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Proof of Expected Bilinear Forms: Trace Formula and Mean-Square Continuity

lemmalem:expected-quadratic-form-2026a
Edited byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Proof of lem:expected-quadratic-form-2026a (separation-theorem block D0). Internally reviewed and validated; approved by Aaron on 2026-07-31.

Proof

Throughout, 2\lVert\cdot\rVert_{2} and ,2\langle\cdot,\cdot\rangle_{2} are the mean-square norm and inner product of Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product.

Claim 1. By the definitions of the dot product and the matrix-vector product, applied pointwise on Ω\Omega,

Y(MY)=i=1pj=1pMijYiYj.Y\cdot(MY)=\sum_{i=1}^{p}\sum_{j=1}^{p}M_{ij}\,Y^{i}Y^{j}.

For each pair (i,j)(i,j) the product YiYjY^{i}Y^{j} is integrable with E[YiYj]Yi2Yj2\mathbb{E}\bigl[|Y^{i}Y^{j}|\bigr]\le\lVert Y^{i}\rVert_{2}\lVert Y^{j}\rVert_{2}, by Cauchy-Schwarz and Triangle Inequalities for the Mean-Square Norm applied to Yi|Y^{i}| and Yj|Y^{j}|, which are square-integrable by the closure properties of Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product (their squares agree with those of Yi,YjY^{i},Y^{j}). Hence the finite sum is integrable and, by linearity of the integral (Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral),

E[Y(MY)]=i,jMijE[YiYj].\mathbb{E}\bigl[Y\cdot(MY)\bigr]=\sum_{i,j}M_{ij}\,\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}Y^{j}].

By the definition of the covariance, E[YiYj]=Cov(Yi,Yj)+E[Yi]E[Yj]=Cij+μiμj\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}Y^{j}]=\operatorname{Cov}(Y^{i},Y^{j})+\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}]\mathbb{E}[Y^{j}]=C_{ij}+\mu^{i}\mu^{j}. Therefore

E[Y(MY)]=i,jMijCij+i,jMijμiμj=tr(MC)+μ(Mμ),\mathbb{E}\bigl[Y\cdot(MY)\bigr]=\sum_{i,j}M_{ij}C_{ij}+\sum_{i,j}M_{ij}\mu^{i}\mu^{j}=\operatorname{tr}(M^{\top}C)+\mu\cdot(M\mu),

using claim 4 of Basic Properties of the Trace for the first sum and the definitions of dot product and matrix-vector product for the second. Finally, CC is symmetric (Cov(Yi,Yj)=Cov(Yj,Yi)\operatorname{Cov}(Y^{i},Y^{j})=\operatorname{Cov}(Y^{j},Y^{i}) by the symmetry of its defining formula), so claims 2-3 of Basic Properties of the Trace give tr(MC)=tr((MC))=tr(CM)=tr(CM)=tr(MC)\operatorname{tr}(M^{\top}C)=\operatorname{tr}\bigl((M^{\top}C)^{\top}\bigr)=\operatorname{tr}(C^{\top}M)=\operatorname{tr}(CM)=\operatorname{tr}(MC), with (MC)=CM(M^{\top}C)^{\top}=C^{\top}M by claim 3 of Componentwise Estimates, Transpose Identities, and Indefinite Riemann Integrals.

Claim 2. As in claim 1, for each tt,

E[Yt(M(t)Zt)]=i=1pj=1qMij(t)E[YtiZtj],\mathbb{E}\bigl[Y_t\cdot(M(t)Z_t)\bigr]=\sum_{i=1}^{p}\sum_{j=1}^{q}M_{ij}(t)\,\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}_tZ^{j}_t],

all terms defined and finite. It therefore suffices, by the continuity of sums and products of continuous real functions (Sums and Products of Continuous Real-Valued Functions), to show that each function tE[YtiZtj]=Yti,Ztj2t\mapsto\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}_tZ^{j}_t]=\langle Y^{i}_t,Z^{j}_t\rangle_{2} is continuous on [a,b][a,b]. Fix s,t[a,b]s,t\in[a,b]. Adding and subtracting E[YsiZtj]\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}_sZ^{j}_t] and applying Cauchy-Schwarz and Triangle Inequalities for the Mean-Square Norm twice,

E[YtiZtj]E[YsiZsj]YtiYsi2Ztj2+Ysi2ZtjZsj2.\bigl|\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}_tZ^{j}_t]-\mathbb{E}[Y^{i}_sZ^{j}_s]\bigr|\le\lVert Y^{i}_t-Y^{i}_s\rVert_{2}\,\lVert Z^{j}_t\rVert_{2}+\lVert Y^{i}_s\rVert_{2}\,\lVert Z^{j}_t-Z^{j}_s\rVert_{2}.

By claim 4 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral, the functions tYti2t\mapsto\lVert Y^{i}_t\rVert_{2} and tZtj2t\mapsto\lVert Z^{j}_t\rVert_{2} are continuous on the compact interval [a,b][a,b], hence bounded there by Extreme Value Theorem on a Compact Interval; and YtiYsi20\lVert Y^{i}_t-Y^{i}_s\rVert_{2}\to0, ZtjZsj20\lVert Z^{j}_t-Z^{j}_s\rVert_{2}\to0 as tst\to s by mean-square continuity. Hence the right-hand side tends to 00 as tst\to s, which is the asserted continuity at ss. \square

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