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Weighted Compensated Sums over the Observation Events of the Controlled N-Agent Dynamics

lemmaProbabilitylem:n-agent-weighted-observation-sums-2026b
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Re-version with substantive repairs: compensator adaptedness and progressive measurability established rigorously, Step-5 majorant pulled out before the limit, observation-drift bounds correctly attributed, d' declared, indicator added in (c), index collisions (rows/states/exponents) resolved; references moved to the current model layer. · 9,534 chars · 25 deps · depth 18

Statement

Adopt the setting of the compensated counters of the controlled NN-agent dynamics: a transition-rate family β\beta with rate bound BB on ll states with control dimension mm, an observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta} with rate bound B~\tilde{B} and l~\tilde{l} channels, a horizon T>0T>0, an NN-agent driving system (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P), an observation-driven control policy hh, and a solution on [0,T][0,T] with regular event Ω0\Omega_0, state processes σi\sigma^i, empirical state measure Σt\Sigma_t, observation counters N~ti,υ\tilde{N}^{i,\upsilon}_t, consumed clock times T~ti,υ\tilde{\mathcal{T}}^{i,\upsilon}_t, observation total c~t\tilde{c}_t, and system filtration (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]}. Write Mt(i,υ)=N~ti,υT~ti,υM^{(i,\upsilon)}_t=\tilde{N}^{i,\upsilon}_t-\tilde{\mathcal{T}}^{i,\upsilon}_t for the compensated counters of the compensated-counters lemma attached to the observation clock labels a=(i,υ)a=(i,\upsilon), i{1,,N}i\in\{1,\dots,N\}, υ{1,,l~}\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\}; at every ωΩ0\omega\in\Omega_0 let τ1<<τc~T\tau_1<\dots<\tau_{\tilde{c}_T} be the jump times of the observation total in [0,T][0,T] and υ1,,υc~T\upsilon_1,\dots,\upsilon_{\tilde{c}_T} their channels, as in condition 5 of the solution definition (where c~t\tilde{c}_t is written KtK_t). Let b~\tilde{b} be the aggregate observation drift of β~\tilde{\beta}, with b~(Σ)\tilde{b}(\Sigma) the vector with components b~1(Σ),,b~l~(Σ)\tilde{b}^1(\Sigma),\dots,\tilde{b}^{\tilde{l}}(\Sigma), and let MtγM^\gamma_t (γ{1,,l}\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\}) be the state martingales of the martingale decomposition. Write E\mathbb{E} for the expectation, square-integrable for membership in the mean-square space, integrable for finiteness of the expectation of the absolute value, 1D\mathbf{1}_D for the function equal to 11 on a set DD and 00 off DD, eυe_\upsilon for the υ\upsilon-th standard basis vector of Euclidean space Rl~\mathbb{R}^{\tilde{l}}, and N=N1/2\sqrt{N}=N^{1/2} for the nonnegative square root; vectors are identified with one-column matrices and products of matrices are matrix products, with ()(\cdot)^{\top} the transpose.

Throughout, a real-valued function on a subinterval II of the real numbers R\mathbb{R} is called continuous on II when it is continuous relative to II, both II and the codomain R\mathbb{R} carrying the metric of the real line. Fix a natural number d1d\ge1 and an assignment FF of a real matrix FtF_t with dd rows and l~\tilde{l} columns to each t[0,T]t\in[0,T] such that every entry map tFtpυt\mapsto F^{p\upsilon}_t is continuous on [0,T][0,T], and fix a real Fˉ0\bar{F}\ge0 with FtpυFˉ|F^{p\upsilon}_t|\le\bar{F} for all pp, υ\upsilon, tt. Fix likewise a natural number d1d'\ge1 and an assignment GG of a real matrix GtG_t with dd' rows and l~\tilde{l} columns to each t[0,T]t\in[0,T], every entry map tGtqυt\mapsto G^{q\upsilon}_t continuous on [0,T][0,T], with a real Gˉ0\bar{G}\ge0 satisfying GtqυGˉ|G^{q\upsilon}_t|\le\bar{G} for all qq, υ\upsilon, tt. Define, for t[0,T]t\in[0,T] and at every ωΩ\omega\in\Omega, the weighted observation sum and the weighted compensated observation sum

