TheoremBase

Proof

Steps 1--4 below are adapted from the proof of The Multivariate van Trees Inequality (proof version 24faa7bd-c8a3-4670-a59a-137757233010, cited as provenance), whose hypothesis (iv) enters those steps only through the square-integrability of the scores, which is hypothesis (iv′') here; the single map mm of the present lemma plays the role of each of the maps m1,…,mlm_1,\dots,m_l there. Throughout, λ\lambda, B(R)\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}), Bl\mathcal{B}_l, λl\lambda_l and the insertion maps Ψi\Psi_i are those of Finite Products of Lebesgue Measure and Coordinate Integration on Rl\mathbb{R}^l; write κ=λl⊗μ\kappa=\lambda_l\otimes\mu. Expectations are those of Expectation, Variance, and Moments, and integrals those of Lebesgue Integral of a Nonnegative Measurable Function and Integrable Function and the Lebesgue Integral. For l=1l=1 we use throughout the conventions of Finite Products of Lebesgue Measure and Coordinate Integration on Rl\mathbb{R}^l: a pair (θ′,y)(\theta',y) reads as yy, λl−1⊗μ\lambda_{l-1}\otimes\mu as μ\mu, and Ψ1(t,y)=(t,y)\Psi_1(t,y)=(t,y); every step below then applies verbatim, the case i≠ji\ne j in Step 4(b) being vacuous.

Step 1 (change of variables). (Θ,D)(\Theta,D) is measurable and QQ is its image measure, and by assumption (i), QQ is the measure with density pp with respect to κ\kappa. Hence claims 2 and 3 of Image Measures, Measures with Densities, and Change of Variables give: for every Bl⊗G\mathcal{B}_l\otimes\mathcal{G}-measurable g:Rl×Y→[0,∞]g:\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y\to[0,\infty],

∫Ωg∘(Θ,D) dP=∫g dQ=∫g p dκin [0,∞];\int_{\Omega}g\circ(\Theta,D)\,dP=\int g\,dQ=\int g\,p\,d\kappa\qquad\text{in }[0,\infty];

and for measurable g:Rl×Y→Rg:\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y\to\mathbb{R}, the random variable g∘(Θ,D)g\circ(\Theta,D) is integrable with respect to PP if and only if gpgp is integrable with respect to κ\kappa, in which case E[g(Θ,D)]=∫gp dκ\mathbb{E}[g(\Theta,D)]=\int gp\,d\kappa. Taking g≡1g\equiv1: ∫p dκ=Q(Rl×Y)=P(Ω)=1\int p\,d\kappa=Q(\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y)=P(\Omega)=1.

Step 2 (a one-dimensional vanishing lemma). Let g:R→Rg:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R} be differentiable at every point of R\mathbb{R}, regarded as an interval each of whose points xx is an interior point (as x−1<x<x+1x-1<x<x+1 with x−1,x+1∈Rx-1,x+1\in\mathbb{R}), let gg and its derivative g′g' be continuous on R\mathbb{R} as maps from the real line with the absolute value metric into itself, and let gg and g′g' be integrable with respect to λ\lambda. (They are measurable: for continuous u:R→Ru:\mathbb{R}\to\mathbb{R} and real aa, each point of {u>a}\{u>a\} has an open interval around it inside the set, by continuity, so {u>a}\{u>a\} is open and hence lies in the Borel σ\sigma-algebra.) Then:

(i) ∫Rg′ dλ=0\int_{\mathbb{R}}g'\,d\lambda=0.

(ii) If moreover t↦t g(t)t\mapsto t\,g(t) and t↦t g′(t)t\mapsto t\,g'(t) are integrable with respect to λ\lambda, then ∫Rt g′(t) dλ(t)=−∫Rg dλ\int_{\mathbb{R}}t\,g'(t)\,d\lambda(t)=-\int_{\mathbb{R}}g\,d\lambda.

Proof of (i). Let a<ba<b be real and write [a,b][a,b] for the closed interval they determine, regarded as a subset of the real line with the absolute value metric. The restrictions of gg and of g′g' to [a,b][a,b] are continuous on [a,b][a,b] by claim 1 of the restriction lemma. By claim 3 of the interval toolkit, the restriction of g′g' is therefore Riemann integrable on [a,b][a,b] with ∫abg′(t) dt=∫[a,b]g′ dλ[a,b]\int_a^bg'(t)\,dt=\int_{[a,b]}g'\,d\lambda_{[a,b]}, and by claim 2 of the same lemma the latter integral is ∫Rg′ 1[a,b] dλ\int_{\mathbb{R}}g'\,\mathbf{1}_{[a,b]}\,d\lambda, since the zero extension of the restriction of g′g' is g′1[a,b]g'\mathbf{1}_{[a,b]}. Moreover R\mathbb{R} is an interval containing [a,b][a,b] and every xx with a<x<ba<x<b is an interior point of [a,b][a,b], so claim 2 of the restriction lemma makes the restriction of gg differentiable at every such xx, with derivative g′(x)g'(x). Applying the second fundamental theorem of calculus to the restrictions of gg and g′g' gives g(b)−g(a)=∫abg′(t) dtg(b)-g(a)=\int_a^bg'(t)\,dt. Thus

