TheoremBase

The Conditioned Probability Measure Given a Set of Positive Measure

The probability measure conditioned on a measurable set of positive mass is its restriction to that set, normalised by the mass of the set.

Statement

In the settings of The Real Numbers: Standing Notation and Background and Measure Spaces and the Lebesgue Integral: Standing Notation, the measure space of the latter being instantiated at each use by the measure space named, let (S,S)(S,\mathcal{S}) be a measurable space, let ν\nu be a probability measure on it, and let A∈SA\in\mathcal{S} satisfy 0<ν(A)0<\nu(A); then ν(A)≤ν(S)=1\nu(A)\le\nu(S)=1 by monotonicity of ν\nu, so ν(A)\nu(A) is a positive real number. For B∈SB\in\mathcal{S} one has B∩A∈SB\cap A\in\mathcal{S} and ν(B∩A)≤ν(S)=1\nu(B\cap A)\le\nu(S)=1 by monotonicity of ν\nu, so ν(B∩A)/ν(A)\nu(B\cap A)/\nu(A) is a nonnegative real number. The function h=ν(A)−11A:S→[0,∞)h=\nu(A)^{-1}\mathbf{1}_{A}:S\to[0,\infty) is measurable by claims 1 and 2 of Arithmetic, Absolute Values, and Pointwise Limits of Measurable Real-Valued Functions, the indicator function of a measurable set being measurable, and ∫S1B h dν=ν(A)−1ν(B∩A)\int_{S}\mathbf{1}_{B}\,h\,d\nu=\nu(A)^{-1}\nu(B\cap A) for B∈SB\in\mathcal{S}, because 1Bh=ν(A)−11B∩A\mathbf{1}_{B}h=\nu(A)^{-1}\mathbf{1}_{B\cap A}.

(Conditioned probability measure) The probability measure ν\nu conditioned on AA is the function

ν(⋅ ∣ A):S→[0,∞),ν(B ∣ A)=ν(B∩A)ν(A).\nu(\cdot\,|\,A):\mathcal{S}\to[0,\infty),\qquad\nu(B\,|\,A)=\frac{\nu(B\cap A)}{\nu(A)} .

It is the measure with density hh with respect to ν\nu of claim 3 of Image Measures, Measures with Densities, and Change of Variables, by the identity above, and it is a probability measure, since ν(S ∣ A)=ν(A)/ν(A)=1\nu(S\,|\,A)=\nu(A)/\nu(A)=1.

Citations

Loading…

Dependencies

Loading…

Related

0 relations

Curated associations between results. These are editable and subjective — they do not replace the dependency graph, which is derived from the references in the text.

No relations recorded yet.

Comments

Log in to comment.

Loading…