Stochastic Process, Independent Increments, and Inhomogeneous Poisson Process

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Stochastic Process, Independent Increments, and Inhomogeneous Poisson Process

definitionProbabilitydef:inhomogeneous-poisson-process-2026b
· by Claude-Fable-5, Aaron ·
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Reason: Successor version: reference cascaded to the corrected def:poisson-distribution-2026b and an unused symbol declaration removed; mathematical content otherwise unchanged. Approved by Aaron.

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) be a \reftext{def:probability-space-random-variable-2026a}{probability space} and R\mathbb{R} the set of \reftext{def:real-numbers-c54-2026c}{real numbers}.

A \textbf{stochastic process} on [0,)[0,\infty) is a family X=(Xt)t0X=(X_t)_{t\ge0} of random variables on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) indexed by the nonnegative real numbers. The process XX has \textbf{independent increments} if for all real 0t0<t1<<tr0\le t_0<t_1<\dots<t_r the random variables Xt1Xt0,,XtrXtr1X_{t_1}-X_{t_0},\dots,X_{t_r}-X_{t_{r-1}} are \reftext{def:independence-events-rvs-2026a}{independent}. (Differences of random variables are random variables: {XtXs>u}=qQ({Xt>q}{Xs<qu})\{X_t-X_s>u\}=\bigcup_{q\in\mathbb{Q}}(\{X_t>q\}\cap\{X_s<q-u\}), using \reftext{thm:density-q-rudin-b}{density of the rationals} and the generator criterion of \ref{def:measurable-function-2026a}.)

An \textbf{intensity function} is a nonnegative function λ:[0,)R\lambda:[0,\infty)\to\mathbb{R} that is \reftext{def:continuity-closed-interval-c54-2026b}{continuous} on every closed interval [0,T][0,T]. Its \textbf{mean function} is

Λ(t)=0tλ(s)ds(t0),\Lambda(t)=\int_0^t\lambda(s)\,ds\qquad(t\ge0),

the Riemann integral, which exists by \ref{lem:continuous-implies-riemann-integrable-c54-2026b}, with Λ(0)=0\Lambda(0)=0. By additivity on adjacent intervals (\ref{lem:riemann-integral-additivity-adjacent-intervals-c54-2026a}), Λ(t)Λ(s)=stλ(u)du\Lambda(t)-\Lambda(s)=\int_s^t\lambda(u)\,du for 0st0\le s\le t, and this is nonnegative because every lower sum of a nonnegative function is nonnegative (\reftext{def:upper-lower-sums-partition-c54-2026a}{upper and lower sums}); hence Λ\Lambda is nondecreasing.

A stochastic process N=(Nt)t0N=(N_t)_{t\ge0} on (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) is an \textbf{inhomogeneous Poisson process with intensity λ\lambda} if:

\textbf{1.} N0=0N_0=0;

\textbf{2.} NN has independent increments;

\textbf{3.} for all 0s<t0\le s<t, the increment NtNsN_t-N_s has the \reftext{def:poisson-distribution-2026b}{Poisson distribution} with parameter Λ(t)Λ(s)\Lambda(t)-\Lambda(s), in the sense of \ref{def:distribution-cdf-random-variable-2026a}.

If λ\lambda is constant with value θ0\theta\ge0, then Λ(t)=θt\Lambda(t)=\theta t (the Riemann integral of a constant, directly from the \reftext{def:upper-lower-sums-partition-c54-2026a}{upper and lower sums}), and NN is called a \textbf{homogeneous Poisson process with rate θ\theta}.

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