g(b)−g(a)=∫Rg′ 1[a,b] dλ(a<b).(∗)g(b)-g(a)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}g'\,\mathbf{1}_{[a,b]}\,d\lambda\qquad(a<b).\tag{$*$}

As n→∞n\to\infty through the natural numbers, g′1[0,n]→g′1[0,∞)g'\mathbf{1}_{[0,n]}\to g'\mathbf{1}_{[0,\infty)} pointwise, dominated by the integrable ∣g′∣|g'|, so Dominated Convergence Theorem and (∗*) give g(n)→c+:=g(0)+∫g′1[0,∞) dλg(n)\to c_+:=g(0)+\int g'\mathbf{1}_{[0,\infty)}\,d\lambda. Moreover, by (∗*) and monotonicity, sup⁡t∈[n,n+1]∣g(t)−g(n)∣≤∫∣g′∣1[n,∞) dλ→0\sup_{t\in[n,n+1]}|g(t)-g(n)|\le\int|g'|\mathbf{1}_{[n,\infty)}\,d\lambda\to0 (dominated convergence again), so g(t)→c+g(t)\to c_+ as t→∞t\to\infty. If c+≠0c_+\ne0, there is R0>0R_0>0 with ∣g(t)∣≥∣c+∣/2|g(t)|\ge|c_+|/2 for all t≥R0t\ge R_0; then for every natural n>R0n>R_0, monotonicity, the integral of simple functions, and Existence of Lebesgue Measure on the Real Line give ∫∣g∣ dλ≥(∣c+∣/2) λ([R0,n])=(∣c+∣/2)(n−R0)→∞\int|g|\,d\lambda\ge(|c_+|/2)\,\lambda([R_0,n])=(|c_+|/2)(n-R_0)\to\infty, contradicting integrability of gg; so c+=0c_+=0. Symmetrically, g(−n)=g(0)−∫g′1[−n,0] dλg(-n)=g(0)-\int g'\mathbf{1}_{[-n,0]}\,d\lambda converges to a limit c−c_-, g(t)→c−g(t)\to c_- as t→−∞t\to-\infty, and c−=0c_-=0. Finally, by dominated convergence and (∗*),

∫Rg′ dλ=lim⁡n∫g′ 1[−n,n] dλ=lim⁡n(g(n)−g(−n))=c+−c−=0.\int_{\mathbb{R}}g'\,d\lambda=\lim_{n}\int g'\,\mathbf{1}_{[-n,n]}\,d\lambda=\lim_{n}\bigl(g(n)-g(-n)\bigr)=c_+-c_-=0 .

Proof of (ii). h(t)=t g(t)h(t)=t\,g(t) is differentiable at every point with h′(t)=g(t)+t g′(t)h'(t)=g(t)+t\,g'(t) by claim 3 (the product rule) of Sum, Constant Multiple, and Product Rules for One-Dimensional Derivatives (the map t↦tt\mapsto t has derivative 11 directly from the definition of the derivative); hh and h′h' are continuous, by claims 2, 3 and 5 of the continuity of sums and products of real-valued functions on a metric space together with the continuity of the identity map t↦tt\mapsto t (for which δ=ε\delta=\varepsilon works); hh is integrable by assumption, and h′h' is integrable as a sum of integrable functions (Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral). Part (i) applied to hh gives ∫(g(t)+t g′(t)) dλ(t)=0\int(g(t)+t\,g'(t))\,d\lambda(t)=0, and linearity gives (ii).

