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Weighted Response and Pair-Exponent Quadratic Form on the Synthetic Copy: the Linearised Injection Equation, Comparison with the Profile Injection, and the Observation-Information Bound

lemmaProbabilitylem:copy-weighted-response-quadratic-form-2026a
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: P5.7c: weighted response and pair-exponent quadratic form; first publication.

Statement

Adopt the setting, hypotheses (OC), (X), (W) and notation of Uniform Pair-Exponent Bound on the Synthetic Copy: Removed-Clock Intensities, the Insertion Response on the Clock-Good Event, and Bounds on the Pair Covariances (and hence of Pathwise Reduction of the Symmetrised Move Information on the Synthetic Copy: Removed-Clock Likelihoods, the Shifted Family, and the Averaging Bound, The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record and The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood): the probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P), the driving variables Uic,jU^{c,j}_i and the event Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0, the set L\mathcal{L} of transition labels c=(σ,γ)c=(\sigma,\gamma) (with l(l1)l(l-1) elements), the standard basis vectors δ1,,δl\delta_1,\dots,\delta_l of Rl\mathbb{R}^l and the label vectors vc=δγδσv_c=\delta_\gamma-\delta_\sigma of Open-Loop Aggregate Solution Driven by Aggregate Transition Clocks, the probability simplex Δl\Delta^l, the observation record space (R,R,ρ)(\mathbf{R},\mathcal{R},\rho) with horizon TT and l~\tilde{l} channels, the cells Ic,j=(bj1c,bjc]I_{c,j}=(b^{c}_{j-1},b^{c}_j] (1jJc1\le j\le J_c) of lengths μc,j=μq\mu_{c,j}=\mu_q indexed by q=(c,j)Lq=(c,j)\in\mathsf{L} (with dd elements), the set N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} of count vectors, the cell-count vector K\mathsf{K} with coordinates Kq\mathsf{K}_q, the standard basis vectors eq=ec,je_q=e_{c,j} of Rd\mathbb{R}^{d} (coordinates indexed by L\mathsf{L}), the deterministic-count clocks P(y)\mathsf{P}^{(y)} and the copy clocks P\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}, the regularised paths Σˉ(y),r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{(y),r}(\omega) and Σˉ,r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}(\omega) with their left limits Σˉt(y),r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{(y),r}_{t-}(\omega) and Σˉt,r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_{t-}(\omega), the conflict-free sets G(y)\mathsf{G}^{(y)} and G\mathsf{G}^{\sharp}, the intensities λ,ω\lambda^{\sharp,\omega} and the effective removed intensities λq,ω\lambda^{-q,\omega} (qLq\in\mathsf{L}), the pair exponents EqqωE^{\omega}_{qq'}, the move size m\mathsf{m}, the data NN, ll, mm, l~\tilde{l}, BB, B~\tilde{B}, K~\tilde{K}, KK, b\underline{b}, β\beta, β~\tilde\beta, x0x_0, GN\mathbb{G}_N, TT, RNBTR\ge NBT, the extensions (U,Wβ,βˉ)(U,W_\beta,\bar\beta) and (U~,β~ˉ)(\tilde{U},\bar{\tilde\beta}), the extended aggregate observation drift b~ˉ\bar{\tilde{b}} (which agrees with b~\tilde{b} on Δl\Delta^l), the policy hh with record-frozen control paths ara^{r}, the constants Λ1\Lambda_1, Γ\Gamma, A0A_0 (formed with the discrepancy tolerance D+mD+\mathsf{m}), the clock-good event GL,DG_{L,D} and the tracked records Tω\mathsf{T}_\omega. Adopt also from Shared-Clock Point Insertion into the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Exact Response Identity, Crude Bound, and Linearisation Defect the label rates ψc\psi_c, state gradients gcg^{c}, drift Jacobian E\mathcal{E} and the constant Λ2\Lambda_2, and note that the constant A0+A_0^{+} of Removal Form of the Shared-Clock Insertion Response: Discrepancy on the Enlarged Clock Family, the Base-Clock Insertion Count, and the Linearisation Defect Along Either Path formed with the present DD coincides with A0A_0. Adopt from Twice Continuously Differentiable Extension of an Observation-Rate Family the partial derivatives γ\partial_\gamma on U~\tilde{U}. Write |\cdot| for the Euclidean norm (and the absolute value of real numbers), xyx\cdot y for the dot product, #S\#S for the number of elements of a finite set SS, 1{}\mathbf{1}\{\cdot\} for the indicator of a condition, equal to 11 when it holds and 00 otherwise, [0,t]ds\int_{[0,t]}\cdot\,ds for the Lebesgue integral over the compact interval [0,t][0,t] (componentwise for vector maps, and equal to 00 for t=0t=0), and measurable for real functions on [0,T][0,T] means measurable with respect to the trace Borel σ\sigma-algebra. Put μmax=maxqμq\mu_{\max}=\max_{q}\mu_q and μmin=minqμq\mu_{\min}=\min_q\mu_q.

