TheoremBase

Following Billingsley's Theorem 20.1: with countable choice the preimages of Borel sets under Z form a σ-algebra, so every set of σ(Z) is such a preimage; hence indicators and then simple σ(Z)-measurable functions are Borel functions of Z, and Y, a pointwise limit of simple functions, is a Borel function of Z, the limit being taken on the Borel set where the factors converge. A version of the conditional expectation given Z is σ(Z)-measurable and so factors.

Proof

Write CZ={Z−1(B):B∈B(S)}\mathcal{C}_{Z}=\{Z^{-1}(B):B\in\mathcal{B}(S)\}, so that σ(Z)=σ(CZ)\sigma(Z)=\sigma(\mathcal{C}_{Z}) is a σ\sigma-algebra on Ω\Omega contained in F\mathcal{F} (σ-Algebras Generated by Random Elements (i)), and let H\mathcal{H} be the set of functions Ω→R\Omega\to\mathbb{R} of the form h(Z)h(Z) with h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb{R} Borel.

Step 1: sets of σ(Z)\sigma(Z) (countable choice). We show that CZ\mathcal{C}_{Z} is a σ\sigma-algebra on Ω\Omega. It contains Ω=Z−1(S)\Omega=Z^{-1}(S), and for B∈B(S)B\in\mathcal{B}(S) the complement Ω∖Z−1(B)=Z−1(S∖B)\Omega\setminus Z^{-1}(B)=Z^{-1}(S\setminus B) lies in CZ\mathcal{C}_{Z}, as B(S)\mathcal{B}(S) is a σ\sigma-algebra on SS (Closure Properties of σ-Algebras, Intersections and Traces of σ-Algebras, and the Generated σ-Algebra (iii)). Let (Am)(A_{m}) be a sequence in CZ\mathcal{C}_{Z}. For each mm the set of B∈B(S)B\in\mathcal{B}(S) with Am=Z−1(B)A_{m}=Z^{-1}(B) is nonempty; under the axiom of dependent choice, countable choice (Countable Choice Follows from Dependent Choice (i)) gives a sequence (Bm)(B_{m}) in B(S)\mathcal{B}(S) with Am=Z−1(Bm)A_{m}=Z^{-1}(B_{m}) for every mm, and then

⋃m∈NAm=Z−1(⋃m∈NBm)∈CZ\bigcup_{m\in\mathbb{N}}A_{m}=Z^{-1}\Bigl(\bigcup_{m\in\mathbb{N}}B_{m}\Bigr)\in\mathcal{C}_{Z}

(Preimages of Unions, Intersections and Complements). So CZ\mathcal{C}_{Z} is a σ\sigma-algebra (σ-Algebra and Measurable Space (i)), and σ(Z)⊆CZ\sigma(Z)\subseteq\mathcal{C}_{Z} (Closure Properties of σ-Algebras, Intersections and Traces of σ-Algebras, and the Generated σ-Algebra (iv)): every A∈σ(Z)A\in\sigma(Z) is Z−1(B)Z^{-1}(B) for some B∈B(S)B\in\mathcal{B}(S). For such AA and BB, 1A=1B(Z)\mathbf{1}_{A}=\mathbf{1}_{B}(Z), and 1B\mathbf{1}_{B} is Borel (Measurable Maps: Generators, Composition, Continuous Maps, Restrictions, and Criteria for Real- and [0,∞]-Valued Maps (v): its strict upper level sets are ∅\emptyset, BB or SS). Hence 1A∈H\mathbf{1}_{A}\in\mathcal{H} for every A∈σ(Z)A\in\sigma(Z).

Step 2: simple functions. If h1(Z),h2(Z)∈Hh_{1}(Z),h_{2}(Z)\in\mathcal{H} and c∈Rc\in\mathbb{R}, then h1(Z)+h2(Z)=(h1+h2)(Z)h_{1}(Z)+h_{2}(Z)=(h_{1}+h_{2})(Z) and c h1(Z)=(ch1)(Z)c\,h_{1}(Z)=(ch_{1})(Z) lie in H\mathcal{H}, as h1+h2h_{1}+h_{2} and ch1ch_{1} are Borel (Arithmetic of Measurable Real- and [0,∞]-Valued Maps (i)). Let tt be a simple function on (Ω,σ(Z))(\Omega,\sigma(Z)). Its image t[Ω]t[\Omega] is finite, each level set t−1({c})t^{-1}(\{c\}), c∈t[Ω]c\in t[\Omega], lies in σ(Z)\sigma(Z) because tt is σ(Z)/B(R)\sigma(Z)/\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R})-measurable and {c}\{c\} is a Borel set (Borel Sets of a Metric Space: Open and Closed Sets, Points, Open Sets of Subspaces, and Subspaces (iii)), and

t=∑c∈t[Ω]c 1t−1({c}),t=\sum_{c\in t[\Omega]}c\,\mathbf{1}_{t^{-1}(\{c\})},

since each ω\omega lies in exactly one of these level sets, that of c=t(ω)c=t(\omega). For subsets FF of the finite set t[Ω]t[\Omega], induction on the number of elements of FF shows that ∑c∈Fc 1t−1({c})∈H\sum_{c\in F}c\,\mathbf{1}_{t^{-1}(\{c\})}\in\mathcal{H}: for F=∅F=\emptyset the sum is the zero function 1∅\mathbf{1}_{\emptyset}, which lies in H\mathcal{H} by Step 1, and adding one term keeps the sum in H\mathcal{H} by Step 1 and the closure under sums and multiples. Taking F=t[Ω]F=t[\Omega] gives t∈Ht\in\mathcal{H}.

