Conditional Expectation and Estimation Error of the Controlled State
lemmaProbabilitylem:controlled-state-conditional-expectation-2026aConsider a \reftext{def:linear-gaussian-state-observation-model-2026a}{linear-Gaussian state-observation model} on , a control dimension , a control matrix assignment , an \reftext{def:admissible-control-2026a}{admissible control} , and the \reftext{def:controlled-linear-gaussian-dynamics-2026a}{controlled state} , with notation and fixed versions as in those items. Let and be the filter process and covariance assignment of \ref{thm:kalman-bucy-filter-solution-2026a}, let be the estimation error of \ref{thm:kalman-bucy-conditional-expectation-2026a}, and let be the correction process of \ref{lem:controlled-state-superposition-2026a}. Define the \textbf{controlled estimator}
componentwise, with the fixed versions of those items. Then, for every :
\textbf{1. (Regularity and adaptedness)} Each component family is \reftext{def:mean-square-continuous-process-2026a}{mean-square continuous}, and each is \reftext{def:almost-surely-2026a}{almost surely} equal to a -measurable \reftext{def:square-integrable-mean-square-2026a}{square-integrable} random variable.
\textbf{2. (Conditional expectation)} For every , every \reftext{def:conditional-expectation-l2-2026a}{conditional expectation} of given is almost surely equal to .
\textbf{3. (Error invariance)} For every : almost surely. Consequently, by claims 2-3 of \ref{thm:kalman-bucy-conditional-expectation-2026a}, with the \reftext{def:expectation-variance-2026a}{expectation} and \reftext{def:covariance-square-integrable-2026a}{covariance}: for every , the matrix equals , and the \reftext{def:independence-sigma-algebras-2026a}{-algebras} and are independent.
\textbf{4. (Orthogonality to observation-determined variables)} For every and every square-integrable random variable that is almost surely equal to a -measurable random variable: is integrable and .
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