TheoremBase

The Closeness, Fourth-Moment and Discrepancy Hypotheses of the Estimand Assembly Lemma Supplied by an N-Agent Solution under the Cost Bound: Control-Lipschitz Bound on the Record Discrepancy, Close Records from the Path-Closeness Event, and the Explicit Mean-Square Bound

Statement

The NN-agent side. Adopt the setting, notation and standing hypotheses of The Path-Closeness Event under the Cost Bound: Closeness of the Empirical State Measure to the Mean-Field Trajectory and of the Record-Frozen Control to the Mean-Field Control on an Event of Probability 1−O(N−1/2)1-O(N^{-1/2}) (and hence of Closeness of the Realized Control and the Realized Mean-Field Flow on a High-Probability Event under the Cost Bound and Asymptotic Lower Bound for the Recentred N-Agent Cost without Uniform Control-Moment Hypotheses), with the following renamings: the NN-agent driving system carrying the NN-th solution is written (Ωag,Fag,Pag)(\Omega^{\mathrm{ag}},\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{ag}},P^{\mathrm{ag}}) with expectation Eag\mathbb{E}^{\mathrm{ag}} (extended to [0,∞][0,\infty]-valued measurable maps as their integrals), its regular event Ω0ag\Omega^{\mathrm{ag}}_{0}, the Lipschitz constant of the affine-controlled transition-rate family (β0,β1)(\beta_{0},\beta_{1}) is written Λaff\Lambda^{\mathrm{aff}}, the control bound sup⁡a∈A∣a∣\sup_{a\in\mathcal{A}}|a| is written RAR^{\mathcal{A}}, the initial point of the stationary mean-field triple (S,A,P)(S,A,P) (written x0x_{0} there) is written S0S_{0}, and, with the numbers N1N_{1} and CescC_{\mathrm{esc}} of that setting, a natural number NclN_{\mathrm{cl}} with Ncl≥N1N_{\mathrm{cl}}\ge N_{1} and Ncl≥Cesc2N_{\mathrm{cl}}\ge C_{\mathrm{esc}}^{2} is fixed (such a number exists), in the role of the number written N2N_{2} in claim 2 there. Thus we have: natural numbers l≥2l\ge2, m≥1m\ge1, l~≥1\tilde{l}\ge1; the family (β0,β1)(\beta_{0},\beta_{1}) on ll states with nonempty convex compact control set A⊆Rm\mathcal{A}\subseteq\mathbb{R}^{m}, its transition-rate family β\beta with the rate bound BB of that lemma and its state-Lipschitz constant Λb\Lambda_{b}; the observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta} with l~\tilde{l} channels and rate bound B~\tilde{B}; the horizon T>0T>0; the triple (S,A,P)(S,A,P), whose first two components have continuous components on [0,T][0,T] and whose third component, the co-state, always carries a time subscript; the hypotheses (I′') with the bound κ♯\kappa^{\sharp} and (CB); the constants CflwC_{\mathrm{flw}}, CctlC_{\mathrm{ctl}} and cQc_{Q}; and, for the fixed natural number N≥NclN\ge N_{\mathrm{cl}}, the NN-th solution for the A\mathcal{A}-valued observation-driven control policy h=h(N)h=h^{(N)} with horizon TT, its empirical state measure Σ\Sigma, its observation record WW, the realized control α^\hat{\alpha} (formed as in claim 2 of The Realized Control of the Controlled N-Agent Dynamics as a Random Element of the Control Set from the fixed family furnished by its claim 1, the dense sequence in L2([0,T];Rm)L^{2}([0,T];\mathbb{R}^{m}) of that setting being fixed as there), the realized mean-field flow Φt(ω)=St(S0,α^(ω))\Phi_{t}(\omega)=\mathsf{S}_{t}(S_{0},\hat{\alpha}(\omega)) formed with the two-argument mean-field flow S\mathsf{S} (written S(⋅,⋅)S(\cdot,\cdot) there) of claim 2 of Stability of the Mean-Field Flow under Perturbation of the Initial State and Weak Convergence of Controls, the noise majorant QQ, the tolerances εS(N)=(Cflw+1)N−1/4\varepsilon_{S}(N)=(C_{\mathrm{flw}}+1)N^{-1/4} and εctl(N)=(TCctl)1/2N−1/4\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N)=(TC_{\mathrm{ctl}})^{1/2}N^{-1/4}, and the closeness event ΩNcl\Omega^{\mathrm{cl}}_{N} of claim 2 of The Path-Closeness Event under the Cost Bound: Closeness of the Empirical State Measure to the Mean-Field Trajectory and of the Record-Frozen Control to the Mean-Field Control on an Event of Probability 1−O(N−1/2)1-O(N^{-1/2}) formed with NclN_{\mathrm{cl}} in the role of its N2N_{2}. The values of the mean-field control are written AtA_{t} (t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]).

