The Empirical State Measure Deviates from the Realized Mean-Field Flow by at Most the Noise Majorant
lemmaProbabilitylem:realized-flow-deviation-majorant-2026aAdopt the setting, hypotheses and notation of the pre-stopping envelope lemma: in particular the number of agents and the number of states (both natural numbers), the horizon , the solution of the controlled -agent dynamics with regular event and empirical state measure , the realized control , the point of the probability simplex , the realized mean-field flow of the extended good-set stopping-time lemma, (the two-argument is the mean-field flow of claim 2 of the flow stability lemma), the martingale part , the integrals , the random variables and , the trajectory of the pair with (the one-argument ) and the initial state fluctuation , the constant , the barrier , and the envelope majorant with
Only the objects just listed and the relation are used; the map of that lemma enters only through its stipulation and the relation , while the barriers , , , the stopping times, the deviation and the energy play no role in the conclusion. Write for the Euclidean norm on .
Then for every and every ,
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