0M_{t_k}\ge0 pointwise, also Mβˆ—β‰₯0M^{*}\ge0 pointwise. By Layer-Cake Formula for the Second Moment applied to Y=Mβˆ—Y=M^{*},

∫Ω(Mβˆ—)2 dP=∫Rφ dm,Ο†(u)=2u P(Mβˆ—>u)Β (u>0),Ο†(u)=0Β (u≀0),\int_{\Omega}(M^{*})^{2}\,dP=\int_{\mathbb{R}}\varphi\,dm,\qquad \varphi(u)=2u\,P(M^{*}>u)\ (u>0),\quad\varphi(u)=0\ (u\le0),

with mm Lebesgue measure and Ο†\varphi measurable.

As in the proof of the layer-cake lemma, form the product measure PβŠ—mP\otimes m (Product Sigma-Algebra, Existence and Uniqueness of the Product Measure; PP is finite and mm is Οƒ\sigma-finite since m([βˆ’n,n])=2nm([-n,n])=2n), and let

Eβ€²={(Ο‰,u):0<u<Mβˆ—(Ο‰)}=⋃q({Mβˆ—>q}Γ—(0,q)),E'=\{(\omega,u):0<u<M^{*}(\omega)\}=\bigcup_{q}\bigl(\{M^{*}>q\}\times(0,q)\bigr),

the union over positive rationals qq, which lies in FβŠ—B(R)\mathcal{F}\otimes\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}) by the density of the rationals, the countability of the rationals, and Product Sigma-Algebra. Define h(Ο‰,u)=2Mtn(Ο‰)h(\omega,u)=2M_{t_n}(\omega) for (Ο‰,u)∈Eβ€²(\omega,u)\in E' and h=0h=0 otherwise; hβ‰₯0h\ge0 since Mtnβ‰₯0M_{t_n}\ge0. For aβ‰₯0a\ge0,

{h>a}=Eβ€²βˆ©({2Mtn>a}Γ—R),\{h>a\}=E'\cap\bigl(\{2M_{t_n}>a\}\times\mathbb{R}\bigr),

and {h>a}=Ω×R\{h>a\}=\Omega\times\mathbb{R} for a<0a<0; by the half-line criterion of Measurable Function and Real-Valued Measurable Function, hh is measurable. By the Tonelli part of Tonelli and Fubini Theorems:

uu-slices. For u≀0u\le0 the slice is 00; for u>0u>0 it is the function 2Mtn1{Mβˆ—>u}2M_{t_n}\mathbf{1}_{\{M^{*}>u\}}, with integral ψ(u)=2 E[Mtn1{Mβˆ—>u}]β‰₯0\psi(u)=2\,\mathbb{E}[M_{t_n}\mathbf{1}_{\{M^{*}>u\}}]\ge0. Tonelli asserts that ψ\psi (extended by 00 for u≀0u\le0) is measurable and ∫RΟˆβ€‰dm=∫h d(PβŠ—m)\int_{\mathbb{R}}\psi\,dm=\int h\,d(P\otimes m).

Ο‰\omega-slices. Fix Ο‰\omega and put c=2Mtn(Ο‰)β‰₯0c=2M_{t_n}(\omega)\ge0, d=Mβˆ—(Ο‰)β‰₯0d=M^{*}(\omega)\ge0. The slice h(Ο‰,β‹…)h(\omega,\cdot) is the simple function c 1(0,d)c\,\mathbf{1}_{(0,d)}, with integral c m((0,d))=c dc\,m((0,d))=c\,d by the interval property of Existence of Lebesgue Measure on the Real Line (for d=0d=0 the interval is empty and the integral is 0=c d0=c\,d). Hence the other iterated integral is ∫Ω2MtnMβˆ—β€‰dP\int_{\Omega}2M_{t_n}M^{*}\,dP, and Tonelli gives

∫RΟˆβ€‰dm=∫Ω2MtnMβˆ—β€‰dP=2 E[MtnMβˆ—],\int_{\mathbb{R}}\psi\,dm=\int_{\Omega}2M_{t_n}M^{*}\,dP=2\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_{t_n}M^{*}\bigr],

the product MtnMβˆ—M_{t_n}M^{*} being integrable as a product of square-integrable random variables (Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product).

By the displayed weak-type inequality, Ο†β‰€Οˆ\varphi\le\psi pointwise on R\mathbb{R} (both vanish for u≀0u\le0), so by monotonicity of the integral (Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral) and the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality for the mean-square inner product,

E[(Mβˆ—)2]=∫Rφ dmβ‰€βˆ«RΟˆβ€‰dm=2 E[MtnMβˆ—]≀2 βˆ₯Mtnβˆ₯2 βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯2,\mathbb{E}\bigl[(M^{*})^{2}\bigr]=\int_{\mathbb{R}}\varphi\,dm\le\int_{\mathbb{R}}\psi\,dm=2\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_{t_n}M^{*}\bigr]\le2\,\lVert M_{t_n}\rVert_{2}\,\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2},

with the mean-square norm βˆ₯Xβˆ₯2=E[X2]1/2\lVert X\rVert_{2}=\mathbb{E}[X^{2}]^{1/2}. If βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯2=0\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2}=0, then E[(Mβˆ—)2]=0≀4 E[Mtn2]\mathbb{E}[(M^{*})^{2}]=0\le4\,\mathbb{E}[M_{t_n}^{2}]. Otherwise, dividing the inequality βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯22≀2βˆ₯Mtnβˆ₯2βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯2\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2}^{2}\le2\lVert M_{t_n}\rVert_{2}\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2} by βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯2>0\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2}>0 gives βˆ₯Mβˆ—βˆ₯2≀2βˆ₯Mtnβˆ₯2\lVert M^{*}\rVert_{2}\le2\lVert M_{t_n}\rVert_{2}, and squaring both (nonnegative) sides gives E[(Mβˆ—)2]≀4 E[Mtn2]\mathbb{E}[(M^{*})^{2}]\le4\,\mathbb{E}[M_{t_n}^{2}].

