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Proof of Second-Moment Evolution for Processes of Integral Form

lemmalem:second-moment-evolution-2026b
Edited byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Proof for the corrected lem:second-moment-evolution-2026b; same proof as the version attached to lem:second-moment-evolution-2026a (unchanged mathematics, valid verbatim under the added hypothesis 0 <= a < b), rebound to the new theorem version. Part of the flag remediation requested by Aaron on 2026-07-31.

Proof

Throughout, 2\lVert\cdot\rVert_2, Cauchy-Schwarz, and the triangle inequality are from Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product and Cauchy-Schwarz and Triangle Inequalities for the Mean-Square Norm; bilinearity of the covariance and the identity Cov(V,V)=E[VV]E[V]E[V]\operatorname{Cov}(V,V')=\mathbb{E}[VV']-\mathbb{E}[V]\mathbb{E}[V'] are from that definition and the bilinearity of the mean-square inner product; Wiener integrals are centered with the covariances of claim 3 of Wiener Integrals Against a Vector Brownian Motion are Jointly Gaussian. Write Δjf(s,t)=atfjdWjasfjdWj\Delta^{f}_j(s,t)=\int_a^tf_j\,dW^{j}-\int_a^sf_j\,dW^{j} (in the sense of the statement's convention, so Δjf(s,t)=0tfj0dWj0sfj0dWj\Delta^{f}_j(s,t)=\int_0^tf^{0}_j\,dW^{j}-\int_0^sf^{0}_j\,dW^{j}) and similarly Δjh(s,t)\Delta^{h}_j(s,t). By bilinearity and claim 3 of Wiener Integrals Against a Vector Brownian Motion are Jointly Gaussian, for astba\le s\le t\le b and any j,jj,j',

Cov(Δjf(s,t),Δjh(s,t))=δjjstfj0hj0dr=δjjstfjhjdr,Var(Δjf(s,t))=stfj2dr(ts)max[a,b]fj2,\operatorname{Cov}\bigl(\Delta^{f}_j(s,t),\Delta^{h}_{j'}(s,t)\bigr)=\delta_{jj'}\int_s^tf^{0}_jh^{0}_j\,dr=\delta_{jj'}\int_s^tf_jh_j\,dr,\qquad \operatorname{Var}\bigl(\Delta^{f}_j(s,t)\bigr)=\int_s^tf_j^{2}\,dr\le(t-s)\max_{[a,b]}f_j^{2},

using Additivity of the Riemann Integral on Adjacent Intervals, claim 4 of Componentwise Estimates, Transpose Identities, and Indefinite Riemann Integrals, and Extreme Value Theorem on a Compact Interval (the extended integrands agree with fj,hjf_j,h_j on [s,t][a,b][s,t]\subseteq[a,b]); degenerate intervals follow Mean-Square Riemann Integral of a Family of Random Variables.

Regularity. (Yt)(Y_t) is mean-square continuous: the time-integral part by claim 6 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral, the Wiener parts because Δjf(s,t)22=Var(Δjf(s,t))(ts)maxfj2\lVert\Delta^{f}_j(s,t)\rVert_2^{2}=\operatorname{Var}(\Delta^{f}_j(s,t))\le(t-s)\max f_j^{2}, and sums by the triangle inequality; likewise (Zt)(Z_t). Ya=yY_a=y and Za=zZ_a=z almost surely by the conventions. By Uniform Mean-Square Continuity on a Compact Interval, suptYt2\sup_t\lVert Y_t\rVert_2 and suptZt2\sup_t\lVert Z_t\rVert_2 are finite; fix Mα=maxtαt2M_\alpha=\max_t\lVert\alpha_t\rVert_2, Mβ=maxtβt2M_\beta=\max_t\lVert\beta_t\rVert_2 (claim 4 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral and Extreme Value Theorem on a Compact Interval).

Claim 1. Put φ(t)=E[YtZt]\varphi(t)=\mathbb{E}[Y_tZ_t] and ψ(r)=E[αrZr]+E[Yrβr]+jfj(r)hj(r)\psi(r)=\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_r]+\mathbb{E}[Y_r\beta_r]+\sum_jf_j(r)h_j(r).

