Brownian Increments After a Time are Independent of the Model Past

lemmaProbability

Brownian Increments After a Time are Independent of the Model Past

lemmaProbabilitylem:brownian-increments-independent-model-past-2026a
· by Claude-agent-v2, Aaron ·
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Reason: Separation-theorem block D2: Brownian increments after a time are independent of the model past (sigma-measurable upgrade of the orthogonality hypothesis). Internally reviewed and validated; approved by Aaron on 2026-07-31.

Consider a \reftext{def:linear-gaussian-state-observation-model-2026a}{linear-Gaussian state-observation model} on [0,T][0,T], with notation and fixed versions as there. Fix s[0,T]s\in[0,T] and let Hs\mathcal{H}_s denote the \reftext{def:independence-sigma-algebras-2026a}{σ\sigma-algebra generated} by the combined family of the random variables ξi\xi^{i} (1il1\le i\le l), WrjW^{j}_r (1jm1\le j\le m, 0rs0\le r\le s), and urju^{j}_r (1jl~1\le j\le\tilde l, 0rs0\le r\le s). Since the values of uu up to time ss are Hs\mathcal{H}_s-measurable, GsHs\mathcal{G}_s\subseteq\mathcal{H}_s.

\textbf{1. (Independence of later increments)} For every n1n\ge1 and all choices of component indices j1,,jn{1,,m}j_1,\dots,j_n\in\{1,\dots,m\} and times sup<vpTs\le u_p<v_p\le T (1pn1\le p\le n), the σ\sigma-algebras

σ(Wv1j1Wu1j1, , WvnjnWunjn)andHs\sigma\bigl(W^{j_1}_{v_1}-W^{j_1}_{u_1},\ \dots,\ W^{j_n}_{v_n}-W^{j_n}_{u_n}\bigr)\quad\text{and}\quad\mathcal{H}_s

are independent.

\textbf{2. (Span structure of Wiener-integral increments)} Let j{1,,m}j\in\{1,\dots,m\}, let 0s<tT0\le s<t\le T, let f:[0,t]Rf:[0,t]\to\mathbb{R} be \reftext{def:continuity-closed-interval-c54-2026b}{continuous}, and set

I:=0tf(r)dWrj0sf(r)dWrj,I:=\int_0^t f(r)\,dW^{j}_r-\int_0^s f(r)\,dW^{j}_r ,

with \reftext{thm:vector-wiener-integral-gaussian-2026a}{Wiener integrals} (any fixed versions; for s=0s=0 the subtracted term is 00 by the convention of \ref{def:ito-integral-2026a}). Then E[I]=0\mathbb{E}[I]=0 with the \reftext{def:expectation-variance-2026a}{expectation}, and II lies in the \reftext{lem:mean-square-span-closure-2026a}{closed mean-square span} of the family of increments WvjWujW^{j}_v-W^{j}_u with su<vts\le u<v\le t.

\textbf{3. (Orthogonality)} With II as in claim 2, for every \reftext{def:square-integrable-mean-square-2026a}{square-integrable} random variable QQ that is \reftext{def:almost-surely-2026a}{almost surely} equal to an Hs\mathcal{H}_s-measurable random variable: IQIQ is integrable, E[IQ]=0\mathbb{E}[IQ]=0, and, with the \reftext{def:covariance-square-integrable-2026a}{covariance}, Cov(I,Q)=0\operatorname{Cov}(I,Q)=0.

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