Part 2: martingales. Define Nt=∣Mt∣N_t=|M_t| pointwise for every tβ‰₯0t\ge0. We check that N=(Nt)tβ‰₯0N=(N_t)_{t\ge0} is a square-integrable submartingale with Ntβ‰₯0N_t\ge0 pointwise.

Adapted and square-integrable. For aβ‰₯0a\ge0, {Nt>a}={Mt>a}βˆͺ{Mt<βˆ’a}∈Ft\{N_t>a\}=\{M_t>a\}\cup\{M_t<-a\}\in\mathcal{F}_t by clause (i) of Square-Integrable Martingale, Submartingale, and Supermartingale and Filtration, Adapted Process, and Natural Filtration, and {Nt>a}=Ξ©\{N_t>a\}=\Omega for a<0a<0; by the half-line criterion of Measurable Function and Real-Valued Measurable Function, NtN_t is Ft\mathcal{F}_t-measurable. Since Nt2=Mt2N_t^{2}=M_t^{2} pointwise, NtN_t is square-integrable.

Submartingale property. Fix real 0≀s≀t0\le s\le t and A∈FsA\in\mathcal{F}_s, and split A+=A∩{Ms>0}A^{+}=A\cap\{M_s>0\} and Aβˆ’=A∩{Ms≀0}A^{-}=A\cap\{M_s\le0\}, both in Fs\mathcal{F}_s since MsM_s is Fs\mathcal{F}_s-measurable and a Οƒ\sigma-algebra contains complements and intersections. Pointwise Ntβ‰₯MtN_t\ge M_t and Ntβ‰₯βˆ’MtN_t\ge-M_t; all products below are integrable since multiplying by indicators only decreases absolute values. On A+A^{+} one has Ms=NsM_s=N_s pointwise, so by monotonicity of the integral (Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral) and the averaged martingale identity of Square-Integrable Martingale, Submartingale, and Supermartingale applied to A+∈FsA^{+}\in\mathcal{F}_s,

E[Nt1A+]β‰₯E[Mt1A+]=E[Ms1A+]=E[Ns1A+].\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_t\mathbf{1}_{A^{+}}\bigr]\ge\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_t\mathbf{1}_{A^{+}}\bigr]=\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_s\mathbf{1}_{A^{+}}\bigr]=\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_s\mathbf{1}_{A^{+}}\bigr].

On Aβˆ’A^{-} one has βˆ’Ms=Ns-M_s=N_s pointwise, so by monotonicity, linearity, and the averaged identity applied to Aβˆ’βˆˆFsA^{-}\in\mathcal{F}_s,

E[Nt1Aβˆ’]β‰₯E[βˆ’Mt1Aβˆ’]=βˆ’E[Mt1Aβˆ’]=βˆ’E[Ms1Aβˆ’]=E[Ns1Aβˆ’].\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_t\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}}\bigr]\ge\mathbb{E}\bigl[-M_t\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}}\bigr]=-\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_t\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}}\bigr]=-\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_s\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}}\bigr]=\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_s\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}}\bigr].

Adding the two inequalities and using 1A=1A++1Aβˆ’\mathbf{1}_{A}=\mathbf{1}_{A^{+}}+\mathbf{1}_{A^{-}} pointwise with linearity of the integral,

E[Nt1A]β‰₯E[Ns1A](0≀s≀t,Β A∈Fs),\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_t\mathbf{1}_{A}\bigr]\ge\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_s\mathbf{1}_{A}\bigr]\qquad(0\le s\le t,\ A\in\mathcal{F}_s),

which is the averaged submartingale inequality of Square-Integrable Martingale, Submartingale, and Supermartingale.

Conclusion. The process NN is a square-integrable submartingale with Nt(Ο‰)β‰₯0N_t(\omega)\ge0 everywhere, and its running maximum at the times t0<β‹―<tnt_0<\dots<t_n is Mβ€Ύ\overline{M} pointwise. By Doob's Maximal Inequality for Square-Integrable Submartingales, Mβ€Ύ\overline{M} is a square-integrable random variable, and by Part 1 applied to NN,

E[Mβ€Ύ2]≀4 E[Ntn2]=4 E[Mtn2],\mathbb{E}\bigl[\overline{M}^{2}\bigr]\le4\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[N_{t_n}^{2}\bigr]=4\,\mathbb{E}\bigl[M_{t_n}^{2}\bigr],

since Ntn2=Mtn2N_{t_n}^{2}=M_{t_n}^{2} pointwise. β– \blacksquare

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