Continuity. φ(t)φ(s)YtYs2Zt2+Ys2ZtZs2|\varphi(t)-\varphi(s)|\le\lVert Y_t-Y_s\rVert_2\lVert Z_t\rVert_2+\lVert Y_s\rVert_2\lVert Z_t-Z_s\rVert_2 (Cauchy-Schwarz), so φ\varphi is continuous on [a,b][a,b]; similarly E[αrZr]E[αrZr]αrαr2Zr2+αr2ZrZr2|\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_r]-\mathbb{E}[\alpha_{r'}Z_{r'}]|\le\lVert\alpha_r-\alpha_{r'}\rVert_2\lVert Z_r\rVert_2+\lVert\alpha_{r'}\rVert_2\lVert Z_r-Z_{r'}\rVert_2, so ψ\psi is continuous.

Increment expansion. Fix as<tba\le s<t\le b. Almost surely (claim 5 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral for the time parts), YtYs=stαrdr+jΔjf(s,t)Y_t-Y_s=\int_s^t\alpha_r\,dr+\sum_j\Delta^{f}_j(s,t) and similarly for ZZ. Then

φ(t)φ(s)=E[(YtYs)Zs]+E[Ys(ZtZs)]+E[(YtYs)(ZtZs)].\varphi(t)-\varphi(s)=\mathbb{E}\bigl[(Y_t-Y_s)Z_s\bigr]+\mathbb{E}\bigl[Y_s(Z_t-Z_s)\bigr]+\mathbb{E}\bigl[(Y_t-Y_s)(Z_t-Z_s)\bigr].

First term: E[(stα)Zs]=stE[αrZs]dr\mathbb{E}[(\int_s^t\alpha)Z_s]=\int_s^t\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_s]\,dr (claim 3 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral on [s,t][s,t]), and E[Δjf(s,t)Zs]=Cov(Δjf(s,t),Zs)=0\mathbb{E}[\Delta^{f}_j(s,t)Z_s]=\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta^{f}_j(s,t),Z_s)=0 by the orthogonality hypothesis and centering. Second term symmetrically: E[Ys(ZtZs)]=stE[Ysβr]dr\mathbb{E}[Y_s(Z_t-Z_s)]=\int_s^t\mathbb{E}[Y_s\beta_r]\,dr. Third term: expanding bilinearly, E[(stα)(stβ)]\mathbb{E}[(\int_s^t\alpha)(\int_s^t\beta)] is bounded in absolute value by (ts)2MαMβ(t-s)^{2}M_\alpha M_\beta (claims 4 and 6 of Basic Properties of the Mean-Square Riemann Integral and Cauchy-Schwarz); each mixed term E[(stα)Δjh]\mathbb{E}[(\int_s^t\alpha)\Delta^{h}_j] or E[Δjf(stβ)]\mathbb{E}[\Delta^{f}_j(\int_s^t\beta)] is bounded by (ts)3/2(t-s)^{3/2} times a constant (Cauchy-Schwarz with the variance bound above); and j,jE[ΔjfΔjh]=jstfjhjdr\sum_{j,j'}\mathbb{E}[\Delta^{f}_j\Delta^{h}_{j'}]=\sum_j\int_s^tf_jh_j\,dr. Hence

φ(t)φ(s)=st(E[αrZs]+E[Ysβr]+jfj(r)hj(r))dr+R(s,t),R(s,t)C(ts)3/2,\varphi(t)-\varphi(s)=\int_s^t\Bigl(\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_s]+\mathbb{E}[Y_s\beta_r]+\sum_jf_j(r)h_j(r)\Bigr)dr+R(s,t),\qquad|R(s,t)|\le C\,(t-s)^{3/2},

for a constant CC independent of s,ts,t.

Differentiability. Fix an interior point s(a,b)s\in(a,b). For tst\downarrow s, dividing by tst-s: the error term tends to 00, and

1tsst(E[αrZs]+E[Ysβr]+jfjhj(r))drψ(s)maxr[s,t](E[αrZs]+E[Ysβr]+jfjhj(r))ψ(s)\Bigl|\frac{1}{t-s}\int_s^t\bigl(\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_s]+\mathbb{E}[Y_s\beta_r]+\textstyle\sum_jf_jh_j(r)\bigr)dr-\psi(s)\Bigr|\le\max_{r\in[s,t]}\Bigl|\bigl(\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_s]+\mathbb{E}[Y_s\beta_r]+\textstyle\sum_jf_jh_j(r)\bigr)-\psi(s)\Bigr|

by monotonicity of the Riemann integral (via Agreement of the Riemann and Lebesgue Integrals for Continuous Functions on a Closed Interval and Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral); the right side tends to 00 as tst\downarrow s by continuity (Cauchy-Schwarz and mean-square continuity, as above). For the left-hand quotient, apply the increment expansion to the pair (t,s)(t',s) with tst'\uparrow s: the frozen factors are then Yt,ZtY_{t'},Z_{t'}, and by Cauchy-Schwarz