Step 3 (slices of the density). Fix i∈{1,…,l}i\in\{1,\dots,l\}. For (θ′,y)∈Rl−1×Y(\theta',y)\in\mathbb{R}^{l-1}\times Y and t∈Rt\in\mathbb{R} put gθ′,y(t)=p(Ψi(t,(θ′,y)))g_{\theta',y}(t)=p\bigl(\Psi_i(t,(\theta',y))\bigr), and write Ψi(t,(θ′,y))=(θ(t),y)\Psi_i(t,(\theta',y))=(\theta(t),y), so that θ(t)∈Rl\theta(t)\in\mathbb{R}^{l} has iith coordinate tt and all other coordinates independent of tt, and gθ′,y(t)=p(θ(t),y)g_{\theta',y}(t)=p(\theta(t),y). Since θ(t)\theta(t) and θ(t0)\theta(t_0) differ only in the iith coordinate,

∑k=1l(θ(t)k−θ(t0)k)2=(t−t0)2(t,t0∈R).\sum_{k=1}^{l}\bigl(\theta(t)_k-\theta(t_0)_k\bigr)^2=(t-t_0)^2\qquad(t,t_0\in\mathbb{R}).

By assumption (ii), gθ′,yg_{\theta',y} is strictly positive.

Differentiability. Fix t0∈Rt_0\in\mathbb{R}. By assumption (ii) the function p(⋅,y)p(\cdot,y) is of class C1C^1 on Rl\mathbb{R}^{l}, so by clauses 1 and 3 of the definition of a CkC^k map its partial derivative with respect to the iith variable exists at θ(t0)\theta(t_0). Unwinding that definition: for every real ε>0\varepsilon>0 there is a real δ>0\delta>0 such that every real hh with 0<∣h∣<δ0<|h|<\delta satisfies

∣p(θ(t0+h),y)−p(θ(t0),y)h−∂ip(θ(t0),y)∣<ε,\left|\frac{p\bigl(\theta(t_0+h),y\bigr)-p\bigl(\theta(t_0),y\bigr)}{h}-\partial_ip\bigl(\theta(t_0),y\bigr)\right|<\varepsilon ,

because the point obtained from θ(t0)\theta(t_0) by increasing its iith coordinate by hh is exactly θ(t0+h)\theta(t_0+h). The further requirement in that definition, that the incremented point belong to the domain, is automatic here because the domain is all of Rl\mathbb{R}^{l}; what remains is verbatim the assertion that gθ′,yg_{\theta',y} is differentiable at t0t_0 with

gθ′,y′(t0)=∂ip(θ(t0),y)=∂ip(Ψi(t0,(θ′,y))),g_{\theta',y}'(t_0)=\partial_i p\bigl(\theta(t_0),y\bigr)=\partial_i p\bigl(\Psi_i(t_0,(\theta',y))\bigr),

the value being unambiguous by Uniqueness of the Partial Derivative on a Euclidean Open Set.

Continuity. By clause 1 of the same definition, p(⋅,y)p(\cdot,y) and ∂ip(⋅,y)\partial_ip(\cdot,y) are continuous at every point of Rl\mathbb{R}^{l}. Let uu be either of them, let t0∈Rt_0\in\mathbb{R} and let ε>0\varepsilon>0 be real; continuity of uu at θ(t0)\theta(t_0) supplies a real δ>0\delta>0 such that every w∈Rlw\in\mathbb{R}^{l} with ∑k(wk−θ(t0)k)2<δ2\sum_k(w_k-\theta(t_0)_k)^2<\delta^2 satisfies (u(w)−u(θ(t0)))2<ε2\bigl(u(w)-u(\theta(t_0))\bigr)^2<\varepsilon^2. Taking w=θ(t)w=\theta(t) and using the displayed identity, (t−t0)2<δ2(t-t_0)^2<\delta^2 implies (u(θ(t))−u(θ(t0)))2<ε2\bigl(u(\theta(t))-u(\theta(t_0))\bigr)^2<\varepsilon^2; by clause 2 of monotonicity of squaring, applied to the nonnegative reals ∣t−t0∣,δ|t-t_0|,\delta and ∣u(θ(t))−u(θ(t0))∣,ε|u(\theta(t))-u(\theta(t_0))|,\varepsilon, this says that ∣t−t0∣<δ|t-t_0|<\delta implies ∣u(θ(t))−u(θ(t0))∣<ε|u(\theta(t))-u(\theta(t_0))|<\varepsilon. Hence gθ′,yg_{\theta',y} and gθ′,y′g_{\theta',y}' are continuous at every point of R\mathbb{R}, as maps from the real line with the absolute value metric into itself.

Step 4 (the score identities). Fix i,j∈{1,…,l}i,j\in\{1,\dots,l\} and let δij=1\delta_{ij}=1 if i=ji=j and δij=0\delta_{ij}=0 otherwise. We show

E[m(D) Si]=0andE[Θj Si]=−δij.\mathbb{E}[m(D)\,S_i]=0\qquad\text{and}\qquad\mathbb{E}[\Theta_j\,S_i]=-\delta_{ij}.

