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Mean-Square Linearization Residual of the State Fluctuation Process

lemmaProbabilitylem:fluctuation-linearization-residual-2026b
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Re-version onto the 2026b/c layer: template setting with the extension triple (U,V,\bar{\beta}); linear residual bound re-derived via extended-drift-regularity (ii) Lipschitz estimate; added 'A convex' hypothesis and A_2 energy; martingale-decomposition-2026c indicator integrands handled. · 8,164 chars · 29 deps · depth 20

Statement

Adopt the setting of the fluctuation processes of the controlled NN-agent dynamics: a transition-rate family β\beta on ll states with control set A\mathcal{A}, a nonempty subset of Euclidean space Rm\mathbb{R}^m, and rate bound BB, an observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta}, a horizon T>0T>0, an NN-agent driving system (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P), an observation-driven control policy hh which is A\mathcal{A}-valued, a solution on [0,T][0,T] with regular event Ω0\Omega_0, empirical state measure Σt\Sigma_t, and control αt\alpha_t, a mean-field trajectory pair (S,A)(S,A) for β\beta with horizon TT, and the fluctuation processes st=N(ΣtSt)\mathfrak{s}_t=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma_t-S_t) and at=N(αtAt)\mathfrak{a}_t=\sqrt{N}(\alpha_t-A_t). Assume that β\beta admits a twice continuously differentiable extension (U,V,βˉ)(U,V,\bar{\beta}) with derivative bound KK, that the control set A\mathcal{A} is convex, and that

A2=[0,T]E[at2]dt<,\mathcal{A}_2=\int_{[0,T]}\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{a}_t|^2\big]\,dt<\infty,

this integral being well defined in [0,][0,\infty] by clause (a) of the a priori second-moment bound; as in that lemma, the subscripted symbol A2\mathcal{A}_2 is distinct from the control set A\mathcal{A}. Let bb be the aggregate state drift of β\beta, let bˉ\bar{b} be the extended aggregate state drift of (U,V,βˉ)(U,V,\bar{\beta}), adopt the partial-derivative notation i\partial_i, ji\partial_j\partial_i of the extension definition, and let Mt=(Mtγ)γ{1,,l}M_t=(M^\gamma_t)_{\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\}} be as in the martingale decomposition. Write E\mathbb{E} for the expectation, |\cdot| for the Euclidean norm (Euclidean distance to the origin), 1D\mathbf{1}_{D} for the function equal to 11 on a set DD and 00 off DD, and set, for s[0,T]s\in[0,T],

gs=N(b(Σs,αs)b(Ss,As))Rl,zs=(ss,as)Rl+m,Λ=l(B+K)l(l+m).g_s=\sqrt{N}\,\big(b(\Sigma_s,\alpha_s)-b(S_s,A_s)\big)\in\mathbb{R}^l,\qquad z_s=(\mathfrak{s}_s,\mathfrak{a}_s)\in\mathbb{R}^{l+m},\qquad \Lambda=l\,(B+K)\,\sqrt{l\,(l+m)}.

Define, as in the statement of the completion-of-squares and coercivity theorem and with the same symbols, the linearization coefficient matrices: for s[0,T]s\in[0,T], the real l×ll\times l matrix EsE_s and the real l×ml\times m matrix Bs\mathsf{B}_s (the sans-serif Bs\mathsf{B}_s is distinct from the rate bound BB, and the matrix EsE_s is distinct from the expectation E\mathbb{E}) with entries

Esγσ=σbˉγ(Ss,As)(γ,σ{1,,l}),Bsγj=l+jbˉγ(Ss,As)(γ{1,,l}, j{1,,m}),E^{\gamma\sigma}_s=\partial_\sigma\bar{b}^\gamma(S_s,A_s)\quad(\gamma,\sigma\in\{1,\dots,l\}),\qquad\qquad \mathsf{B}^{\gamma j}_s=\partial_{l+j}\bar{b}^\gamma(S_s,A_s)\quad(\gamma\in\{1,\dots,l\},\ j\in\{1,\dots,m\}),

which are defined because SsS_s lies in the probability simplex Δl\Delta^l and AsA_s in A\mathcal{A}, so that (Ss,As)Δl×AU×V(S_s,A_s)\in\Delta^l\times\mathcal{A}\subseteq U\times V (the inclusions ΔlU\Delta^l\subseteq U and AV\mathcal{A}\subseteq V are part of the extension definition), and the partial derivatives of bˉ\bar{b} exist there by the regularity of the extended aggregate state drift. Define the linearization residual, with the matrix-vector products EsssE_s\mathfrak{s}_s and Bsas\mathsf{B}_s\mathfrak{a}_s,

es=gsEsssBsasRl(s[0,T]).e_s=g_s-E_s\mathfrak{s}_s-\mathsf{B}_s\mathfrak{a}_s\in\mathbb{R}^l\qquad(s\in[0,T]).

