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Almost Sure Tracking on the Synthetic Copy: Jump Times of the Deterministic-Count Clocks, Almost Sure Conflict-Freeness of Every Record, Almost Sure Null Mass of the Untracked Records, and Trimming an Event to the Tracked Set

lemmaProbabilitylem:copy-tracked-records-almost-sure-2026a
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: P6.1b: almost surely every record is conflict-free for the deterministic-count clocks of the synthetic copy, and almost surely the untracked records have rho-measure zero; supplies the good-event hypotheses (G)/(G') of the copy information bounds.

Statement

Adopt the setting and notation of The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record (and hence of The Record-Driven Causal Intensity of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution: Joint Measurability of the Record-Frozen Control, the Regularised Recursion Path, Non-Anticipation, and Measurability of the Likelihood and Existence, Uniqueness, Causality, and Measurability of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution): the natural numbers N1N\ge1, l2l\ge2, m1m\ge1, l~1\tilde{l}\ge1, the real numbers B0B\ge0, T>0T>0 and R>0R>0 with RNBTR\ge NBT, the probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) carrying the independent family of driving variables KcK^{c}, VicV^{c}_i, Uic,jU^{c,j}_i, the cells Ic,j=(bj1c,bjc](0,R]I_{c,j}=(b^{c}_{j-1},b^{c}_j]\subseteq(0,R] (with 0=b0c<b1c<<bJcc=R0=b^{c}_0<b^{c}_1<\dots<b^{c}_{J_c}=R and natural numbers Jc1J_c\ge1) indexed by the finite set L\mathsf{L} of pairs (c,j)(c,j) with cc a transition label and 1jJc1\le j\le J_c, the σ\sigma-algebra U\mathcal{U} generated by all Uic,jU^{c,j}_i, the event Ω0U\Omega^{U}_0, the set N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} with its vectors ec,je_{c,j}, the cell-count vector K=(Kc,j)(c,j)L\mathsf{K}=(\mathsf{K}_{c,j})_{(c,j)\in\mathsf{L}} with values in N0L\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}, the deterministic-count clocks P(y)=(P(y),c)c\mathsf{P}^{(y)}=(\mathsf{P}^{(y),c})_c (yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}) and the copy clocks P\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}, the observation record space (R,R,ρ)(\mathbf{R},\mathcal{R},\rho) with horizon TT and l~\tilde{l} channels (with ρ\rho σ\sigma-finite), the record-frozen control paths ara^{r} (rRr\in\mathbf{R}) of the policy hh, the aggregate lattice GN\mathbb{G}_N and the point x0GNx_0\in\mathbb{G}_N, and the conflict-free sets G(y)R×Ω\mathsf{G}^{(y)}\subseteq\mathbf{R}\times\Omega and GR×Ω\mathsf{G}^{\sharp}\subseteq\mathbf{R}\times\Omega of claim 3 of The Synthetic Copy: Independent Cell Structure, Deterministic-Count Clocks, the Copy Measure, and the Smoothed Joint Density of Parameter and Observation Record: writing P(y)(ω)\mathsf{P}^{(y)}(\omega) for the clock family (uPu(y),c(ω))c(u\mapsto\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}_u(\omega))_c and P(y),c(ω)\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}(\omega) for its cc-component, a pair (r,ω)(r,\omega) lies in G(y)\mathsf{G}^{(y)} if and only if the data (P(y)(ω),ar,x0)(\mathsf{P}^{(y)}(\omega),a^{r},x_0) are conflict-free in the sense of Existence, Uniqueness, Causality, and Measurability of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution, and similarly for G\mathsf{G}^{\sharp} with the clock family P(ω)\mathsf{P}^{\sharp}(\omega). Jump times and kk-th jump times τk()\tau_k(\cdot) of counting paths are those of Counting Path and Its Jump Times. Let m1\mathsf{m}\ge1 be a natural number (the move size), and for ωΩ\omega\in\Omega let the set of tracked records Tω\mathsf{T}_\omega be the set of all rRr\in\mathbf{R} with (r,ω)G(r,\omega)\in\mathsf{G}^{\sharp} and (r,ω)G(K(ω)mec,j)(r,\omega)\in\mathsf{G}^{(\mathsf{K}(\omega)-\mathsf{m}e_{c,j})} for every (c,j)L(c,j)\in\mathsf{L} with Kc,j(ω)m\mathsf{K}_{c,j}(\omega)\ge\mathsf{m} (the tracked records of Uniform Pair-Exponent Bound on the Synthetic Copy: Removed-Clock Intensities, the Insertion Response on the Clock-Good Event, and Bounds on the Pair Covariances).

1. (Jump times of the deterministic-count clocks) Let ωΩ0U\omega\in\Omega^{U}_0, yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} and cc a transition label. A real number u>0u>0 is a jump time of the counting path uPu(y),c(ω)u'\mapsto\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}_{u'}(\omega) if and only if u=Uic,j(ω)u=U^{c,j}_i(\omega) for some j{1,,Jc}j\in\{1,\dots,J_c\} and some i{1,,yc,j}i\in\{1,\dots,y_{c,j}\}; and for every natural number nn with τn(P(y),c(ω))<+\tau_n(\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}(\omega))<+\infty, the number τn(P(y),c(ω))\tau_n(\mathsf{P}^{(y),c}(\omega)) is a jump time of that path.

2. (Every record is almost surely conflict-free) For every yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} and every rRr\in\mathbf{R}, the set Ωr,y={ωΩ: (r,ω)G(y)}\Omega^{r,y}=\{\omega\in\Omega:\ (r,\omega)\notin\mathsf{G}^{(y)}\} belongs to U\mathcal{U} and P(Ωr,y)=0P(\Omega^{r,y})=0.

3. (Almost surely, almost every record is tracked) For yN0Ly\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}} and ωΩ\omega\in\Omega the set Bω(y)={rR: (r,ω)G(y)}B^{(y)}_\omega=\{r\in\mathbf{R}:\ (r,\omega)\notin\mathsf{G}^{(y)}\} belongs to R\mathcal{R}; the set Ωy={ωΩ: ρ(Bω(y))=0}\Omega_y=\{\omega\in\Omega:\ \rho(B^{(y)}_\omega)=0\} belongs to U\mathcal{U} and P(Ωy)=1P(\Omega_y)=1; the set Ω=yN0LΩy\Omega'=\bigcap_{y\in\mathbb{N}_0^{\mathsf{L}}}\Omega_y belongs to U\mathcal{U} and P(Ω)=1P(\Omega')=1; and for every ωΩ\omega\in\Omega' one has RTωR\mathbf{R}\setminus\mathsf{T}_\omega\in\mathcal{R} and ρ(RTω)=0\rho(\mathbf{R}\setminus\mathsf{T}_\omega)=0.

4. (Trimming an event to the tracked set) For every event G0FG_0\in\mathcal{F} the event G=G0ΩG=G_0\cap\Omega' belongs to F\mathcal{F}, satisfies ρ(RTω)=0\rho(\mathbf{R}\setminus\mathsf{T}_\omega)=0 for every ωG\omega\in G, and P(ΩG)=P(ΩG0)P(\Omega\setminus G)=P(\Omega\setminus G_0).

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