Conditional Expectation of a Square-Integrable Random Variable
definitionProbabilitydef:conditional-expectation-l2-2026aLet be a probability space, let be a sub--algebra of , and let be a square-integrable random variable on it. Write for the function equal to on and off .
Definition. A random variable on is a conditional expectation of given if:
(i) is -measurable, that is, for every Borel set ;
(ii) is square-integrable;
(iii) for every , the expectations being defined because the products are integrable by Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product.
By Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectation for Square-Integrable Random Variables, a conditional expectation of given exists; it is equivalently characterized among -measurable square-integrable random variables as the best mean-square approximation of , or by the orthogonality relation of that theorem; and any two conditional expectations of given satisfy .
Notation. The symbol denotes a conditional expectation of given . Formally, every statement containing the symbol is an abbreviation for the assertion that the statement holds for every random variable that is a conditional expectation of given in the sense above. (No canonical choice is made, no quotient space is formed, and -algebras are not completed; whenever a specific representative matters, it is named explicitly.)
Two immediate consequences. Taking in (iii): every conditional expectation satisfies . If is itself -measurable, then satisfies (i)-(iii), so , meaning that every conditional expectation of given equals with probability , by the uniqueness assertion of Existence and Uniqueness of Conditional Expectation for Square-Integrable Random Variables.
Loading…
Prerequisites
No prerequisites tracked.
Dependents
No dependents yet.
Dependent proofs
No dependent proofs yet.
No relations recorded yet.