Adopt the setting and notation of claims 3 and 4 of the adaptedness lemma for the realized mean-field flow, together with those of the progressive measurability lemma for the realized control on which it rests: the affine-controlled transition-rate family with compact convex control set A and its transition-rate family β; the horizon T>0; the solution of the controlled N-agent dynamics on the N-agent driving system (Ω,F,P) with observation filtration (Gt)t∈[0,T] and system filtration (Ftsys)t∈[0,T]; the realized control α^; a point x0 of the probability simplex Δl and the realized mean-field flow Φt(ω)=St(x0,α^(ω)); a map S∗:[0,T]→Rl with continuous components and the deviation process Yt(ω)=∣Φt(ω)−St∗∣ with supremum Y, where ∣⋅∣ is the Euclidean norm; a map A:[0,T]→A each of whose components is measurable with respect to the trace Borel σ-algebra on [0,T] and the Borel σ-algebra of the real line, and the control energy process Et(ω)=∫[0,t]∣α^(s,ω)−As∣2ds of claim 5 of the progressive measurability lemma. Stopping times are those of whichever of the two filtrations (Gt)t∈[0,T] and (Ftsys)t∈[0,T] is named, with time index restricted to [0,T], and for a function θ:Ω→[0,T] and t∈[0,T] we write {t<θ} for {ω∈Ω:t<θ(ω)}, and similarly for the other order relations. Throughout, a real-valued function on a subinterval I of the real numbers R is called continuous on I when it is continuous relative to I, both I and the codomain R carrying the metric of the real line.
Fix a real number εY and a real number cE>0. For ω∈Ω put
HY(ω)={t∈[0,T]:Yt(ω)≥εY},HE(ω)={t∈[0,T]:Et(ω)≥cE},
and define τY(ω) to be the greatest lower bound of HY(ω) if HY(ω)=∅ and T otherwise, τE(ω) to be the greatest lower bound of HE(ω) if HE(ω)=∅ and T otherwise (in each case the greatest lower bound exists by the existence theorem for infima, the set being nonempty in the case at hand and bounded below by 0), and the good-set time (a stopping time by claim 1 below)
τ(ω)=min(τY(ω),τE(ω)).
Then the following hold.
1. (Stopping times.) Each of τY, τE and τ is a stopping time of (Gt)t∈[0,T] and of (Ftsys)t∈[0,T]. In particular {t<τ}∈Gt and {τ≤t}∈Gt for every t∈[0,T], and {τ<T}∈GT.
2. (Bounds before and at the stopping time.) For every ω∈Ω and every t∈[0,T] with t<τ(ω),
Yt(ω)<εYandEt(ω)<cE.
Moreover Emin(t,τ(ω))(ω)≤cE for every ω∈Ω and every t∈[0,T]; and if ∣x0−S0∗∣<εY, then also Ymin(t,τ(ω))(ω)≤εY for every ω∈Ω and every t∈[0,T].
3. (Early stopping.) {τ<T}={τY<T}∪{τE<T}, with
{τY<T}⊆{Y≥εY},{τE<T}⊆{ET≥cE},{τY=T}⊆{Y≤εY},
all three sets on the right belonging to GT; consequently
P(τ<T)≤P(Y≥εY)+P(ET≥cE).