Mean-Square Linearization Residual of the Observation Fluctuation Process

lemmaProbabilitylem:observation-linearization-residual-2026a
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron Β·
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Reason: Observation-side mirror of lem:fluctuation-linearization-residual-2026a: linearization of the aggregate observation drift about a mean-field trajectory with pointwise and min-form mean-square residual bounds and the integral form of the observation fluctuation process; needed for the approximate Kalman filter error analysis (S4.4 item 2).

Statement

Adopt the setting of the \reftext{def:n-agent-fluctuation-processes-2026a}{fluctuation processes of the controlled NN-agent dynamics}: a \reftext{def:transition-rate-family-2026a}{transition-rate family} Ξ²\beta on ll states with control dimension mm, an \reftext{def:observation-rate-family-2026a}{observation-rate family} Ξ²~\tilde{\beta} with l~\tilde{l} observation channels and rate bound B~\tilde{B}, a horizon T>0T>0, an \reftext{def:n-agent-driving-system-2026a}{NN-agent driving system} (Ξ©,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P), an \reftext{def:observation-driven-control-policy-2026a}{observation-driven control policy} hh, a \reftext{def:n-agent-controlled-dynamics-2026a}{solution} on [0,T][0,T] with regular event Ξ©0\Omega_0, empirical state measure Ξ£t\Sigma_t, observation processes Ξ₯tΟ…\Upsilon^\upsilon_t, and control Ξ±t\alpha_t, a \reftext{def:mean-field-trajectory-pair-2026a}{mean-field trajectory pair} (S,A)(S,A) for Ξ²\beta with horizon TT, and the state fluctuation process st=N(Ξ£tβˆ’St)\mathfrak{s}_t=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma_t-S_t). Assume that Ξ²~\tilde{\beta} admits a \reftext{def:c2-observation-rate-extension-2026a}{twice continuously differentiable extension} (U~,Ξ²~Λ‰)(\tilde{U},\bar{\tilde{\beta}}) with derivative bound K~\tilde{K}. Let b~\tilde{b} be the \reftext{def:aggregate-observation-drift-2026a}{aggregate observation drift} of Ξ²~\tilde{\beta}, with b~(Ξ£)\tilde{b}(\Sigma) the vector with components b~1(Ξ£),…,b~l~(Ξ£)\tilde{b}^1(\Sigma),\dots,\tilde{b}^{\tilde{l}}(\Sigma), let b~Λ‰\bar{\tilde{b}} be the \reftext{def:extended-aggregate-observation-drift-2026a}{extended aggregate observation drift} of (U~,Ξ²~Λ‰)(\tilde{U},\bar{\tilde{\beta}}), adopt the partial-derivative notation βˆ‚Ξ³\partial_\gamma, βˆ‚Ξ΄βˆ‚Ξ³\partial_\delta\partial_\gamma of the extension definition, and let M~t=(M~tΟ…)Ο…βˆˆ{1,…,l~}\tilde{M}_t=(\tilde{M}^\upsilon_t)_{\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\}} be as in the \reftext{thm:n-agent-martingale-decomposition-2026a}{martingale decomposition}. Write E\mathbb{E} for the \reftext{def:expectation-variance-2026a}{expectation}, βˆ£β‹…βˆ£|\cdot| for the Euclidean norm (\reftext{def:euclidean-distance-rn-2026a}{Euclidean distance} to the origin), Ξ”l\Delta^l for the \reftext{def:probability-simplex-2026a}{probability simplex}, and 1D\mathbf{1}_{D} for the function equal to 11 on a set DD and 00 off DD, and set, for s∈[0,T]s\in[0,T],

g~s=N (b~(Ξ£s)βˆ’b~(Ss))∈Rl~,Ξ›~=l l~β€…β€Š(B~+K~).\tilde{g}_s=\sqrt{N}\,\big(\tilde{b}(\Sigma_s)-\tilde{b}(S_s)\big)\in\mathbb{R}^{\tilde{l}},\qquad \tilde{\Lambda}=\sqrt{l\,\tilde{l}}\;(\tilde{B}+\tilde{K}).