We use three elementary facts on a measure space, from Lebesgue Integral of a Nonnegative Measurable Function, Simple Function and Its Integral, and Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral: (F1) a [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued measurable uu with finite integral is finite off a set of measure zero (on N={u=∞}N=\{u=\infty\} one has u≥L1Nu\ge L\mathbf{1}_N for every LL, so L ν(N)≤∫u dνL\,\nu(N)\le\int u\,d\nu for every LL, ν\nu denoting the measure of the space in question); (F2) a [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued measurable uu vanishing off a set of measure zero has ∫u dν=0\int u\,d\nu=0 (every simple ss with 0≤s≤u0\le s\le u is bounded by a multiple of the indicator of that set, so ∫s dm=0\int s\,dm=0; take the supremum); (F3) consequently, integrable real functions agreeing off a set of measure zero have equal integrals, and likewise [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued measurable functions (split by the exceptional set and use additivity with (F2)).

(a) E[m(D)Si]=0\mathbb{E}[m(D)S_i]=0. The function G(θ,y)=m(y) ∂ip(θ,y)/p(θ,y)G(\theta,y)=m(y)\,\partial_ip(\theta,y)/p(\theta,y) is Bl⊗G\mathcal{B}_l\otimes\mathcal{G}-measurable: (θ,y)↦m(y)(\theta,y)\mapsto m(y) is measurable (the preimage of a Borel set AA is the measurable rectangle Rl×m−1(A)\mathbb{R}^{l}\times m^{-1}(A)), ∂ip/p\partial_ip/p is measurable by Sequentially Continuous Functions of Measurable Euclidean Maps are Measurable applied to the continuous map (u,v)↦u/v(u,v)\mapsto u/v on R×(0,∞)\mathbb{R}\times(0,\infty) composed with (∂ip,p)(\partial_ip,p), whose components are measurable by assumptions (iii) and (i) and which takes values in R×(0,∞)\mathbb{R}\times(0,\infty) by assumption (ii), and products of real-valued measurable functions are measurable by Sequentially Continuous Functions of Measurable Euclidean Maps are Measurable (the map (u,v)↦uv(u,v)\mapsto uv is continuous on R2\mathbb{R}^{2}). The random variable G(Θ,D)=m(D)SiG(\Theta,D)=m(D)S_i is integrable, being a product of the square-integrable random variables m(D)m(D) and SiS_i (Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product). By Step 1, GpGp is κ\kappa-integrable and

E[m(D)Si]=∫Gp dκ=∫m(y) ∂ip(θ,y) dκ(θ,y),\mathbb{E}[m(D)S_i]=\int Gp\,d\kappa=\int m(y)\,\partial_ip(\theta,y)\,d\kappa(\theta,y),

the second equality holding pointwise because p>0p>0 everywhere (assumption (ii)). Apply claim 4 of Finite Products of Lebesgue Measure and Coordinate Integration on Rl\mathbb{R}^l (coordinate Fubini at coordinate ii) to the κ\kappa-integrable (θ,y)↦m(y)∂ip(θ,y)(\theta,y)\mapsto m(y)\partial_ip(\theta,y): there is a set N1N_1 of measure zero off which t↦m(y) gθ′,y′(t)t\mapsto m(y)\,g_{\theta',y}'(t) is λ\lambda-integrable (Step 3 identifies the integrand), and ∫m∂ip dκ\int m\partial_ip\,d\kappa equals the integral of the function FF given off N1N_1 by F(θ′,y)=∫Rm(y)gθ′,y′(t) dλ(t)F(\theta',y)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}m(y)g_{\theta',y}'(t)\,d\lambda(t) and by 00 on N1N_1. Now apply claim 3 of Finite Products of Lebesgue Measure and Coordinate Integration on Rl\mathbb{R}^l (coordinate Tonelli) to the nonnegative measurable functions pp and ∣∂ip∣|\partial_ip|: since ∫p dκ=1<∞\int p\,d\kappa=1<\infty (Step 1) and ∫∣∂ip∣ dκ<∞\int|\partial_ip|\,d\kappa<\infty (assumption (iii)), the measurable [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued functions (θ′,y)↦∫Rgθ′,y dλ(\theta',y)\mapsto\int_{\mathbb{R}}g_{\theta',y}\,d\lambda and (θ′,y)↦∫R∣gθ′,y′∣ dλ(\theta',y)\mapsto\int_{\mathbb{R}}|g_{\theta',y}'|\,d\lambda have finite integrals, hence by (F1) are finite off sets N2N_2, N3N_3 of measure zero. For (θ′,y)∉N1∪N2∪N3(\theta',y)\notin N_1\cup N_2\cup N_3, the function gθ′,yg_{\theta',y} satisfies all hypotheses of Step 2(i) (continuity and differentiability from Step 3, integrability off N2∪N3N_2\cup N_3), so ∫Rgθ′,y′ dλ=0\int_{\mathbb{R}}g_{\theta',y}'\,d\lambda=0 and, pulling out the constant m(y)m(y) by linearity (licensed off N3N_3, where gθ′,y′g_{\theta',y}' is λ\lambda-integrable), F(θ′,y)=0F(\theta',y)=0. Thus FF vanishes off a set of measure zero, and E[m(D)Si]=∫F d(λl−1⊗μ)=0\mathbb{E}[m(D)S_i]=\int F\,d(\lambda_{l-1}\otimes\mu)=0 by (F3).

