TheoremBase

Law Identity between the Reconstructed Record-Frozen Aggregate and the Aggregate Recursion Driven by the Same Control Path

Statement

Adopt the setting and notation of Forward Equation on the Aggregate Lattice for the Reconstructed Record-Frozen N-Agent Dynamics with its fixed record r∈Rr\in\mathbf{R}: in particular the natural numbers N≥1N\ge1, l≥2l\ge2 and m≥1m\ge1, the control set A⊆Rm\mathcal{A}\subseteq\mathbb{R}^m, the transition-rate family β\beta with rate bound BB, the horizon T>0T>0, the probability space (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) of the NN-agent driving system, the record-frozen control path ara^r, the event Ωr\Omega^r of probability one, the family Σ^r=(Σ^tr)t∈[0,T]\hat{\Sigma}^r=(\hat{\Sigma}^r_t)_{t\in[0,T]} of maps with values in the aggregate lattice GN\mathbb{G}_N, and the system filtration (Ftsys,r)t∈[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys},r}_t)_{t\in[0,T]}. Write 1S\mathbf{1}_S for the indicator of a set SS and {Π∈A}\{\Pi\in A\} for the preimage of a set AA under a map Π\Pi.

Let T′T' be a real number with 0<T′≤T0<T'\le T, let x0∈GNx_0\in\mathbb{G}_N, and let a♯:[0,T′]→Aa^\sharp:[0,T']\to\mathcal{A} be the restriction of ara^r to [0,T′][0,T'], au♯=ar(u)a^\sharp_u=a^r(u) for u∈[0,T′]u\in[0,T'], which is a control path with horizon T′T'. Adopt the setting of Forward Equation for the Aggregate Recursion Driven by Independent Poisson Clocks with a Horizon with the same NN, ll, mm, A\mathcal{A}, β\beta and BB, with the horizon T′T' in place of TT, with the control path a♯a^\sharp and the initial point x0x_0, and with the probability space there called (Ω♯,F♯,P♯)(\Omega^\sharp,\mathcal{F}^\sharp,P^\sharp): it carries a family P♯=(P♯,c)\mathsf{P}^\sharp=(\mathsf{P}^{\sharp,c}) of Poisson clocks with a horizon R>NBT′R>NBT' whose generated σ\sigma-algebras are independent, the aggregate recursion of Existence, Uniqueness, Causality, and Measurability of the Open-Loop Aggregate Solution for the data (P♯(ω),a♯,x0)(\mathsf{P}^\sharp(\omega),a^\sharp,x_0) is run for every ω∈Ω♯\omega\in\Omega^\sharp, and Σˉ♯=(Σˉt♯)t∈[0,T′]\bar{\Sigma}^\sharp=(\bar{\Sigma}^\sharp_t)_{t\in[0,T']}, (Ft♯)t∈[0,T′](\mathfrak{F}^\sharp_t)_{t\in[0,T']} and Ω0♯\Omega^\sharp_0 denote the regularised recursion path, the recursion filtration and the conflict-free event of that lemma; as there, assume P♯(Ω0♯)=1P^\sharp(\Omega^\sharp_0)=1 (Ω0♯\Omega^\sharp_0 is the conflict-free event of the horizon-T′T' recursion; when T′=TT'=T the copy clocks of The Copy Clocks Are Independent Poisson Clocks with Horizon R, and Every Record Is Almost Surely Conflict-Free for Them qualify, by claims 2, 3 and 4 of that lemma, provided their horizon satisfies the strict inequality R>NBTR>NBT). Put D0={Σ^0r=x0}D_0=\{\hat{\Sigma}^r_0=x_0\}, an event of F0sys,r\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys},r}_0. Then:

1. (Finite-dimensional laws.) For every natural number nn, all times 0≤s1<⋯<sn≤T′0\le s_1<\dots<s_n\le T' and all points x1,…,xn∈GNx_1,\dots,x_n\in\mathbb{G}_N,

P(D0∩⋂j=1n{Σ^sjr=xj})=P(D0) P♯(⋂j=1n{Σˉsj♯=xj}).P\Bigl(D_0\cap\bigcap_{j=1}^{n}\{\hat{\Sigma}^r_{s_j}=x_j\}\Bigr)=P(D_0)\,P^\sharp\Bigl(\bigcap_{j=1}^{n}\{\bar{\Sigma}^\sharp_{s_j}=x_j\}\Bigr).