The intermediate time. Fix a real number ss with 0<s≤T0<s\le T, and adopt the setting and notation of The Observation-Centred Fluctuation at an Intermediate Time: Restriction of the Mean-Field Flow and of the Realized Control to a Shorter Horizon, Representation through the Aggregate State and the Record Prefix, and Transport of Its Joint Law with the Record to the Synthetic Copy for the NN-th solution, with the same realized control α^\hat{\alpha} and with the base point z0=S0z_{0}=S_{0}, so that its realized mean-field flow and its observation-centred fluctuation are Φ\Phi and Xt′=N(Σt−Φt)X'_{t}=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma_{t}-\Phi_{t}): the record spaces (Rs,Rs)(\mathbf{R}_{s},\mathcal{R}_{s}) and (R,R)(\mathbf{R},\mathcal{R}), the prefix W(s)W^{(s)}, the truncated policy h(s)h^{(s)}, the restricted solution, the fixed dense sequence in L2([0,s];Rm)L^{2}([0,s];\mathbb{R}^{m}), the fixed reconstruction data for h(s)h^{(s)} with horizon ss, the realized control α^(s)\hat{\alpha}^{(s)} of the restricted solution, the record-frozen control paths a(s),ra^{(s),r} (r∈Rsr\in\mathbf{R}_{s}) of h(s)h^{(s)}, the record-frozen flow Φt(s),r\Phi^{(s),r}_{t} (t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s]), the maps Ψt\Psi_{t} and the recentred copy endpoint Xs′′X''_{s} of its claims 4 and 5.

