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Proof of Regularity and Derivative Bounds of the Extended Aggregate Observation Drift

lemmalem:extended-observation-drift-regularity-2026b
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Reason: Proof of lem:extended-observation-drift-regularity-2026b, carried forward from the -2026a proof and reworked onto the new calculus layer; all segments lie in the simplex so no convexity of the extension domain is used. Internally reviewed.

Proof

Throughout fix υ{1,,l~}\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\} and recall from the extension definition its clauses 1-4. On Δl\Delta^l we use, from the probability simplex: Σσ0\Sigma^\sigma\ge0 for all σ\sigma and σ=1lΣσ=1\sum_{\sigma=1}^{l}\Sigma^\sigma=1; and from clause 1 together with the observation-rate family bounds: 0β~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)B~0\le\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)\le\tilde{B} for ΣΔl\Sigma\in\Delta^l and all admissible pairs. We write 1{}\mathbf{1}_{\{\cdot\}} for the indicator equal to 11 when the subscripted condition holds and 00 otherwise. The argument is the same as, but logically independent of, the proof of the regularity and derivative bounds of the extended aggregate state drift, with the control coordinates absent; in part (iii) the segments used here lie in Δl\Delta^l, so no convexity of U~\tilde{U} is needed.

(i). We first record a slice principle. Fix a point aU~a\in\tilde{U}; since U~\tilde{U} is open, there is a real ρ>0\rho>0 such that every point of Rl\mathbb{R}^{l} at Euclidean distance less than ρ\rho from aa lies in U~\tilde{U}. For γ{1,,l}\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\} and τR\tau\in\mathbb{R} write a+τeγa+\tau e_\gamma for the point obtained by adding τ\tau to the γ\gammath coordinate of aa; its distance from aa is τ|\tau| by claims 1 and 2 of the norm properties, so a+τeγU~a+\tau e_\gamma\in\tilde{U} for τ\tau in the interval J=(ρ,ρ)J=(-\rho,\rho). For a function gg on U~\tilde{U} and the slice G:JRG:J\to\mathbb{R}, G(τ)=g(a+τeγ)G(\tau)=g(a+\tau e_\gamma), the partial derivative of gg with respect to the γ\gammath variable exists at aa with value LL if and only if GG is differentiable at 00 with G(0)=LG'(0)=L: both are the same ε\varepsilon-δ\delta condition on the quotients (g(a+τeγ)g(a))/τ(g(a+\tau e_\gamma)-g(a))/\tau, the membership requirement in the partial-derivative definition holding for 0<τ<ρ0<|\tau|<\rho by the choice of ρ\rho.

For σ{1,,l}\sigma\in\{1,\dots,l\} let πσ:U~R\pi_\sigma:\tilde{U}\to\mathbb{R} be the coordinate function πσ(Σ)=Σσ\pi_\sigma(\Sigma)=\Sigma^\sigma. Its slice difference quotients of the preceding paragraph are constantly 1{γ=σ}\mathbf{1}_{\{\gamma=\sigma\}}, so γπσ\partial_\gamma\pi_\sigma exists at every point and equals the constant 1{γ=σ}\mathbf{1}_{\{\gamma=\sigma\}}; moreover πσ\pi_\sigma is continuous at every point, since πσ(Σ)πσ(Σ)d(Σ,Σ)|\pi_\sigma(\Sigma)-\pi_\sigma(\Sigma')|\le d(\Sigma,\Sigma') by claims 2 and 4 of the norm properties, as are the constant functions; hence πσ\pi_\sigma and the constants are of class C1C^1 on U~\tilde{U} (clauses 1 and 3 of that definition). By the definition of the extended aggregate observation drift,

b~ˉυ=σ=1lπσβ~ˉ(σ,υ,).\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon=\sum_{\sigma=1}^{l}\pi_\sigma\cdot\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\cdot).