Step 3: limits (countable choice). Let YY be as in (i). By Approximation of Measurable Functions by Dyadic Simple Functions (iii), applied on the measurable space (Ω,σ(Z))(\Omega,\sigma(Z)), there are simple functions tmt_{m} on (Ω,σ(Z))(\Omega,\sigma(Z)) with tm(ω)→Y(ω)t_{m}(\omega)\to Y(\omega) for every ω∈Ω\omega\in\Omega. By Step 2 the set of Borel h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb{R} with tm=h(Z)t_{m}=h(Z) is nonempty for each mm; countable choice (Countable Choice Follows from Dependent Choice (i)) gives a sequence (hm)(h_{m}) of Borel functions with tm=hm(Z)t_{m}=h_{m}(Z) for every mm. Let

C={s∈S:(hm(s))m∈N converges},C=\{s\in S:(h_{m}(s))_{m\in\mathbb{N}}\text{ converges}\},

a Borel set (Suprema, Pointwise Limits and the Convergence Set of Measurable Real-Valued Maps (iii)). The functions hm1Ch_{m}\mathbf{1}_{C} are Borel (Arithmetic of Measurable Real- and [0,∞]-Valued Maps (i), and Step 1 for 1C\mathbf{1}_{C}), and (hm(s)1C(s))m(h_{m}(s)\mathbf{1}_{C}(s))_{m} converges for every s∈Ss\in S, to lim⁡mhm(s)\lim_{m}h_{m}(s) on CC and to 00 off CC. So

h(s)=lim⁡m→∞hm(s)1C(s)(s∈S)h(s)=\lim_{m\to\infty}h_{m}(s)\mathbf{1}_{C}(s)\qquad(s\in S)

defines a Borel function h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb{R} (Suprema, Pointwise Limits and the Convergence Set of Measurable Real-Valued Maps (ii)). For ω∈Ω\omega\in\Omega the sequence (hm(Z(ω)))m=(tm(ω))m(h_{m}(Z(\omega)))_{m}=(t_{m}(\omega))_{m} converges to Y(ω)Y(\omega), so Z(ω)∈CZ(\omega)\in C and h(Z(ω))=Y(ω)h(Z(\omega))=Y(\omega). Thus Y=h(Z)Y=h(Z), which proves (i).

Factoring a version. Let X∈L1(P)X\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P). Under the axiom of dependent choice, Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectations (i) with G=σ(Z)\mathcal{G}=\sigma(Z) gives a σ(Z)\sigma(Z)-measurable Y∈L1(P)Y\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P) with ∫GY dP=∫GX dP\int_{G}Y\,dP=\int_{G}X\,dP for every G∈σ(Z)G\in\sigma(Z), that is, Y∈E[X∣σ(Z)]Y\in\mathbb{E}[X\mid\sigma(Z)] (Conditional Expectation (ii)). By (i) there is a Borel h:S→Rh:S\to\mathbb{R} with h(Z)=Y∈E[X∣σ(Z)]h(Z)=Y\in\mathbb{E}[X\mid\sigma(Z)]. This proves (ii).

Now let n∈Nn\in\mathbb{N} and X∈L1(P;Rn)X\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P;\mathbb{R}^{n}). By Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectations (iv) there is a σ(Z)\sigma(Z)-measurable Y∈L1(P;Rn)Y\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P;\mathbb{R}^{n}) with ∫GYk dP=∫GXk dP\int_{G}Y_{k}\,dP=\int_{G}X_{k}\,dP for every G∈σ(Z)G\in\sigma(Z) and k∈[n]k\in[n]; its components are σ(Z)\sigma(Z)-measurable and lie in L1(P)\mathcal{L}^{1}(P) (Vector- and Matrix-Valued Measurable Maps: Components, Entries and Continuous Images (i), Integrable Vector- and Matrix-Valued Functions and Their Integrals (i)), so Yk∈E[Xk∣σ(Z)]Y_{k}\in\mathbb{E}[X_{k}\mid\sigma(Z)] (Conditional Expectation (ii)) and Y∈E[X∣σ(Z)]Y\in\mathbb{E}[X\mid\sigma(Z)] (Conditional Expectation (iii)). For k∈[n]k\in[n] the set Dk\mathcal{D}_{k} of Borel g:S→Rg:S\to\mathbb{R} with Yk=g(Z)Y_{k}=g(Z) is nonempty by (i). By induction on m∈{0,…,n}m\in\{0,\dots,n\} there is a family (gk)k∈[m](g_{k})_{k\in[m]} with gk∈Dkg_{k}\in\mathcal{D}_{k} for every k∈[m]k\in[m]: for m=0m=0 the empty family, and for m<nm<n a family for mm extended by one element of the nonempty set Dm+1\mathcal{D}_{m+1}. This finite choice needs no axiom. Taking m=nm=n, let h:S→Rnh:S\to\mathbb{R}^{n} be the function with components hk=gkh_{k}=g_{k} (Component Maps of a Map into Rq\mathbb{R}^{q}, Entry Maps of a Map into Matrices, and Maps Assembled from Them (iii)); it is Borel (Vector- and Matrix-Valued Measurable Maps: Components, Entries and Continuous Images (i), on (S,B(S))(S,\mathcal{B}(S))), and h(Z)=Y∈E[X∣σ(Z)]h(Z)=Y\in\mathbb{E}[X\mid\sigma(Z)]. This proves (iii).

Uses of dependent choice. Countable choice is used in Steps 1 and 3, and dependent choice once more through Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectations (i) and Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectations (iv); the vector case adds only finite choice.

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