Define the \textbf{observation linearization matrix}: for s∈[0,T]s\in[0,T], the real matrix E~s\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_s with l~\tilde{l} rows and ll columns and entries

(E~s)Ο…Ξ³=βˆ‚Ξ³b~Λ‰Ο…(Ss)(Ο…βˆˆ{1,…,l~}, γ∈{1,…,l}),(\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_s)_{\upsilon\gamma}=\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(S_s)\qquad(\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\},\ \gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\}),

which is defined because SsS_s lies in Ξ”lβŠ†U~\Delta^l\subseteq\tilde{U} (the inclusion being part of the \reftext{def:c2-observation-rate-extension-2026a}{extension definition}) and the partial derivatives of b~Λ‰\bar{\tilde{b}} exist there by the \reftext{lem:extended-observation-drift-regularity-2026a}{regularity of the extended aggregate observation drift}; when (S,A)(S,A) belongs to a \reftext{def:stationary-mean-field-triple-2026a}{stationary mean-field triple} and the observation-rate extension is the one chosen there, E~s\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_s is the observation matrix of the \reftext{def:fluctuation-lqg-data-2026a}{fluctuation LQG data}, with the same symbol, by the identical defining formula of clause 3 of that definition. Define the \textbf{observation linearization residual}, with the \reftext{def:matrix-vector-product-2026a}{matrix-vector product} E~sss\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_s\mathfrak{s}_s,

e~s=g~sβˆ’E~sss∈Rl~(s∈[0,T]),\tilde{e}_s=\tilde{g}_s-\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_s\mathfrak{s}_s\in\mathbb{R}^{\tilde{l}}\qquad(s\in[0,T]),

and the \textbf{observation fluctuation process}, with Ξ₯t\Upsilon_t the vector with components Ξ₯t1,…,Ξ₯tl~\Upsilon^1_t,\dots,\Upsilon^{\tilde{l}}_t,

ut=N (Ξ₯tβˆ’βˆ«[0,t]b~(Sr) dr)∈Rl~(t∈[0,T]),\mathfrak{u}_t=\sqrt{N}\,\Big(\Upsilon_t-\int_{[0,t]}\tilde{b}(S_r)\,dr\Big)\in\mathbb{R}^{\tilde{l}}\qquad(t\in[0,T]),

the integral being the componentwise \reftext{lem:interval-lebesgue-toolkit-2026a}{Lebesgue integral} over the compact interval [0,t][0,t] of a continuous integrand (each r↦b~Ο…(Sr)r\mapsto\tilde{b}^\upsilon(S_r) is continuous, SS being continuous with values in Ξ”l\Delta^l and b~Ο…\tilde{b}^\upsilon agreeing there with the extension b~Λ‰Ο…\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon, which is continuous by part (i) of the \reftext{lem:extended-observation-drift-regularity-2026a}{regularity lemma}), equal to 00 for t=0t=0. Then:

\textbf{(a) (Pointwise bounds.)} At every point of [0,T]Γ—Ξ©[0,T]\times\Omega,

∣e~sβˆ£Β β‰€Β 3 l l~ K~2 Nβ€‰βˆ£ss∣2and∣e~sβˆ£Β β‰€Β 2 Λ~β€‰βˆ£ss∣;|\tilde{e}_s|\ \le\ \frac{3\,l\,\sqrt{\tilde{l}}\,\tilde{K}}{2\,\sqrt{N}}\,|\mathfrak{s}_s|^2\qquad\text{and}\qquad |\tilde{e}_s|\ \le\ 2\,\tilde{\Lambda}\,|\mathfrak{s}_s|;

moreover ∣ssβˆ£β‰€2N|\mathfrak{s}_s|\le2\sqrt{N} at every point of [0,T]Γ—Ξ©[0,T]\times\Omega, so that ∣e~sβˆ£β‰€4 Λ~ N|\tilde{e}_s|\le4\,\tilde{\Lambda}\,\sqrt{N} everywhere.

\textbf{(b) (Well-definedness.)} Each map (s,Ο‰)↦1Ξ©0(Ο‰) e~sΟ…(Ο‰)(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)\,\tilde{e}^\upsilon_s(\omega) is \reftext{def:measurable-function-2026a}{measurable} with respect to the \reftext{def:product-sigma-algebra-2026a}{product Οƒ\sigma-algebra} of the \reftext{lem:interval-lebesgue-toolkit-2026a}{trace Borel Οƒ\sigma-algebra} on [0,T][0,T] and F\mathcal{F}, by the \reftext{lem:n-agent-joint-measurability-2026a}{joint measurability of the state and control} together with \reftext{lem:continuous-composition-measurable-2026a}{measurability of sequentially continuous functions of measurable Euclidean maps} and the continuity of the \reftext{def:mean-field-trajectory-pair-2026a}{mean-field trajectory pair}; and at each Ο‰βˆˆΞ©0\omega\in\Omega_0 every section s↦e~sΟ…(Ο‰)s\mapsto\tilde{e}^\upsilon_s(\omega) is bounded and Lebesgue integrable over [0,t][0,t] for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T]. Define the \textbf{observation residual process}