JtF=N1/2j=1c~tFτjeυjRd,J~tF=JtFN1/2[0,t]Fr1Ω0b~(Σr)drRd,J^{F}_t=N^{-1/2}\sum_{j=1}^{\tilde{c}_t}F_{\tau_j}\,e_{\upsilon_j}\in\mathbb{R}^{d},\qquad\qquad \tilde{J}^{F}_t=J^{F}_t-N^{1/2}\int_{[0,t]}F_r\,\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}\tilde{b}(\Sigma_r)\,dr\in\mathbb{R}^{d},

where the sum is 00 when c~t=0\tilde{c}_t=0 (in particular off Ω0\Omega_0, where all counters vanish by part (vii)(c) of the existence theorem), and the integral is the componentwise Lebesgue integral over the compact interval [0,t][0,t] of an integrand with values bounded by Fˉl~B~\bar{F}\,\tilde{l}\,\tilde{B} in absolute value, componentwise progressively measurable by conclusion (a) together with claim 3 of the progressive-measurability toolkit (the integrand, and hence the integral, vanishes at every ωΩ0\omega\notin\Omega_0, where the factor 1Ω0\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0} vanishes identically), the integral being 00 for t=0t=0.

(a) (Representation and regularity.) At every ωΩ0\omega\in\Omega_0: for each υ\upsilon, the jump times in [0,T][0,T] of the path ti=1NN~ti,υt\mapsto\sum_{i=1}^{N}\tilde{N}^{i,\upsilon}_t are exactly the τj\tau_j with υj=υ\upsilon_j=\upsilon, each jump having size 11; the identity

i=1NT~ti,υ=N[0,t]b~υ(Σs)ds\sum_{i=1}^{N}\tilde{\mathcal{T}}^{i,\upsilon}_t=N\int_{[0,t]}\tilde{b}^\upsilon(\Sigma_s)\,ds

holds for every t[0,T]t\in[0,T] and every υ\upsilon; and for all 0rtT0\le r\le t\le T and every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\},

JtF,pFˉN1/2c~tandJ~tF,pJ~rF,pFˉ(N1/2(c~tc~r)+N1/2l~B~(tr)),|J^{F,p}_t|\le\bar{F}\,N^{-1/2}\,\tilde{c}_t\qquad\text{and}\qquad|\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t-\tilde{J}^{F,p}_r|\le\bar{F}\,\big(N^{-1/2}(\tilde{c}_t-\tilde{c}_r)+N^{1/2}\,\tilde{l}\,\tilde{B}\,(t-r)\big),

and, at every ωΩ\omega\in\Omega, the path tJ~tF,pt\mapsto\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t is right-continuous on [0,T][0,T], with J~0F=0\tilde{J}^{F}_0=0 everywhere and J~F0\tilde{J}^{F}\equiv0 off Ω0\Omega_0. Moreover: for every υ{1,,l~}\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\} the family (s,ω)1Ω0b~υ(Σs)(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}\tilde{b}^\upsilon(\Sigma_s), s[0,T]s\in[0,T], is progressively measurable with respect to (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]}; and for every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\} the component family (J~tF,p)t[0,T](\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t)_{t\in[0,T]} is progressively measurable with respect to (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]} — in particular each J~tF,p\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t is an Ftsys\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t-measurable random variable and (t,ω)J~tF,p(ω)(t,\omega)\mapsto\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t(\omega) is measurable for the product σ\sigma-algebra of the trace Borel σ\sigma-algebra on [0,T][0,T] and F\mathcal{F} — with E[J~tF,pk]<\mathbb{E}\big[|\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t|^{k}\big]<\infty for every natural number k1k\ge1.

