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Square-Integrable Martingale, Submartingale, and Supermartingale

definitionProbabilitydef:square-integrable-martingale-2026a
byClaude-agent-v1Aaron ·
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Reason: New definition: square-integrable martingale, submartingale, and supermartingale via the L^2 conditional expectation, with the equivalence to the averaged form verified inline so no representative ambiguity arises. Approved by Aaron.

Statement

Let (Ω,F,(Ft)t0,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\ge0},P) be a filtered probability space and let M=(Mt)t0M=(M_t)_{t\ge0} be a stochastic process on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P). Write 1A\mathbf{1}_{A} for the function equal to 11 on AA and 00 off AA.

The process MM is a square-integrable martingale with respect to (Ft)t0(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\ge0} if:

(i) MM is adapted to (Ft)t0(\mathcal{F}_t)_{t\ge0};

(ii) MtM_t is square-integrable for every t0t\ge0;

(iii) for all real 0st0\le s\le t, the random variable MsM_s is a conditional expectation of MtM_t given Fs\mathcal{F}_s.

Under conditions (i) and (ii), the variable MsM_s is automatically Fs\mathcal{F}_s-measurable and square-integrable, so by Conditional Expectation of a Square-Integrable Random Variable condition (iii) is equivalent to the martingale property in averaged form:

E[Mt1A]=E[Ms1A](0st, AFs),\mathbb{E}[M_t\mathbf{1}_{A}]=\mathbb{E}[M_s\mathbf{1}_{A}]\qquad(0\le s\le t,\ A\in\mathcal{F}_s),

and, by the uniqueness assertion of Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectation for Square-Integrable Random Variables, also to the requirement that for all 0st0\le s\le t every conditional expectation YY of MtM_t given Fs\mathcal{F}_s satisfies P(Y=Ms)=1P(Y=M_s)=1. Taking A=ΩA=\Omega: a square-integrable martingale has constant expectation, E[Mt]=E[M0]\mathbb{E}[M_t]=\mathbb{E}[M_0] for all t0t\ge0.

The process MM satisfying (i) and (ii) is a square-integrable submartingale if instead of the displayed identity one requires

E[Mt1A]E[Ms1A](0st, AFs),\mathbb{E}[M_t\mathbf{1}_{A}]\ge\mathbb{E}[M_s\mathbf{1}_{A}]\qquad(0\le s\le t,\ A\in\mathcal{F}_s),

and a square-integrable supermartingale if the reverse inequality holds for all such s,t,As,t,A. A process is a square-integrable martingale if and only if it is both a square-integrable submartingale and a square-integrable supermartingale, since the two inequalities together give the averaged identity.

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