(b) E[ΘjSi]=−δij\mathbb{E}[\Theta_jS_i]=-\delta_{ij}. Take G(θ,y)=θj ∂ip(θ,y)/p(θ,y)G(\theta,y)=\theta_j\,\partial_ip(\theta,y)/p(\theta,y); the coordinate map (θ,y)↦θj(\theta,y)\mapsto\theta_j is measurable (preimages are measurable rectangles), G(Θ,D)=ΘjSiG(\Theta,D)=\Theta_jS_i is integrable as a product of square-integrable random variables, and Step 1 gives

E[ΘjSi]=∫θj ∂ip(θ,y) dκ(θ,y),\mathbb{E}[\Theta_jS_i]=\int\theta_j\,\partial_ip(\theta,y)\,d\kappa(\theta,y),

the integrand being κ\kappa-integrable also directly from assumption (iii), since ∣θj∂ip∣≤(1+∑j′∣θj′∣)∣∂ip∣|\theta_j\partial_ip|\le(1+\sum_{j'}|\theta_{j'}|)|\partial_ip| pointwise.

Case i≠ji\ne j. The jjth coordinate of Ψi(t,(θ′,y))\Psi_i(t,(\theta',y)) does not depend on tt: it equals θj′\theta'_j if j<ij<i and θj−1′\theta'_{j-1} if j>ij>i; call it θ(j)′\theta'_{(j)}. Coordinate Fubini applied to θj∂ip\theta_j\partial_ip represents the integral through inner integrals ∫Rθ(j)′ gθ′,y′(t) dλ(t)=θ(j)′∫Rgθ′,y′ dλ=0\int_{\mathbb{R}}\theta'_{(j)}\,g_{\theta',y}'(t)\,d\lambda(t)=\theta'_{(j)}\int_{\mathbb{R}}g_{\theta',y}'\,d\lambda=0 off a set of measure zero, exactly as in (a) with the constant θ(j)′\theta'_{(j)} in place of m(y)m(y). Hence E[ΘjSi]=0\mathbb{E}[\Theta_jS_i]=0.

Case i=ji=j. Note that the iith coordinate of Ψi(t,(θ′,y))\Psi_i(t,(\theta',y)) is exactly tt. Coordinate Fubini applied to the κ\kappa-integrable θi∂ip\theta_i\partial_ip represents E[ΘiSi]\mathbb{E}[\Theta_iS_i] as the integral of the function FF equal, off a set N1′N_1' of measure zero, to F(θ′,y)=∫Rt gθ′,y′(t) dλ(t)F(\theta',y)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}t\,g_{\theta',y}'(t)\,d\lambda(t) and to 00 on N1′N_1'. Two further applications of coordinate Tonelli give sets of measure zero off which ∫R∣t∣ gθ′,y(t) dλ(t)<∞\int_{\mathbb{R}}|t|\,g_{\theta',y}(t)\,d\lambda(t)<\infty and ∫R∣t∣ ∣gθ′,y′(t)∣ dλ(t)<∞\int_{\mathbb{R}}|t|\,|g_{\theta',y}'(t)|\,d\lambda(t)<\infty: the first because ∫∣θi∣ p dκ=E[∣Θi∣]<∞\int|\theta_i|\,p\,d\kappa=\mathbb{E}[|\Theta_i|]<\infty by Step 1 (square-integrable random variables are integrable, Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product), the second from assumption (iii) with the weight ∣θi∣|\theta_i|, both followed by (F1). Off the union of all these sets and N2N_2, N3N_3 of part (a), Step 2(ii) applies to gθ′,yg_{\theta',y} and gives

F(θ′,y)=∫Rt gθ′,y′(t) dλ(t)=−∫Rgθ′,y dλ.F(\theta',y)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}t\,g_{\theta',y}'(t)\,d\lambda(t)=-\int_{\mathbb{R}}g_{\theta',y}\,d\lambda .