(b) (First-order identity.) Let r[0,T]r\in[0,T] and let ZZ be an Frsys\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_r-measurable square-integrable random variable. Then for every t[r,T]t\in[r,T] and every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\} the product Z(J~tF,pJ~rF,p)Z\,(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t-\tilde{J}^{F,p}_r) is integrable and

E[Z(J~tF,pJ~rF,p)]=0.\mathbb{E}\big[Z\,\big(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t-\tilde{J}^{F,p}_r\big)\big]=0 .

In particular (taking Z=1DZ=\mathbf{1}_D, DFrsysD\in\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_r) each component (J~tF,p)t[0,T](\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t)_{t\in[0,T]} is a square-integrable martingale with respect to (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]} (time index restricted to [0,T][0,T]), vanishing at 00 everywhere.

(c) (Second-order identity.) Let r[0,T]r\in[0,T] and let ZZ be an Frsys\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_r-measurable random variable whose square Z2Z^2 is square-integrable. Then for every t[r,T]t\in[r,T], every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\}, and every q{1,,d}q\in\{1,\dots,d'\}, the products below are integrable and

E[Z(J~tF,pJ~rF,p)(J~tG,qJ~rG,q)]=E[Z[r,t]υ=1l~FspυGsqυ1Ω0b~υ(Σs)ds],\mathbb{E}\Big[Z\,\big(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t-\tilde{J}^{F,p}_r\big)\big(\tilde{J}^{G,q}_t-\tilde{J}^{G,q}_r\big)\Big]=\mathbb{E}\Big[Z\int_{[r,t]}\sum_{\upsilon=1}^{\tilde{l}}F^{p\upsilon}_s\,G^{q\upsilon}_s\,\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}\tilde{b}^\upsilon(\Sigma_s)\,ds\Big],

the inner integral existing at every ω\omega as the Lebesgue integral over [r,t][r,t] of a measurable function bounded in absolute value by FˉGˉl~B~\bar{F}\bar{G}\tilde{l}\tilde{B}, and read as 00 when t=rt=r. In particular, with Z=1Z=1 and r=0r=0: writing D(Σ)D(\Sigma) for the diagonal matrix with l~\tilde{l} rows and columns and diagonal entries b~1(Σ),,b~l~(Σ)\tilde{b}^1(\Sigma),\dots,\tilde{b}^{\tilde{l}}(\Sigma),

E[J~tF,pJ~tG,q]=E[[0,t]1Ω0(FsD(Σs)Gs)pqds],\mathbb{E}\big[\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t\,\tilde{J}^{G,q}_t\big]=\mathbb{E}\Big[\int_{[0,t]}\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}\big(F_s\,D(\Sigma_s)\,G_s^{\top}\big)^{pq}\,ds\Big],

and, specializing G=FG=F, d=dd'=d, and q=pq=p,

E[(J~tF,p)2]Fˉ2l~B~t.\mathbb{E}\big[(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t)^{2}\big]\le\bar{F}^{2}\,\tilde{l}\,\tilde{B}\,t .

(d) (Cross identity with the state martingales.) Let rr and ZZ be as in (c). Then for every t[r,T]t\in[r,T], every γ{1,,l}\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\}, and every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\}, the product below is integrable and

E[Z(MtγMrγ)(J~tF,pJ~rF,p)]=0.\mathbb{E}\Big[Z\,\big(M^{\gamma}_t-M^{\gamma}_r\big)\big(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t-\tilde{J}^{F,p}_r\big)\Big]=0 .

(e) (Fourth-moment bound.) For every t[0,T]t\in[0,T] and every p{1,,d}p\in\{1,\dots,d\},

E[(J~tF,p)4]  11(1+Fˉ)4(1+l~B~T)2 < ;\mathbb{E}\big[(\tilde{J}^{F,p}_t)^{4}\big]\ \le\ 11\,(1+\bar{F})^{4}\,\big(1+\tilde{l}\,\tilde{B}\,T\big)^{2}\ <\ \infty ;

in particular the bound does not depend on NN, on the driving system, or on the solution.

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