The copy side. Adopt the setting, hypotheses (OC), (X), (W), (G), (G′'), (AF), (CP) and notation of Mean-Square Assembly of the Estimand Linearisation on the Synthetic Copy: Approximation of the Recentred Copy Endpoint by an Affine Function of the Parameter (and hence of Information Bound on the Synthetic Copy with Mean-Field Data: Prior Energy of the Profile, Observation Information Along the Profile Response, and the Non-Close Record Mass, Assembly of the Symmetrised Move Information on the Synthetic Copy: Prior Part, Record Part, and the Bad Part with Exponentially Small Under-Likelihood Mass, Closeness to a Mean-Field Pair on the Synthetic Copy: Clock Discrepancy, Gronwall Comparison of the Weighted Response with the Profile Response, and the Observation-Information Bound with Mean-Field Data, Uniform Pair-Exponent Bound on the Synthetic Copy: Removed-Clock Intensities, the Insertion Response on the Clock-Good Event, and Bounds on the Pair Covariances, The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record and The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood), with its horizon (written TT there) equal to the intermediate time ss, and with its hypotheses (CL), (FM) and (DM) not assumed: the two real numbers εS≥0\varepsilon_{S}\ge0 and εctl≥0\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}\ge0 of the first clause of (CL), which the final display of (CP) consumes, are those fixed in claim 3, whose formulas involve only data introduced above, so that the final display of (CP) is well formed and (CP) holds in full, with the clock tolerance wclk=N(Λ1s εS+εctl)\mathsf{w}^{\mathrm{clk}}=N(\Lambda_{1}s\,\varepsilon_{S}+\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}) formed by its formula; the remaining objects introduced through (CL), (FM) and (DM) there, namely the close records Rωcl\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega}, the non-close masses πωnc\pi^{\mathrm{nc}}_{\omega} and πˉnc\bar\pi^{\mathrm{nc}}, the fourth-moment bound c4\mathsf{c}_{4} and the majorants Ξc\Xi^{c}, are introduced in the claims below; the constants e1,…,e5\mathsf{e}_{1},\dots,\mathsf{e}_{5} of that lemma are formed from them; and its claims 1 and 2 are available throughout by its scope statement. Thus we have in particular: the probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) with expectation E\mathbb{E} carrying the driving variables; the real numbers K≥0K\ge0 (the derivative bound of (X), with the extension (U,Wβ,βˉ)(U,W_{\beta},\bar\beta)), K~≥0\tilde{K}\ge0, b‾>0\underline{b}>0, the real number L≥0L\ge0 and the discrepancy tolerance D≥0D\ge0 of (W) with the clock-good event GL,DG_{L,D}, the events Ω0U\Omega^{U}_{0} and GmG^{\mathsf{m}}; the set L\mathcal{L} of transition labels c=(σ,γ)c=(\sigma,\gamma), which has l(l−1)l(l-1) elements, the label rates ψc\psi_{c}, state gradients gcg^{c} and drift Jacobian E\mathcal{E} of Shared-Clock Point Insertion into the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Exact Response Identity, Crude Bound, and Linearisation Defect (in the instance of its setting fixed by the adopted setting), and the constants Λ1=l+m (B+K)\Lambda_{1}=\sqrt{l+m}\,(B+K), Λ2=32(l+m)K\Lambda_{2}=\tfrac32(l+m)K and Λ3=3Kl(l+m)\Lambda_{3}=3K\sqrt{l(l+m)}; the probability simplex Δl\Delta^{l} and the aggregate lattice GN\mathbb{G}_{N} with the point of GN\mathbb{G}_{N} written x0x_{0} there and x0\mathsf{x}_{0} here; the record space (Rs,Rs,ρ)(\mathbf{R}_{s},\mathcal{R}_{s},\rho) with horizon ss (its reference measure, written ϱs\varrho_{s} in The Observation-Centred Fluctuation at an Intermediate Time: Restriction of the Mean-Field Flow and of the Realized Control to a Shorter Horizon, Representation through the Aggregate State and the Record Prefix, and Transport of Its Joint Law with the Record to the Synthetic Copy, is written ρ\rho here, as in Law Identity between the N-Agent Aggregate Path with Its Observation Record and the Synthetic Copy's Regularised Path with Its Record and on the copy side); the clock horizon RR, the index set L\mathsf{L} of the cells with dd elements, the cells with lengths μq\mu_{q} (q∈Lq\in\mathsf{L}), μmax⁡\mu_{\max} and the vector μ\mu of cell lengths, the cell-count vector K\mathsf{K}, the move size m\mathsf{m}, the copy clocks P♯\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}, the regularised paths Σˉ♯,r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}(\omega), the tracked records Tω\mathsf{T}_{\omega}, the likelihoods ℓ♯,ω\ell^{\sharp,\omega}, the smoothing parameter η\eta, the synthetic copy (Ω♯,F♯,μ♯)(\Omega^{\sharp},\mathcal{F}^{\sharp},\mu^{\sharp}) with Ω♯=Ω×Rd×Rs\Omega^{\sharp}=\Omega\times\mathbb{R}^{d}\times\mathbf{R}_{s}, its parameter Θ\Theta and record D\mathsf{D}; the event GG of (G) with g=P(Ω∖G)\mathsf{g}=P(\Omega\setminus G); the comparison pair (Scp,A)(S^{\mathrm{cp}},\mathsf{A}) (written (S,A)(S,\mathsf{A}) there) with ϕc(t)=ψc(Stcp,At)\phi_{c}(t)=\psi_{c}(S^{\mathrm{cp}}_{t},\mathsf{A}_{t}), the control discrepancy Dctlr\mathsf{D}^{r}_{\mathrm{ctl}} of a record, the fundamental solution ΦE\Phi^{\mathcal{E}} with bound Φˉ\bar\Phi, the estimand direction c∈Rl\mathbf{c}\in\mathbb{R}^{l}, the maps HcH^{c} with ∥Hc∥1\lVert H^{c}\rVert_{1}, the cell coefficients α=(αq)q∈L∈Rd\alpha=(\alpha_{q})_{q\in\mathsf{L}}\in\mathbb{R}^{d}, the window discrepancies Discw\mathrm{Disc}_{w}, the base point z0z_{0} and the record-frozen flow Φtr\Phi^{r}_{t} of (AF), the deviation eˉ(ω,r)\bar{\mathsf{e}}(\omega,r), the recentred endpoint X′′(ω,r)X''(\omega,r), the quantity k4\mathsf{k}_{4} and the constant map ς\varsigma.