Fix γ\gamma and a point aU~a\in\tilde{U}, with J=(ρ,ρ)J=(-\rho,\rho) as in the slice principle. Each function β~ˉ(σ,υ,)\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\cdot) is of class C2C^2, hence of class C1C^1, on U~\tilde{U} by clause 2 of the extension definition and clause 2 of the CkC^k definition; so by claim 2 of the segment-derivative lemma, applied with W=U~W=\tilde{U}, x=ax=a and h=eγh=e_\gamma, its slice on JJ is differentiable at every interior point τ0\tau_0 of JJ with derivative γβ~ˉ(σ,υ,a+τ0eγ)\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,a+\tau_0 e_\gamma), and the same holds for πσ\pi_\sigma with derivative 1{γ=σ}\mathbf{1}_{\{\gamma=\sigma\}}. The one-dimensional sum, constant-multiple and product rules then give that the slice of b~ˉυ\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon is differentiable at 00; by the slice principle, γb~ˉυ\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon exists at aa and, writing Σ=a\Sigma=a, equals

σ=1l(1{γ=σ}β~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)+Σσγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ))=β~ˉ(γ,υ,Σ)+σ=1lΣσγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ),\sum_{\sigma=1}^{l}\Big(\mathbf{1}_{\{\gamma=\sigma\}}\,\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)+\Sigma^\sigma\,\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)\Big)=\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\gamma,\upsilon,\Sigma)+\sum_{\sigma=1}^{l}\Sigma^\sigma\,\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma),

the first displayed formula of the statement. Each factor appearing in that formula is continuous at every point of U~\tilde{U} in the sense of Euclidean continuity: β~ˉ(σ,υ,)\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\cdot) and its first partial derivatives by clauses 1 and 2 of the CkC^k definition (the family being of class C2C^2), and the coordinate functions and constants as recorded above. By claim 1 of the continuity agreement lemma each of these functions is continuous on U~\tilde{U} relative to U~\tilde{U} as a map into the real line, so their finite sums and products are continuous on U~\tilde{U} by claim 5 of continuity of sums and products, and claim 1 of the agreement lemma translates this back into Euclidean continuity at every point. Hence γb~ˉυ\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon is continuous for every γ\gamma, and b~ˉυ\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon itself is continuous by the same two-way translation applied to its defining formula; so b~ˉυ\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon is of class C1C^1 on U~\tilde{U} (clause 1 of the CkC^k definition). Applying the same slice argument to the first displayed formula --- a finite sum of products of coordinate functions, the functions β~ˉ(σ,υ,)\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\cdot), and their first partials, all of class C1C^1 on U~\tilde{U} (the first partials by clause 2 of the extension definition with clause 2 of the CkC^k definition) --- gives that δγb~ˉυ\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon exists at every point and equals

δβ~ˉ(γ,υ,Σ)+σ=1l(1{δ=σ}γβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)+Σσδγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)),\partial_\delta\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\gamma,\upsilon,\Sigma)+\sum_{\sigma=1}^{l}\Big(\mathbf{1}_{\{\delta=\sigma\}}\,\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)+\Sigma^\sigma\,\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)\Big),

which is the second displayed formula after evaluating the indicator sum, and this expression is continuous by the same reasoning, the second partials δγβ~ˉ\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}} being continuous by clauses 1 and 2 of the CkC^k definition; hence each γb~ˉυ\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon is of class C1C^1 on U~\tilde{U}, and b~ˉυ\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon is of class C2C^2 there by clause 2 of the CkC^k definition. Finally, for ΣΔl\Sigma\in\Delta^l, clause 1 allows replacing every β~ˉ\bar{\tilde{\beta}} by β~\tilde{\beta} in the defining formula of b~ˉυ(Σ)\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(\Sigma), which then coincides with the defining formula of the aggregate observation drift of β~\tilde{\beta} at Σ\Sigma; hence b~ˉ\bar{\tilde{b}} agrees with it on Δl\Delta^l.