Let G0(θ′,y)=∫Rgθ′,y dλG_0(\theta',y)=\int_{\mathbb{R}}g_{\theta',y}\,d\lambda, the [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued measurable function of coordinate Tonelli applied to pp, with ∫G0 d(λl−1⊗μ)=∫p dκ=1\int G_0\,d(\lambda_{l-1}\otimes\mu)=\int p\,d\kappa=1. Then FF is integrable (claim 4), F+F^{+} vanishes off a set of measure zero, and F−=G0F^{-}=G_0 off a set of measure zero; so by (F2) and (F3), ∫F d(λl−1⊗μ)=−∫G0 d(λl−1⊗μ)=−1\int F\,d(\lambda_{l-1}\otimes\mu)=-\int G_0\,d(\lambda_{l-1}\otimes\mu)=-1. Hence E[ΘiSi]=−1\mathbb{E}[\Theta_iS_i]=-1.

Together, (a) and (b) are the two identities of claim 1:

E[m(D) Si]=0,E[Θj Si]=−δij(1≤i,j≤l).(∗∗)\mathbb{E}\bigl[m(D)\,S_i\bigr]=0,\qquad\mathbb{E}\bigl[\Theta_j\,S_i\bigr]=-\delta_{ij}\qquad(1\le i,j\le l).\tag{$**$}

Step 5 (claim 1, directional form). Fix u,α∈Rlu,\alpha\in\mathbb{R}^{l}. The random variable (m(D)−α⋅Θ)Su=∑i=1lui m(D)Si−∑i=1l∑j=1luiαj ΘjSi(m(D)-\alpha\cdot\Theta)S_u=\sum_{i=1}^{l}u_i\,m(D)S_i-\sum_{i=1}^{l}\sum_{j=1}^{l}u_i\alpha_j\,\Theta_jS_i is a finite linear combination of integrable random variables (products of square-integrable ones), so by linearity of the expectation and (∗∗**),

E[(m(D)−α⋅Θ)Su]=∑i=1lui⋅0−∑i=1l∑j=1luiαj(−δij)=∑i=1luiαi=α⋅u.\mathbb{E}\bigl[(m(D)-\alpha\cdot\Theta)S_u\bigr]=\sum_{i=1}^{l}u_i\cdot0-\sum_{i=1}^{l}\sum_{j=1}^{l}u_i\alpha_j(-\delta_{ij})=\sum_{i=1}^{l}u_i\alpha_i=\alpha\cdot u .

This completes the proof of claim 1.

Step 6 (claim 2). Measurability and normalization of pˉ\bar p. Fix jj and let τj:Rl×Y→Rl×Y\tau_j:\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y\to\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y, τj(θ,y)=(θ−aj,y)\tau_j(\theta,y)=(\theta-a_j,y). For a Borel rectangle R=A1×⋯×AlR=A_1\times\dots\times A_l and G∈GG\in\mathcal{G}, τj−1(R×G)=(R+aj)×G\tau_j^{-1}(R\times G)=(R+a_j)\times G with R+aj=(A1+(aj)1)×⋯×(Al+(aj)l)R+a_j=(A_1+(a_j)_1)\times\dots\times(A_l+(a_j)_l), a Borel rectangle by claim 1 of Translation and Reflection Invariance of Lebesgue Measure on Rn\mathbb{R}^n applied on the real line; since such sets R×GR\times G generate Bl⊗G\mathcal{B}_l\otimes\mathcal{G} (claim 2 of Finite Products of Lebesgue Measure and Coordinate Integration on Rl\mathbb{R}^l), τj\tau_j is measurable by the generator criterion of Measurable Function and Real-Valued Measurable Function, and p∘τj=p(θ−aj,y)p\circ\tau_j=p(\theta-a_j,y) is measurable. Hence pˉ\bar p, a nonnegative linear combination of measurable functions, is measurable, and it is strictly positive because p>0p>0 (assumption (ii)). By Tonelli and Fubini Theorems (Tonelli, both measures being σ\sigma-finite) and claim 2 of Translation and Reflection Invariance of Lebesgue Measure on Rn\mathbb{R}^n applied to the section θ↦p(θ,y)\theta\mapsto p(\theta,y) for each fixed yy (sections of product-measurable functions are measurable by the section clause of the same theorem),