Weights. Let ϕc:[0,T][0,B]\phi_c:[0,T]\to[0,B] (cLc\in\mathcal{L}) be measurable, let ϖ:[0,T]Rl\varpi:[0,T]\to\mathbb{R}^l, tϖtt\mapsto\varpi_t, have measurable components with ϖtΛ|\varpi_t|\le\Lambda for a real Λ0\Lambda\ge0 (the profile; it plays the role of the map called λ\lambda in Injection Weights from a Bounded Profile Along Mean-Field Clocks: Label-Rate Form of the Fluctuation Covariance, Weight Bounds, the Prior Quadratic Form, and the Step-Function Injection, a letter reserved here for intensities), and let Cˉc\bar{\mathsf{C}}^{c}, the time cells, the injection weights w=(wq)qLw=(w_q)_{q\in\mathsf{L}} and the profile injection Fˉt\bar{F}_t be those of Injection Weights from a Bounded Profile Along Mean-Field Clocks: Label-Rate Form of the Fluctuation Covariance, Weight Bounds, the Prior Quadratic Form, and the Step-Function Injection formed from ϕc\phi_c, ϖ\varpi, Λ\Lambda, the present cells, NN and m\mathsf{m}; write w1=qwq\lVert w\rVert_1=\sum_q|w_q|.

The response data. Let GmG^{\mathsf{m}} be the set of ωGL,D\omega\in G_{L,D} with Kq(ω)m\mathsf{K}_q(\omega)\ge\mathsf{m} for every qLq\in\mathsf{L}. For ωGm\omega\in G^{\mathsf{m}}, rTωr\in\mathsf{T}_\omega, q=(c,j)Lq=(c,j)\in\mathsf{L} and t[0,T]t\in[0,T] put y(q)=K(ω)meqN0Ly^{(q)}=\mathsf{K}(\omega)-\mathsf{m}e_q\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} and define the response and its left-limit version

Yt(q),r(ω)=N(Σˉt,r(ω)Σˉt(y(q)),r(ω)),Yt(q),r(ω)=N(Σˉt,r(ω)Σˉt(y(q)),r(ω)),Y^{(q),r}_t(\omega)=N\bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_t(\omega)-\bar\Sigma^{(y^{(q)}),r}_t(\omega)\bigr),\qquad Y^{(q),r}_{t-}(\omega)=N\bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_{t-}(\omega)-\bar\Sigma^{(y^{(q)}),r}_{t-}(\omega)\bigr),

the consumed clocks Ct,c,r(ω)\mathsf{C}^{\sharp,c',r}_t(\omega) and Ct(q),c,r(ω)\mathsf{C}^{(q),c',r}_t(\omega) (cLc'\in\mathcal{L}) of the open-loop aggregate solutions Σˉ,r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}(\omega) and Σˉ(y(q)),r(ω)\bar\Sigma^{(y^{(q)}),r}(\omega) for the data (P(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega),a^{r},x_0) and (P(y(q))(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{(y^{(q)})}(\omega),a^{r},x_0) (which are the open-loop aggregate solutions by claim 2(c) of The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood, both data being conflict-free for rTωr\in\mathsf{T}_\omega), the base-clock count