(L) (Linking of the two sides.) Assume: the numbers NN, ll, mm, l~\tilde{l}, the control set A\mathcal{A}, the affine family (β0,β1)(\beta_{0},\beta_{1}) with its transition-rate family β\beta and rate bound BB, and the observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta} with rate bound B~\tilde{B} of the copy side are those of the NN-agent side; the policy of the copy side is h(s)h^{(s)} (so that its record-frozen control paths are the a(s),ra^{(s),r}), and the dense sequence of (AF) is the one fixed for the horizon ss; the comparison pair is the restriction of the mean-field pair to [0,s][0,s], that is, Stcp=StS^{\mathrm{cp}}_{t}=S_{t} and At=At\mathsf{A}_{t}=A_{t} for every t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s]; the base point of (AF) is z0=S0z_{0}=S_{0}; the point x0∈GN\mathsf{x}_{0}\in\mathbb{G}_{N} satisfies Pag(Σ0=x0)=1P^{\mathrm{ag}}(\Sigma_{0}=\mathsf{x}_{0})=1; and the clock horizon RR is a natural number with R>NBsR>NBs. (Hypotheses (AF) and (CP) are assumed as stated; under (L) several of their clauses are consequences of the NN-agent data, but no use is made of this.)

Conventions. Adopt from The Realized Control as the Record-Frozen Control at the Observation Record, and Measurability of the Path-and-Record Closeness Set, in the instance with horizon ss described in claim 1, the path deviation s(p)\mathsf{s}(p), the control discrepancy d(r)\mathsf{d}(r) and the closeness sets E(ε,ε′)\mathsf{E}(\varepsilon,\varepsilon'); and from Almost Sure Tracking on the Synthetic Copy: Jump Times of the Deterministic-Count Clocks, Almost Sure Conflict-Freeness of Every Record, Almost Sure Null Mass of the Untracked Records, and Trimming an Event to the Tracked Set (whose setting is that of The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record, adopted above, with the move size m\mathsf{m}) the event Ω′\Omega' of its claim 3. Write Path=Path(GN,s)\mathsf{Path}=\mathsf{Path}(\mathbb{G}_{N},s) for the space of piecewise constant paths in GN\mathbb{G}_{N} with horizon ss with its σ\sigma-algebra C\mathcal{C} generated by the sets {p:p(t)=y}\{p:p(t)=y\} (t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s], y∈GNy\in\mathbb{G}_{N}); Σˉ♯,r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}(\omega) denotes also the element t↦Σˉt♯,r(ω)t\mapsto\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_{t}(\omega) of Path\mathsf{Path}. Write ∣⋅∣|\cdot| for the Euclidean norm, ∫[0,s]⋅ dt\int_{[0,s]}\cdot\,dt for the Lebesgue integral over the compact interval [0,s][0,s], ∥⋅∥2\lVert\cdot\rVert_{2} for the mean-square norm (on the copy for random variables on (Ω♯,F♯,μ♯)(\Omega^{\sharp},\mathcal{F}^{\sharp},\mu^{\sharp}), on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) for the Ξc\Xi^{c}), t1/2=tt^{1/2}=\sqrt{t} for the nonnegative square root and t1/4=(t1/2)1/2t^{1/4}=(t^{1/2})^{1/2}, N−1/2=1/NN^{-1/2}=1/\sqrt{N}, N−1=1/NN^{-1}=1/N, 1A\mathbf{1}_{A} for the indicator of a set AA, and ⊗\otimes for the product σ\sigma-algebra. Put

CLip=l(l−1) (Λ1+Λ3).C_{\mathrm{Lip}}=l(l-1)\,(\Lambda_{1}+\Lambda_{3}).