∫p∘τj dκ=∫Y(∫Rlp(θ−aj,y) dλl(θ))dμ(y)=∫Y(∫Rlp(θ,y) dλl(θ))dμ(y)=∫p dκ=1,\int p\circ\tau_j\,d\kappa=\int_Y\Bigl(\int_{\mathbb{R}^{l}}p(\theta-a_j,y)\,d\lambda_l(\theta)\Bigr)d\mu(y)=\int_Y\Bigl(\int_{\mathbb{R}^{l}}p(\theta,y)\,d\lambda_l(\theta)\Bigr)d\mu(y)=\int p\,d\kappa=1 ,

so ∫pˉ dκ=12+12n⋅n=1\int\bar p\,d\kappa=\frac12+\frac{1}{2n}\cdot n=1 by linearity. More generally, the same two steps give, for every Bl⊗G\mathcal{B}_l\otimes\mathcal{G}-measurable F:Rl×Y→[0,∞]F:\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y\to[0,\infty],

∫F(θ,y) p(θ−aj,y) dκ(θ,y)=∫F(θ+aj,y) p(θ,y) dκ(θ,y)(T)\int F(\theta,y)\,p(\theta-a_j,y)\,d\kappa(\theta,y)=\int F(\theta+a_j,y)\,p(\theta,y)\,d\kappa(\theta,y)\tag{T}

(apply claim 2 of Translation and Reflection Invariance of Lebesgue Measure on Rn\mathbb{R}^n to the section θ↦F(θ,y)p(θ−aj,y)\theta\mapsto F(\theta,y)p(\theta-a_j,y) with the shift aja_j (that claim gives ∫h(θ+aj) dλl=∫h dλl\int h(\theta+a_j)\,d\lambda_l=\int h\,d\lambda_l for h(θ)=F(θ,y)p(θ−aj,y)h(\theta)=F(\theta,y)p(\theta-a_j,y)), noting that (θ,y)↦F(θ+aj,y)(\theta,y)\mapsto F(\theta+a_j,y) is measurable as F∘τj−1F\circ\tau_j^{-1}, with τj−1(θ,y)=(θ+aj,y)\tau_j^{-1}(\theta,y)=(\theta+a_j,y) measurable by the same generator argument).

The mixture-weight information. Fix uu. The function ∂up=∑iui∂ip\partial_up=\sum_iu_i\partial_ip is measurable (assumption (iii)), so (∂up)2/pˉ(\partial_up)^{2}/\bar p is measurable by Sequentially Continuous Functions of Measurable Euclidean Maps are Measurable applied to the continuous map (s,t)↦s2/t(s,t)\mapsto s^{2}/t on R×(0,∞)\mathbb{R}\times(0,\infty). Since pˉ≥12p\bar p\ge\frac12p pointwise, (∂up)2/pˉ≤2(∂up)2/p(\partial_up)^{2}/\bar p\le2(\partial_up)^{2}/p, and by Step 1 (change of variables, with g=(∂up)2/p2g=(\partial_up)^{2}/p^{2}, so that gp=(∂up)2/pgp=(\partial_up)^{2}/p and g(Θ,D)=Su2g(\Theta,D)=S_u^{2}),

Iu=∫(∂up)2pˉ dκ≤2∫(∂up)2p dκ=2 E[Su2]<∞,\mathcal{I}_u=\int\frac{(\partial_up)^{2}}{\bar p}\,d\kappa\le2\int\frac{(\partial_up)^{2}}{p}\,d\kappa=2\,\mathbb{E}[S_u^{2}]<\infty ,

SuS_u being square-integrable as a linear combination of the square-integrable SiS_i (hypothesis (iv′')).

The shifted errors. Fix mm and α\alpha, put e(θ,y)=m(y)−α⋅θe(\theta,y)=m(y)-\alpha\cdot\theta, a measurable real-valued function on Rl×Y\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y (as in Step 4, (θ,y)↦m(y)(\theta,y)\mapsto m(y) and the coordinate maps are measurable), and put ϵ=∥e(Θ,D)∥2=∥m(D)−α⋅Θ∥2\epsilon=\lVert e(\Theta,D)\rVert_2=\lVert m(D)-\alpha\cdot\Theta\rVert_2 and cj=α⋅ajc_j=\alpha\cdot a_j. For each jj, e(θ+aj,y)=e(θ,y)−cje(\theta+a_j,y)=e(\theta,y)-c_j, so by (T) applied to F=e2F=e^{2} and then Step 1,