ιt(q),r(ω)=#{iN: Kq(ω)m<iKq(ω), Uiq(ω)Ct(q),c,r(ω)},\iota^{(q),r}_t(\omega)=\#\bigl\{i\in\mathbb{N}:\ \mathsf{K}_q(\omega)-\mathsf{m}<i\le\mathsf{K}_q(\omega),\ U^{q}_i(\omega)\le\mathsf{C}^{(q),c,r}_t(\omega)\bigr\},

the weighted response, the realized injection and the weighted defect

ψ^tr(ω)=1NqLwqYt(q),r(ω),ψ^tr(ω)=1NqLwqYt(q),r(ω),Ftr(ω)=1Nq=(c,j)Lwqvcιt(q),r(ω),\hat\psi^{r}_t(\omega)=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}w_q\,Y^{(q),r}_t(\omega),\qquad \hat\psi^{r}_{t-}(\omega)=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}w_q\,Y^{(q),r}_{t-}(\omega),\qquad F^{r}_t(\omega)=\frac{1}{N}\sum_{q=(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}}w_q\,v_c\,\iota^{(q),r}_t(\omega),

and d^tr(ω)=ψ^tr(ω)Ftr(ω)[0,t]E(Σˉs,r(ω),asr)ψ^sr(ω)ds\hat{\mathsf{d}}^{r}_t(\omega)=\hat\psi^{r}_t(\omega)-F^{r}_t(\omega)-\int_{[0,t]}\mathcal{E}\bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp,r}_s(\omega),a^{r}_s\bigr)\hat\psi^{r}_s(\omega)\,ds (the integrand being bounded with measurable components by claim 1, so that the integral exists). Finally, for xΔlx\in\Delta^l and υ{1,,l~}\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\} let gυ(x)=(1b~ˉυ(x),,lb~ˉυ(x))Rlg_\upsilon(x)=(\partial_1\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(x),\dots,\partial_l\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(x))\in\mathbb{R}^l be the observation gradient and let D~(x)\tilde{D}(x) be the observation information matrix, the real matrix with ll rows and ll columns and entries

D~γδ(x)=υ=1l~γb~ˉυ(x)δb~ˉυ(x)b~υ(x)(γ,δ{1,,l}),\tilde{D}^{\gamma\delta}(x)=\sum_{\upsilon=1}^{\tilde{l}}\frac{\partial_\gamma\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(x)\,\partial_\delta\bar{\tilde{b}}^\upsilon(x)}{\tilde{b}^\upsilon(x)}\qquad(\gamma,\delta\in\{1,\dots,l\}),

so that z(D~(x)z)=υ(gυ(x)z)2/b~υ(x)z\cdot\bigl(\tilde{D}(x)z\bigr)=\sum_\upsilon(g_\upsilon(x)\cdot z)^{2}/\tilde{b}^\upsilon(x) for zRlz\in\mathbb{R}^l, with the matrix-vector product. The superscript rr and the argument ω\omega are dropped when they are fixed.

1. (Weighted response equation.) GmFG^{\mathsf{m}}\in\mathcal{F}. Let ωGm\omega\in G^{\mathsf{m}} and rTωr\in\mathsf{T}_\omega. For every q=(c,j)Lq=(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}, the clock family P(ω)\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega) is the perturbed clock family of Shared-Clock Point Insertion into the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Exact Response Identity, Crude Bound, and Linearisation Defect obtained from P(y(q))(ω)\mathsf{P}^{(y^{(q)})}(\omega) by inserting the m\mathsf{m} points Uiq(ω)U^{q}_i(\omega), Kq(ω)m<iKq(ω)\mathsf{K}_q(\omega)-\mathsf{m}<i\le\mathsf{K}_q(\omega), into the clock cc, and Removal Form of the Shared-Clock Insertion Response: Discrepancy on the Enlarged Clock Family, the Base-Clock Insertion Count, and the Linearisation Defect Along Either Path applies to the data (P(y(q))(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{(y^{(q)})}(\omega),a^{r},x_0), (P(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega),a^{r},x_0), RR, LL, DD: for every t[0,T]t\in[0,T] and every label cc',

Yt(q)A0,Yt(q)A0,Ct,cCt(q),cΛ1TA0,Yt(q)=vcιt(q)+[0,t]E(Σˉs,asr)Ys(q)ds+dt(q)|Y^{(q)}_t|\le A_0,\qquad |Y^{(q)}_{t-}|\le A_0,\qquad |\mathsf{C}^{\sharp,c'}_t-\mathsf{C}^{(q),c'}_t|\le\Lambda_1TA_0,\qquad Y^{(q)}_t=v_c\,\iota^{(q)}_t+\int_{[0,t]}\mathcal{E}\bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_s,a^{r}_s\bigr)Y^{(q)}_s\,ds+\mathsf{d}^{(q)}_t

with dt(q)2l(l1)(D+Λ2TA02/N)|\mathsf{d}^{(q)}_t|\le\sqrt{2}\,l(l-1)\bigl(D+\Lambda_2TA_0^{2}/N\bigr). Consequently sψ^ss\mapsto\hat\psi_s, sFss\mapsto F_s and sE(Σˉs,asr)ψ^ss\mapsto\mathcal{E}(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_s,a^{r}_s)\hat\psi_s are bounded on [0,T][0,T] with measurable components, ψ^tA0w1/N|\hat\psi_t|\le A_0\lVert w\rVert_1/N, and