Notational cautions: PP is the probability measure of the copy side, PagP^{\mathrm{ag}} that of the NN-agent side, and the co-state of the triple is written PtP_{t}; RR is the clock horizon and RAR^{\mathcal{A}} the control bound; KK is the derivative bound of (X); Λ\Lambda is the profile bound of the copy setting and Λaff\Lambda^{\mathrm{aff}} the affine Lipschitz constant; κ♯\kappa^{\sharp} is the bound of (I′'), unrelated to the constant κ\kappa of Closeness to a Mean-Field Pair on the Synthetic Copy: Clock Discrepancy, Gronwall Comparison of the Weighted Response with the Profile Response, and the Observation-Information Bound with Mean-Field Data; DD is the discrepancy tolerance of (W) and D\mathsf{D} the record coordinate; the mean-field control of the triple is written AA, with values AtA_{t}, while the constant written A0A_{0} in the copy setting (the constant of Shared-Clock Point Insertion into the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Exact Response Identity, Crude Bound, and Linearisation Defect) is written AinsA^{\mathrm{ins}} here and is not used, so that A0A_{0} denotes the value of the mean-field control at time 00; A\mathsf{A} is the copy-side comparison control, equal to AA on [0,s][0,s] by (L); dd is the number of cells, unrelated to the control discrepancy d\mathsf{d}; εS(N)\varepsilon_{S}(N) and εctl(N)\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N), always written with the argument NN, are the tolerances of The Path-Closeness Event under the Cost Bound: Closeness of the Empirical State Measure to the Mean-Field Trajectory and of the Record-Frozen Control to the Mean-Field Control on an Event of Probability 1−O(N−1/2)1-O(N^{-1/2}), while εS\varepsilon_{S} and εctl\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}} are the tolerances of (CL) fixed in claim 3; s\mathsf{s}, d\mathsf{d} and E(ε,ε′)\mathsf{E}(\varepsilon,\varepsilon') always denote the horizon-ss objects of claim 1(b) (the constant e^5\hat{\mathsf{e}}_{5} of claim 5 is unrelated), the horizon-TT instance of The Realized Control as the Record-Frozen Control at the Observation Record, and Measurability of the Path-and-Record Closeness Set carried by the Data of The Path-Closeness Event under the Cost Bound: Closeness of the Empirical State Measure to the Mean-Field Trajectory and of the Record-Frozen Control to the Mean-Field Control on an Event of Probability 1−O(N−1/2)1-O(N^{-1/2}) not being used; the weak metric on the control set (written ρ\rho in The Realized Control as the Record-Frozen Control at the Observation Record, and Measurability of the Path-and-Record Closeness Set) is not used, ρ\rho denoting the reference measure of (Rs,Rs)(\mathbf{R}_{s},\mathcal{R}_{s}); C\mathcal{C} denotes the σ\sigma-algebra of Path\mathsf{Path}, the record part C\mathcal{C} and the pathwise record parts Cω\mathcal{C}^{\omega} of the adopted copy setting not being used; the letter ϖ\varpi occurs only, in claim 5, as the Chernoff exponent ϖk\varpi_{k} of Moment Toolkit for the Synthetic Copy: Square-Integrable Majorants of the Window Discrepancies of the Copy Clocks and the Fourth Moment of a Weighted Centred Cell-Count Sum, the profile ϖ\varpi of the adopted copy setting not being used; M4(R)\mathsf{M}_{4}(R) is the constant of that lemma, unrelated to the profile-response bound M\mathsf{M} of the copy setting; QQ is the noise majorant, unrelated to the weighted squares QωQ^{\omega} of Assembly of the Symmetrised Move Information on the Synthetic Copy: Prior Part, Record Part, and the Bad Part with Exponentially Small Under-Likelihood Mass; the constant written κ0\kappa_{0} in each of the two adopted settings is not used; Π\Pi and Π♯\Pi^{\sharp} are the path-valued maps of Law Identity between the N-Agent Aggregate Path with Its Observation Record and the Synthetic Copy's Regularised Path with Its Record, and the real numbers Πˉ\bar\Pi and B\mathsf{B} of Assembly of the Symmetrised Move Information on the Synthetic Copy: Prior Part, Record Part, and the Bad Part with Exponentially Small Under-Likelihood Mass and the leave events D0,…,DK−1D_{0},\dots,D_{K-1} of Closeness of the Realized Control and the Realized Mean-Field Flow on a High-Probability Event under the Cost Bound are not used, so that Πˉ\bar\Pi, B\mathsf{B} and D0D_{0} are free for the objects introduced in the proof; and S\mathsf{S} is the mean-field flow, the parameter lattice of the copy setting not being used.

Then the following hold.