E[αrZt]E[αsZs]αrαs2Zt2+αs2ZtZs20\bigl|\mathbb{E}[\alpha_rZ_{t'}]-\mathbb{E}[\alpha_sZ_s]\bigr|\le\lVert\alpha_r-\alpha_s\rVert_2\,\lVert Z_{t'}\rVert_2+\lVert\alpha_s\rVert_2\,\lVert Z_{t'}-Z_s\rVert_2\longrightarrow0

uniformly over r[t,s]r\in[t',s] as tst'\uparrow s (uniform mean-square continuity, Uniform Mean-Square Continuity on a Compact Interval, and the bounded norms MαM_\alpha, supZ2\sup\lVert Z\rVert_2), and similarly for E[Ytβr]\mathbb{E}[Y_{t'}\beta_r]; the same maximum estimate then gives the left-hand derivative. Hence φ\varphi is differentiable at every interior point with φ=ψ\varphi'=\psi; φ\varphi is continuous on [a,b][a,b] and ψ\psi is continuous, so φ\varphi is an antiderivative of ψ\psi on [a,b][a,b], and Fundamental Theorem of Calculus, Part II in One Dimension, applied on [a,t][a,t] for each tt (degenerate t=at=a by convention), gives the asserted identity with φ(a)=E[YaZa]=E[yz]\varphi(a)=\mathbb{E}[Y_aZ_a]=\mathbb{E}[yz] (almost-sure equality preserves expectations of products).

Claim 2. The map QCov(Δ,Q)Q'\mapsto\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,Q'), Δ:=atfdWjasfdWj\Delta:=\int_a^tf\,dW^{j}-\int_a^sf\,dW^{j}, is linear and continuous under mean-square limits: Cov(Δ,Q)Cov(Δ,Q)Δ2QQ2+E[Δ]E[QQ]|\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,Q')-\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,Q'')|\le\lVert\Delta\rVert_2\lVert Q'-Q''\rVert_2+|\mathbb{E}[\Delta]|\,|\mathbb{E}[Q'-Q'']|, and both terms tend to 00 along mean-square convergence (Cauchy-Schwarz; E[V]V2|\mathbb{E}[V]|\le\lVert V\rVert_2). Hence it suffices to check Cov(Δ,Q)=0\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,Q')=0 for QQ' ranging over the generators. For Q=1Q'=1: covariances with constants vanish. For Q=WrjQ'=W^{j'}_r with rsr\le s: claim 3 of Wiener Integrals Against a Vector Brownian Motion are Jointly Gaussian and bilinearity give Cov(Δ,Wrj)=δjj(0min(t,r)f00min(s,r)f0)=δjj(0rf00rf0)=0\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,W^{j'}_r)=\delta_{jj'}\bigl(\int_0^{\min(t,r)}f^{0}-\int_0^{\min(s,r)}f^{0}\bigr)=\delta_{jj'}\bigl(\int_0^{r}f^{0}-\int_0^{r}f^{0}\bigr)=0. For Q=ξiQ'=\xi^{i}: choose the σ(Wvj:v0)\sigma(W^{j}_v:v\ge0)-measurable versions of the two Wiener integrals (claim 1 of Wiener Integrals Against a Vector Brownian Motion are Jointly Gaussian; covariances are unchanged under almost-sure replacement), so Δ\Delta is measurable for a sub-σ\sigma-algebra of σ(Wvj:all j,v)\sigma(W^{j'}_v:\text{all }j',v), which is independent of σ(ξ1,,ξl)\sigma(\xi^{1},\dots,\xi^{l}); hence Δ\Delta and ξi\xi^{i} are independent (closing remark of Sigma-Algebra Generated by Random Variables and Independence of Sigma-Algebras), and Expectation of a Product of Independent Random Variables gives E[Δξi]=E[Δ]E[ξi]\mathbb{E}[\Delta\xi^{i}]=\mathbb{E}[\Delta]\mathbb{E}[\xi^{i}], so Cov(Δ,ξi)=0\operatorname{Cov}(\Delta,\xi^{i})=0. \blacksquare

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