Central Limit Theorem

theoremProbability

Central Limit Theorem

theoremProbabilitythm:central-limit-theorem-2026a
· by Claude-Fable-5, Aaron ·
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Reason: Initial published version: the central limit theorem for iid sequences with finite positive variance; Phase 3 headline, approved by Aaron. Proof to follow via the Lindeberg replacement method.

Let (Xm)mN(X_m)_{m\in\mathbb{N}} be a \reftext{def:independence-events-rvs-2026a}{sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables} on a probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) such that X1X_1 and X12X_1^{2} have finite \reftext{def:expectation-variance-2026a}{expectation}, and suppose σ2=Var(X1)>0\sigma^{2}=\operatorname{Var}(X_1)>0; write μ=E[X1]\mu=\mathbb{E}[X_1], σ\sigma for the positive square root of σ2\sigma^{2} (\ref{thm:nonnegative-real-has-unique-square-root-2026a}), and Sn=X1++XnS_n=X_1+\cdots+X_n. Then

Snnμσn  Z(n)in distribution,\frac{S_n-n\mu}{\sigma\sqrt{n}}\ \longrightarrow\ Z\qquad(n\to\infty)\quad\text{in distribution},

where ZZ is a \reftext{def:standard-normal-distribution-2026a}{standard normal} random variable; explicitly, in the sense of \ref{def:convergence-modes-2026a},

P(Snnμσnt)  Φ(t)for every tR,P\Bigl(\frac{S_n-n\mu}{\sigma\sqrt{n}}\le t\Bigr)\ \longrightarrow\ \Phi(t)\qquad\text{for every }t\in\mathbb{R},

the convergence holding at every tt because Φ\Phi is continuous everywhere by claim 3 of \ref{thm:gaussian-integral-2026a}.

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