ψ^t=Ft+[0,t]E(Σˉs,asr)ψ^sds+d^t,d^t2l(l1)w1N(D+Λ2TA02N)(t[0,T]).\hat\psi_t=F_t+\int_{[0,t]}\mathcal{E}\bigl(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_s,a^{r}_s\bigr)\hat\psi_s\,ds+\hat{\mathsf{d}}_t,\qquad |\hat{\mathsf{d}}_t|\le\frac{\sqrt{2}\,l(l-1)\,\lVert w\rVert_1}{N}\Bigl(D+\frac{\Lambda_2TA_0^{2}}{N}\Bigr)\qquad(t\in[0,T]).

2. (Realized versus profile injection.) Let ωGm\omega\in G^{\mathsf{m}}, rTωr\in\mathsf{T}_\omega and t[0,T]t\in[0,T]. Then

FtFˉt2ΛNcL(Ct,cCˉtc+3μmax)+4Λl(l1)μmax(Λ1TA0+μmax)Nμmin.|F_t-\bar{F}_t|\le\frac{2\Lambda}{N}\sum_{c\in\mathcal{L}}\bigl(|\mathsf{C}^{\sharp,c}_t-\bar{\mathsf{C}}^{c}_t|+3\mu_{\max}\bigr)+\frac{4\Lambda\,l(l-1)\,\mu_{\max}\,(\Lambda_1TA_0+\mu_{\max})}{N\,\mu_{\min}} .

3. (Pair-exponent quadratic form and the observation-information bound.) For every ωΩ\omega\in\Omega and rRr\in\mathbf{R} the pair-exponent quadratic form

Qω(r)=qLqLwqwqEqqω(r)=[0,T]υ=1l~(qLwq(λtq,ω,υ(r)λt,ω,υ(r)))2λt,ω,υ(r)dt\mathcal{Q}^{\omega}(r)=\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}\sum_{q'\in\mathsf{L}}w_qw_{q'}\,E^{\omega}_{qq'}(r)=\int_{[0,T]}\sum_{\upsilon=1}^{\tilde{l}}\frac{\Bigl(\sum_{q\in\mathsf{L}}w_q\bigl(\lambda^{-q,\omega,\upsilon}_t(r)-\lambda^{\sharp,\omega,\upsilon}_t(r)\bigr)\Bigr)^{2}}{\lambda^{\sharp,\omega,\upsilon}_t(r)}\,dt

is a well-defined nonnegative real number. If ωGm\omega\in G^{\mathsf{m}} and rTωr\in\mathsf{T}_\omega, then the functions tψ^t(D~(Σˉt)ψ^t)t\mapsto\hat\psi_{t-}\cdot\bigl(\tilde{D}(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_{t-})\hat\psi_{t-}\bigr) and tψ^t(D~(Σˉt)ψ^t)t\mapsto\hat\psi_t\cdot\bigl(\tilde{D}(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_t)\hat\psi_t\bigr) are bounded and measurable on [0,T][0,T], differ at only finitely many tt, and for every real ζ>0\zeta>0

Qω(r)  (1+ζ)N[0,T]ψ^t(D~(Σˉt)ψ^t)dt + (1+1ζ)9l~l2K~2Tw12A044N3b.\mathcal{Q}^{\omega}(r)\ \le\ (1+\zeta)\,N\int_{[0,T]}\hat\psi_t\cdot\bigl(\tilde{D}(\bar\Sigma^{\sharp}_t)\hat\psi_t\bigr)\,dt\ +\ \Bigl(1+\frac{1}{\zeta}\Bigr)\frac{9\,\tilde{l}\,l^{2}\tilde{K}^{2}\,T\,\lVert w\rVert_1^{2}A_0^{4}}{4\,N^{3}\,\underline{b}} .
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