1. (Instantiation.) (a) The setting of Law Identity between the N-Agent Aggregate Path with Its Observation Record and the Synthetic Copy's Regularised Path with Its Record is instantiated with horizon ss by the copy side, the driving system (Ωag,Fag,Pag)(\Omega^{\mathrm{ag}},\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{ag}},P^{\mathrm{ag}}), the restricted solution and the fixed reconstruction data, with the probability space of the copy side in the role of its (Ω♭,F♭,P♭)(\Omega^{\flat},\mathcal{F}^{\flat},P^{\flat}) and x0\mathsf{x}_{0} in the role of its x0x_{0}; the additional hypotheses of claim 5 of The Observation-Centred Fluctuation at an Intermediate Time: Restriction of the Mean-Field Flow and of the Realized Control to a Shorter Horizon, Representation through the Aggregate State and the Record Prefix, and Transport of Its Joint Law with the Record to the Synthetic Copy hold, so that its claims 1--5 are available; the record-frozen flow Φr\Phi^{r} of (AF) is the flow Φ(s),r\Phi^{(s),r} of that lemma for every r∈Rsr\in\mathbf{R}_{s}; and X′′(ω,r)=Xs′′(ω,θ,r)X''(\omega,r)=X''_{s}(\omega,\theta,r) for all (ω,θ,r)∈Ω♯(\omega,\theta,r)\in\Omega^{\sharp}. (b) The setting of The Realized Control as the Record-Frozen Control at the Observation Record, and Measurability of the Path-and-Record Closeness Set is instantiated with horizon ss by the NN-agent data, the policy h(s)h^{(s)} and the restricted solution, with the comparison data St∗=StS^{*}_{t}=S_{t} (t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s]), K∗=1K^{*}=1 and the control t↦Att\mapsto A_{t} (t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s]), and with the path data E=GNE=\mathbb{G}_{N}; hence its objects s(p)=sup⁡t∈[0,s]∣p(t)−St∣\mathsf{s}(p)=\sup_{t\in[0,s]}|p(t)-S_{t}| (p∈Pathp\in\mathsf{Path}), d(r)=∫[0,s]∣a(s),r(t)−At∣ dt\mathsf{d}(r)=\int_{[0,s]}|a^{(s),r}(t)-A_{t}|\,dt (r∈Rsr\in\mathbf{R}_{s}) and E(ε,ε′)={(p,r):s(p)≤ε, d(r)≤ε′}∈C⊗Rs\mathsf{E}(\varepsilon,\varepsilon')=\{(p,r):\mathsf{s}(p)\le\varepsilon,\ \mathsf{d}(r)\le\varepsilon'\}\in\mathcal{C}\otimes\mathcal{R}_{s} are defined, and for every ω∈Ω0ag\omega\in\Omega^{\mathrm{ag}}_{0},

d(W(s)(ω))=∫[0,s]∣α^(t,ω)−At∣ dt.\mathsf{d}\bigl(W^{(s)}(\omega)\bigr)=\int_{[0,s]}|\hat{\alpha}(t,\omega)-A_{t}|\,dt .

2. (Control-Lipschitz bound on the record discrepancy.) For every r∈Rsr\in\mathbf{R}_{s} and every t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s],

∑c∈L(∣ψc(St,a(s),r(t))−ψc(St,At)∣+∣gc(St,a(s),r(t))−gc(St,At)∣)≤CLip ∣a(s),r(t)−At∣,\sum_{c\in\mathcal{L}}\Bigl(\bigl|\psi_{c}(S_{t},a^{(s),r}(t))-\psi_{c}(S_{t},A_{t})\bigr|+\bigl|g^{c}(S_{t},a^{(s),r}(t))-g^{c}(S_{t},A_{t})\bigr|\Bigr)\le C_{\mathrm{Lip}}\,\bigl|a^{(s),r}(t)-A_{t}\bigr|,

and consequently Dctlr≤CLip d(r)\mathsf{D}^{r}_{\mathrm{ctl}}\le C_{\mathrm{Lip}}\,\mathsf{d}(r).

3. (The close records; hypothesis (CL) holds.) Put εS=εS(N)\varepsilon_{S}=\varepsilon_{S}(N) and εctl=CLip εctl(N)\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}=C_{\mathrm{Lip}}\,\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N), and for ω∈Ω\omega\in\Omega put

Rωcl=Tω∩{r∈Rs: (Σˉ♯,r(ω),r)∈E(εS(N),εctl(N))}  if ω∈G∩Ω′,Rωcl=∅  otherwise.\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega}=\mathsf{T}_{\omega}\cap\bigl\{r\in\mathbf{R}_{s}:\ \bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}(\omega),r\bigr)\in\mathsf{E}\bigl(\varepsilon_{S}(N),\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N)\bigr)\bigr\}\ \text{ if }\omega\in G\cap\Omega',\qquad \mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega}=\emptyset\ \text{ otherwise}.