∫e2 p∘τj dκ=∫(e−cj)2p dκ=E[(e(Θ,D)−cj)2]=∥e(Θ,D)−cj∥22≤(ϵ+∣cj∣)2,\int e^{2}\,p\circ\tau_j\,d\kappa=\int(e-c_j)^{2}p\,d\kappa=\mathbb{E}\bigl[(e(\Theta,D)-c_j)^{2}\bigr]=\lVert e(\Theta,D)-c_j\rVert_2^{2}\le(\epsilon+|c_j|)^{2},

the last step by the triangle inequality (claim 2 of Cauchy-Schwarz and Triangle Inequalities for the Mean-Square Norm; the constant cjc_j is square-integrable with norm ∣cj∣|c_j|) and monotonicity of squaring (Monotonicity of Squaring on the Nonnegative Elements of an Ordered Field). Also ∫e2p dκ=ϵ2\int e^{2}p\,d\kappa=\epsilon^{2} by Step 1. Hence, with cmax⁡=max⁡j∣cj∣c_{\max}=\max_j|c_j| and linearity,

∫e2 pˉ dκ=12ϵ2+12n∑j=1n∫e2 p∘τj dκ≤12(ϵ+cmax⁡)2+12n∑j=1n(ϵ+cmax⁡)2=(ϵ+cmax⁡)2<∞.\int e^{2}\,\bar p\,d\kappa=\frac12\epsilon^{2}+\frac{1}{2n}\sum_{j=1}^{n}\int e^{2}\,p\circ\tau_j\,d\kappa\le\frac12(\epsilon+c_{\max})^{2}+\frac{1}{2n}\sum_{j=1}^{n}(\epsilon+c_{\max})^{2}=(\epsilon+c_{\max})^{2}<\infty .

Cauchy-Schwarz with the mixture weight. Apply claim 1 of Weighted Cauchy-Schwarz Inequality on a Measure Space and the Symmetrised Score Functional: Bounds and Averaging on the measure space (Rl×Y,Bl⊗G,κ)(\mathbb{R}^{l}\times Y,\mathcal{B}_l\otimes\mathcal{G},\kappa) with β=e2pˉ\beta=e^{2}\bar p (measurable, nonnegative, finite integral by the previous display) and αCS=e ∂up\alpha_{\mathrm{CS}}=e\,\partial_up (measurable). Where β=0\beta=0 one has e=0e=0 (as pˉ>0\bar p>0), hence αCS=0\alpha_{\mathrm{CS}}=0; and on {β>0}\{\beta>0\}, αCS2/β=(∂up)2/pˉ\alpha_{\mathrm{CS}}^{2}/\beta=(\partial_up)^{2}/\bar p, so the function qq of that claim is at most (∂up)2/pˉ(\partial_up)^{2}/\bar p pointwise and ∫q dκ≤Iu<∞\int q\,d\kappa\le\mathcal{I}_u<\infty. The claim yields that e ∂upe\,\partial_up is κ\kappa-integrable and

(∫e ∂up dκ)2≤(∫e2pˉ dκ)(∫q dκ)≤(ϵ+cmax⁡)2 Iu.\Bigl(\int e\,\partial_up\,d\kappa\Bigr)^{2}\le\Bigl(\int e^{2}\bar p\,d\kappa\Bigr)\Bigl(\int q\,d\kappa\Bigr)\le(\epsilon+c_{\max})^{2}\,\mathcal{I}_u .

Finally, e ∂up=g pe\,\partial_up=g\,p with g=e ∂up/pg=e\,\partial_up/p, and g(Θ,D)=(m(D)−α⋅Θ)Sug(\Theta,D)=(m(D)-\alpha\cdot\Theta)S_u is integrable (Step 5), so by Step 1 and Step 5, ∫e ∂up dκ=E[(m(D)−α⋅Θ)Su]=α⋅u\int e\,\partial_up\,d\kappa=\mathbb{E}[(m(D)-\alpha\cdot\Theta)S_u]=\alpha\cdot u. Therefore (α⋅u)2≤(ϵ+cmax⁡)2Iu(\alpha\cdot u)^{2}\le(\epsilon+c_{\max})^{2}\mathcal{I}_u, and taking nonnegative square roots (monotone by Monotonicity of Squaring on the Nonnegative Elements of an Ordered Field, with st=st\sqrt{st}=\sqrt s\sqrt t for s,t≥0s,t\ge0 as the right side is nonnegative with square stst) gives ∣α⋅u∣≤Iu (ϵ+cmax⁡)|\alpha\cdot u|\le\sqrt{\mathcal{I}_u}\,(\epsilon+c_{\max}), which is claim 2. ■\blacksquare

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