R~t=∫[0,t]e~s dsΒ Β componentwiseΒ atΒ eachΒ Ο‰βˆˆΞ©0Β Β (theΒ integralΒ beingΒ 0Β forΒ t=0),R~t=0Β Β offΒ Ξ©0(t∈[0,T]).\tilde{\mathcal{R}}_t=\int_{[0,t]}\tilde{e}_s\,ds\ \text{ componentwise at each }\omega\in\Omega_0\ \text{ (the integral being $0$ for $t=0$)},\qquad \tilde{\mathcal{R}}_t=0\ \text{ off }\Omega_0\qquad(t\in[0,T]).

Each R~tΟ…\tilde{\mathcal{R}}^\upsilon_t is a \reftext{def:probability-space-random-variable-2026a}{random variable}, by the \reftext{thm:tonelli-fubini-2026a}{Tonelli theorem} applied to the positive and negative parts of 1Ξ©0e~Ο…\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}\tilde{e}^\upsilon.

\textbf{(c) (Integral form of the observation fluctuation process.)} At every Ο‰βˆˆΞ©0\omega\in\Omega_0 that lies in the almost-sure event of clause (a) of the \reftext{thm:n-agent-martingale-decomposition-2026a}{martingale decomposition}, and hence \reftext{def:almost-surely-2026a}{almost surely}, for every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T],

ut=∫[0,t](E~r sr+e~r) dr+N M~t,\mathfrak{u}_t=\int_{[0,t]}\big(\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_r\,\mathfrak{s}_r+\tilde{e}_r\big)\,dr+\sqrt{N}\,\tilde{M}_t,

all integrals existing componentwise at such Ο‰\omega.

\textbf{(d) (Mean-square residual bound.)} For every t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T], all quantities below are finite and

E[∣R~t∣2] ≀ t∫[0,t]E[min⁑(3 l l~ K~2 Nβ€‰βˆ£ss∣2,Β 2 Λ~β€‰βˆ£ss∣) ⁣2] ds.\mathbb{E}\big[|\tilde{\mathcal{R}}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ t\int_{[0,t]}\mathbb{E}\Big[\min\Big(\frac{3\,l\,\sqrt{\tilde{l}}\,\tilde{K}}{2\,\sqrt{N}}\,|\mathfrak{s}_s|^2,\ 2\,\tilde{\Lambda}\,|\mathfrak{s}_s|\Big)^{\!2}\Big]\,ds .

Here the maps (s,Ο‰)↦1Ξ©0(Ο‰)min⁑(⋯ )2(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)\min(\cdots)^2 and (s,Ο‰)↦1Ξ©0(Ο‰)β€‰βˆ£ss(Ο‰)∣4(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)\,|\mathfrak{s}_s(\omega)|^4 are product-measurable, being \reftext{lem:continuous-composition-measurable-2026a}{continuous functions} of product-measurable maps furnished by the \reftext{lem:n-agent-joint-measurability-2026a}{joint measurability lemma}, so the integrands s↦E[min⁑(⋯ )2]s\mapsto\mathbb{E}[\min(\cdots)^2] and s↦E[∣ss∣4]s\mapsto\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{s}_s|^4] (unchanged by the 1Ξ©0\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0} modification, Ξ©0\Omega_0 having probability 11) are measurable functions of ss by the \reftext{thm:tonelli-fubini-2026a}{Tonelli theorem}, the trace Lebesgue measure and PP being finite, hence Οƒ\sigma-finite, measures. In particular

E[∣R~t∣2] ≀ 9 l2 l~ K~24 Nβ€…β€Št∫[0,t]E[∣ss∣4] ds.\mathbb{E}\big[|\tilde{\mathcal{R}}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ \frac{9\,l^2\,\tilde{l}\,\tilde{K}^2}{4\,N}\;t\int_{[0,t]}\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{s}_s|^4\big]\,ds .
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