Then hypothesis (CL) of Information Bound on the Synthetic Copy with Mean-Field Data: Prior Energy of the Profile, Observation Information Along the Profile Response, and the Non-Close Record Mass, as adopted by Mean-Square Assembly of the Estimand Linearisation on the Synthetic Copy: Approximation of the Recentred Copy Endpoint by an Affine Function of the Parameter, holds for the tolerances εS\varepsilon_{S}, εctl\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}} and the family (Rωcl)ω∈Ω(\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega})_{\omega\in\Omega}: each Rωcl\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega} belongs to Rs\mathcal{R}_{s} and is contained in Tω\mathsf{T}_{\omega}; for every ω∈G\omega\in G and every r∈Rωclr\in\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega} one has ∣Σˉt♯,r(ω)−St∣≤εS|\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_{t}(\omega)-S_{t}|\le\varepsilon_{S} for every t∈[0,s]t\in[0,s] and Dctlr≤εctl\mathsf{D}^{r}_{\mathrm{ctl}}\le\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}; and the non-close mass πωnc=∫Rsℓ♯,ω 1Rs∖Rωcl dρ\pi^{\mathrm{nc}}_{\omega}=\int_{\mathbf{R}_{s}}\ell^{\sharp,\omega}\,\mathbf{1}_{\mathbf{R}_{s}\setminus\mathsf{R}^{\mathrm{cl}}_{\omega}}\,d\rho takes values in [0,1][0,1] and is an F\mathcal{F}-measurable function of ω\omega. Moreover

πˉnc=E[1G πnc] ≤ Pag(Ωag∖ΩNcl) ≤ N−1/2+cQ κ♯ N−1.\bar\pi^{\mathrm{nc}}=\mathbb{E}\bigl[\mathbf{1}_{G}\,\pi^{\mathrm{nc}}\bigr]\ \le\ P^{\mathrm{ag}}\bigl(\Omega^{\mathrm{ag}}\setminus\Omega^{\mathrm{cl}}_{N}\bigr)\ \le\ N^{-1/2}+c_{Q}\,\kappa^{\sharp}\,N^{-1} .

4. (Hypothesis (FM) holds.) ∫Ω♯eˉ4 dμ♯≤cQ κ♯\int_{\Omega^{\sharp}}\bar{\mathsf{e}}^{4}\,d\mu^{\sharp}\le c_{Q}\,\kappa^{\sharp}; hence hypothesis (FM) of Mean-Square Assembly of the Estimand Linearisation on the Synthetic Copy: Approximation of the Recentred Copy Endpoint by an Affine Function of the Parameter holds with c4=cQκ♯\mathsf{c}_{4}=c_{Q}\kappa^{\sharp}.

5. (Hypothesis (DM), the fourth moment of the cell-count sum, and the explicit mean-square bound.) Let x1>0x_{1}>0 and x2>0x_{2}>0 be real numbers, and let (Ξc)c∈L(\Xi^{c})_{c\in\mathcal{L}} be a family as furnished by claim 2 of Moment Toolkit for the Synthetic Copy: Square-Integrable Majorants of the Window Discrepancies of the Copy Clocks and the Fourth Moment of a Weighted Centred Cell-Count Sum for the data w1=wclk=N(Λ1s εS(N)+CLipεctl(N))w_{1}=\mathsf{w}^{\mathrm{clk}}=N(\Lambda_{1}s\,\varepsilon_{S}(N)+C_{\mathrm{Lip}}\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N)), w2=μmax⁡w_{2}=\mu_{\max}, x1x_{1} and x2x_{2}. Then hypothesis (DM) of Mean-Square Assembly of the Estimand Linearisation on the Synthetic Copy: Approximation of the Recentred Copy Endpoint by an Affine Function of the Parameter holds for this family, with