2. (Path laws.) Let Path=Path(GN,T′)\mathsf{Path}=\mathsf{Path}(\mathbb{G}_N,T') be the space of piecewise constant paths in GN\mathbb{G}_N with horizon T′T', that is, the set of maps p:[0,T′]→GNp:[0,T']\to\mathbb{G}_N for which there are a count kk, either 00 or a natural number, and times 0<t1<⋯<tk≤T′0<t_1<\dots<t_k\le T' such that pp is constant on [0,t1)[0,t_1), on [tj,tj+1)[t_j,t_{j+1}) for each j∈{1,…,k−1}j\in\{1,\dots,k-1\}, and on [tk,T′][t_k,T'] (constant on [0,T′][0,T'] when k=0k=0), and let C=CT′\mathcal{C}=\mathcal{C}_{T'} be the σ\sigma-algebra generated on Path\mathsf{Path} by the sets {p∈Path:p(u)=y}\{p\in\mathsf{Path}:p(u)=y\} with u∈[0,T′]u\in[0,T'] and y∈GNy\in\mathbb{G}_N, as in that lemma. Define Πr\Pi^r on Ω\Omega, with values in the set of maps [0,T′]→GN[0,T']\to\mathbb{G}_N, by Πr(ω)(u)=Σ^ur(ω)\Pi^r(\omega)(u)=\hat{\Sigma}^r_u(\omega) for ω∈Ωr\omega\in\Omega^r and Πr(ω)(u)=x0\Pi^r(\omega)(u)=x_0 for ω∉Ωr\omega\notin\Omega^r (u∈[0,T′]u\in[0,T']), and Π♯\Pi^\sharp on Ω♯\Omega^\sharp, with values in the same set of maps, by Π♯(ω)(u)=Σˉu♯(ω)\Pi^\sharp(\omega)(u)=\bar{\Sigma}^\sharp_u(\omega) for ω∈Ω0♯\omega\in\Omega^\sharp_0 and Π♯(ω)(u)=x0\Pi^\sharp(\omega)(u)=x_0 for ω∉Ω0♯\omega\notin\Omega^\sharp_0. Then Πr\Pi^r and Π♯\Pi^\sharp take their values in Path\mathsf{Path} and are measurable with respect to F\mathcal{F}, respectively F♯\mathcal{F}^\sharp, and C\mathcal{C}; for every A∈CA\in\mathcal{C},

P(D0∩{Πr∈A})=P(D0) P♯(Π♯∈A);P\bigl(D_0\cap\{\Pi^r\in A\}\bigr)=P(D_0)\,P^\sharp\bigl(\Pi^\sharp\in A\bigr);

and for every function Φ:Path→[0,∞]\Phi:\mathsf{Path}\to[0,\infty] that is measurable with respect to C\mathcal{C},

∫Ω1D0 Φ(Πr) dP=P(D0)∫Ω♯Φ(Π♯) dP♯,\int_{\Omega}\mathbf{1}_{D_0}\,\Phi(\Pi^r)\,dP=P(D_0)\int_{\Omega^\sharp}\Phi(\Pi^\sharp)\,dP^\sharp ,

both sides being integrals of nonnegative measurable functions with values in [0,∞][0,\infty], the product 1D0Φ(Πr)\mathbf{1}_{D_0}\Phi(\Pi^r) being formed with the multiplication convention 0⋅∞=00\cdot\infty=0 of Image Measures, Measures with Densities, and Change of Variables.

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