TheoremBase

Expectation

The expectation of a random variable is its integral against the probability measure: in [0,∞] for nonnegative measurable functions, in the reals for integrable random variables, and entrywise for integrable random vectors and matrix-valued functions.

Statement

In the setting of Measurable Functions and the Lebesgue Integral: Standing Notation, let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) be a probability space and let n,p,q∈Nn,p,q\in\mathbb{N}.

Expectation of a function into [0,∞][0,\infty]. For X∈M+(Ω,F)X\in\mathcal{M}^{+}(\Omega,\mathcal{F}), the expectation of XX is

EX=∫ΩX dP∈[0,∞].\mathbb{E}X=\int_{\Omega}X\,dP\in[0,\infty].

Integrable random variables. A random variable XX is integrable if X∈L1(P)X\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P), and then its expectation is

EX=∫ΩX dP∈R\mathbb{E}X=\int_{\Omega}X\,dP\in\mathbb{R}

(for X≥0X\ge0 it agrees with (i), by Linearity and Monotonicity of the Lebesgue Integral, and the Integrability Criterion (vi)).

Integrable random vectors. A random vector XX in Rn\mathbb{R}^{n} is integrable if X∈L1(P;Rn)X\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P;\mathbb{R}^{n}), and then its expectation is the point

EX=∫ΩX dP=(EX1,…,EXn)∈Rn\mathbb{E}X=\int_{\Omega}X\,dP=(\mathbb{E}X_{1},\dots,\mathbb{E}X_{n})\in\mathbb{R}^{n}

(Integrable Vector- and Matrix-Valued Functions and Their Integrals (ii)).

Integrable matrix-valued functions. For X∈L1(P;Rp×q)X\in\mathcal{L}^{1}(P;\mathbb{R}^{p\times q}), the expectation of XX is the matrix

EX=∫ΩX dP∈Rp×q,(EX)ij=EXij(i∈[p], j∈[q])\mathbb{E}X=\int_{\Omega}X\,dP\in\mathbb{R}^{p\times q},\qquad(\mathbb{E}X)_{ij}=\mathbb{E}X_{ij}\quad(i\in[p],\ j\in[q])

(Integrable Vector- and Matrix-Valued Functions and Their Integrals (iv)).

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