∥Ξc∥2≤x1+x2+4+M4(R)∑i=12(2(R+1)(⌈wi⌉+3)exp⁡(−ϖ⌈wi⌉+2(xi)))1/4(c∈L),\lVert\Xi^{c}\rVert_{2}\le x_{1}+x_{2}+4+\mathsf{M}_{4}(R)\sum_{i=1}^{2}\Bigl(2(R+1)(\lceil w_{i}\rceil+3)\exp\bigl(-\varpi_{\lceil w_{i}\rceil+2}(x_{i})\bigr)\Bigr)^{1/4}\qquad(c\in\mathcal{L}),

in the notation of that lemma; the quantity k4\mathsf{k}_{4} satisfies k44≤3(∑q∈Lαq2μq)2+∑q∈Lαq4μq\mathsf{k}_{4}^{4}\le3(\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}\alpha_{q}^{2}\mu_{q})^{2}+\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}\alpha_{q}^{4}\mu_{q}; all hypotheses of Mean-Square Assembly of the Estimand Linearisation on the Synthetic Copy: Approximation of the Recentred Copy Endpoint by an Affine Function of the Parameter hold for the data of claims 3, 4 and of the present claim; and consequently, by its claim 4 and the bound on πˉnc\bar\pi^{\mathrm{nc}} of claim 3,

∥α⋅Θ+ς(D)−c⋅X′′∥2 ≤ e1+e2+e3+e4+e5 ≤ e1+e2+e3+e4+e^5,\bigl\lVert\alpha\cdot\Theta+\varsigma(\mathsf{D})-\mathbf{c}\cdot X''\bigr\rVert_{2}\ \le\ \mathsf{e}_{1}+\mathsf{e}_{2}+\mathsf{e}_{3}+\mathsf{e}_{4}+\mathsf{e}_{5}\ \le\ \mathsf{e}_{1}+\mathsf{e}_{2}+\mathsf{e}_{3}+\mathsf{e}_{4}+\hat{\mathsf{e}}_{5},

where e1,…,e5\mathsf{e}_{1},\dots,\mathsf{e}_{5} are the constants of that lemma for the present data, which read, with c4=cQκ♯\mathsf{c}_{4}=c_{Q}\kappa^{\sharp},

e1=∣c∣Φˉ2N ∣x0−S0∣,e2=∣c∣Φˉ2(2 l(l−1)Λ2s c41/2N+2 l(l−1)Λ3s(εS(N) c41/4+c41/2N)+2 CLipεctl(N) c41/4),\mathsf{e}_{1}=|\mathbf{c}|\bar\Phi^{2}\sqrt{N}\,|\mathsf{x}_{0}-S_{0}|,\qquad \mathsf{e}_{2}=|\mathbf{c}|\bar\Phi^{2}\Bigl(\sqrt{2}\,l(l-1)\Lambda_{2}s\,\frac{\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/2}}{\sqrt{N}}+\sqrt{2}\,l(l-1)\Lambda_{3}s\Bigl(\varepsilon_{S}(N)\,\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/4}+\frac{\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/2}}{\sqrt{N}}\Bigr)+\sqrt{2}\,C_{\mathrm{Lip}}\varepsilon_{\mathrm{ctl}}(N)\,\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/4}\Bigr), e3=∣c∣N∑c∈L(2+∥Hc∥1)∥Ξc∥2,e4=η ∣α∣,e5=2(g1/4+(πˉnc)1/4)(∣c∣ c41/4+k4N),\mathsf{e}_{3}=\frac{|\mathbf{c}|}{\sqrt{N}}\sum_{c\in\mathcal{L}}\bigl(\sqrt{2}+\lVert H^{c}\rVert_{1}\bigr)\lVert\Xi^{c}\rVert_{2},\qquad \mathsf{e}_{4}=\sqrt{\eta}\,|\alpha|,\qquad \mathsf{e}_{5}=\sqrt{2}\bigl(\mathsf{g}^{1/4}+(\bar\pi^{\mathrm{nc}})^{1/4}\bigr)\Bigl(|\mathbf{c}|\,\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/4}+\frac{\mathsf{k}_{4}}{\sqrt{N}}\Bigr),

and where

e^5=2(g1/4+(N−1/2+cQκ♯N−1)1/4)(∣c∣ c41/4+k4N) ≥ e5;\hat{\mathsf{e}}_{5}=\sqrt{2}\Bigl(\mathsf{g}^{1/4}+\bigl(N^{-1/2}+c_{Q}\kappa^{\sharp}N^{-1}\bigr)^{1/4}\Bigr)\Bigl(|\mathbf{c}|\,\mathsf{c}_{4}^{1/4}+\frac{\mathsf{k}_{4}}{\sqrt{N}}\Bigr)\ \ge\ \mathsf{e}_{5};

the left-hand side is, by claim 1(a), the mean-square norm on the copy of α⋅Θ+ς(D)−c⋅Xs′′\alpha\cdot\Theta+\varsigma(\mathsf{D})-\mathbf{c}\cdot X''_{s}.

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