(ii). Let ΣΔl\Sigma\in\Delta^l and γ{1,,l}\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\}. In the first displayed formula, β~ˉ(γ,υ,Σ)B~|\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\gamma,\upsilon,\Sigma)|\le\tilde{B} as recorded above, and σΣσγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)K~σΣσ=K~\sum_{\sigma}\Sigma^\sigma|\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)|\le\tilde{K}\sum_{\sigma}\Sigma^\sigma=\tilde{K} by clause 3; hence γb~ˉυ(Σ)B~+K~|\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(\Sigma)|\le\tilde{B}+\tilde{K}. For the Lipschitz estimate let Σ,ΣΔl\Sigma,\Sigma'\in\Delta^l. The segment from Σ\Sigma to Σ\Sigma' stays in Δl\Delta^l: a convex combination of two points of the simplex has nonnegative entries summing to 11, hence lies in the simplex. The segment therefore lies in the open set U~\tilde{U}, and part (i) of the Taylor expansion lemma, applied to the C1C^1 function b~ˉυ\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon with n=ln=l and M1=B~+K~M_1=\tilde{B}+\tilde{K} (the first-order bound just proved holding at every point of the segment, these lying in Δl\Delta^l), gives b~ˉυ(Σ)b~ˉυ(Σ)l(B~+K~)d(Σ,Σ)|\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(\Sigma)-\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(\Sigma')|\le\sqrt{l}\,(\tilde{B}+\tilde{K})\,d(\Sigma,\Sigma').

(iii). For ΣΔl\Sigma\in\Delta^l, estimating the three groups of the second displayed formula with clause 3 and σΣσ=1\sum_{\sigma}\Sigma^\sigma=1: the two first-derivative terms contribute at most K~\tilde{K} each, and the sum σΣσδγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)\sum_\sigma\Sigma^\sigma\,\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma) contributes at most K~\tilde{K} in total; hence δγb~ˉυ(Σ)3K~|\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(\Sigma)|\le3\tilde{K}.

For the uniform continuity claim, let ε>0\varepsilon>0 and set C=2lK~+lK~C^*=2\sqrt{l}\,\tilde{K}+l\,\tilde{K}. By clause 4 there is δ1>0\delta_1>0 such that δγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)δγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)ε/2|\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)-\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma')|\le\varepsilon/2 for all admissible indices whenever d(Σ,Σ)δ1d(\Sigma,\Sigma')\le\delta_1. Set δ=δ1\delta^\circ=\delta_1 if C=0C^*=0 and δ=min(δ1,ε/(2C))\delta^\circ=\min(\delta_1,\varepsilon/(2C^*)) otherwise. Let Σ,ΣΔl\Sigma,\Sigma'\in\Delta^l with d(Σ,Σ)δd(\Sigma,\Sigma')\le\delta^\circ, and take the difference of the second displayed formula at Σ\Sigma and at Σ\Sigma' term by term. For the two first-derivative terms: each of the two functions δβ~ˉ(γ,υ,)\partial_\delta\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\gamma,\upsilon,\cdot) and γβ~ˉ(δ,υ,)\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\delta,\upsilon,\cdot) is of class C1C^1 on U~\tilde{U} (clause 2 of the extension definition with clause 2 of the CkC^k definition) with partial derivatives bounded by K~\tilde{K} on U~\tilde{U} (clause 3), so part (i) of the Taylor expansion lemma along the segment from Σ\Sigma to Σ\Sigma' (which lies in the simplex, as above) bounds each difference by lK~d(Σ,Σ)\sqrt{l}\,\tilde{K}\,d(\Sigma,\Sigma'). For the product terms,

Σσδγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)Σσδγβ~ˉ(σ,υ,Σ)ΣσΣσK~+Σσε2,\big|\Sigma^\sigma\,\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma)-\Sigma'^\sigma\,\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{\beta}}(\sigma,\upsilon,\Sigma')\big|\le|\Sigma^\sigma-\Sigma'^\sigma|\,\tilde{K}+\Sigma'^\sigma\cdot\tfrac{\varepsilon}{2},

and summing over σ\sigma, using ΣσΣσd(Σ,Σ)|\Sigma^\sigma-\Sigma'^\sigma|\le d(\Sigma,\Sigma') for every σ\sigma and σΣσ=1\sum_\sigma\Sigma'^\sigma=1, the product group contributes at most lK~d(Σ,Σ)+ε/2l\,\tilde{K}\,d(\Sigma,\Sigma')+\varepsilon/2. Altogether the difference is at most Cd(Σ,Σ)+ε/2ε/2+ε/2=εC^*d(\Sigma,\Sigma')+\varepsilon/2\le\varepsilon/2+\varepsilon/2=\varepsilon, uniformly over γ,δ,υ\gamma,\delta,\upsilon, as claimed. \blacksquare

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