Then:

(a) (Pointwise bounds.) At every point of [0,T]×Ω[0,T]\times\Omega,

es  3llK(l+m)2Nzs2andes  2Λzs.|e_s|\ \le\ \frac{3\,l\,\sqrt{l}\,K\,(l+m)}{2\,\sqrt{N}}\,|z_s|^2\qquad\text{and}\qquad |e_s|\ \le\ 2\,\Lambda\,|z_s|.

The first bound coincides with part (b) of the completion-of-squares and coercivity theorem (whose constant cec_e equals 32ll(l+m)K\tfrac{3}{2}\,l\,\sqrt{l}\,(l+m)\,K); neither bound uses the hypothesis A2<\mathcal{A}_2<\infty.

(b) (Well-definedness.) Each map (s,ω)1Ω0(ω)esγ(ω)(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)\,e^\gamma_s(\omega) is measurable with respect to the product σ\sigma-algebra of the trace Borel σ\sigma-algebra on [0,T][0,T] and F\mathcal{F}, by the joint measurability of the state and control together with measurability of sequentially continuous functions of measurable Euclidean maps. The set Ωa\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}} of those ωΩ0\omega\in\Omega_0 at which the Lebesgue integral [0,T]as(ω)2ds\int_{[0,T]}|\mathfrak{a}_s(\omega)|^2\,ds is finite is an event of probability 11 (by the Tonelli theorem and A2<\mathcal{A}_2<\infty), and at each ωΩa\omega\in\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}} the section sesγ(ω)s\mapsto e^\gamma_s(\omega) is Lebesgue integrable over [0,t][0,t] for every t[0,T]t\in[0,T]. Define the residual process

Rt=[0,t]esds  componentwise at each ωΩa,Rt=0  off Ωa(t[0,T]).\mathcal{R}_t=\int_{[0,t]}e_s\,ds\ \text{ componentwise at each }\omega\in\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}},\qquad \mathcal{R}_t=0\ \text{ off }\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}}\qquad(t\in[0,T]).

Each Rtγ\mathcal{R}^\gamma_t is a random variable: the integrals over [0,t][0,t] of the positive and negative parts of 1Ω0eγ\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}e^\gamma (product-measurable, being continuous functions of it) define measurable [0,][0,\infty]-valued functions of ω\omega by the Tonelli theorem, both finite on Ωa\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}}, and Rtγ\mathcal{R}^\gamma_t is the difference of the functions equal to them on Ωa\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}} and to 00 off Ωa\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}}.

(c) (Integral form of the fluctuation dynamics.) At every ωΩa\omega\in\Omega_{\mathfrak{a}} — an event of probability 11 contained in the regular event Ω0\Omega_0, on which clause (a) of the martingale decomposition applies — and hence almost surely, for every t[0,T]t\in[0,T],

st=s0+[0,t](Esss+Bsas)ds+NMt+Rt,\mathfrak{s}_t=\mathfrak{s}_0+\int_{[0,t]}\big(E_s\mathfrak{s}_s+\mathsf{B}_s\mathfrak{a}_s\big)\,ds+\sqrt{N}\,M_t+\mathcal{R}_t,

all integrals existing componentwise at such ω\omega.

(d) (Mean-square residual bound.) For every t[0,T]t\in[0,T], with both sides valued in [0,][0,\infty],

E[Rt2]  t[0,t]E[min(3llK(l+m)2Nzs2, 2Λzs) ⁣2]ds.\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathcal{R}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ t\int_{[0,t]}\mathbb{E}\Big[\min\Big(\frac{3\,l\,\sqrt{l}\,K\,(l+m)}{2\,\sqrt{N}}\,|z_s|^2,\ 2\,\Lambda\,|z_s|\Big)^{\!2}\Big]\,ds .

Here the maps (s,ω)1Ω0(ω)min()2(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)\min(\cdots)^2 and (s,ω)1Ω0(ω)zs(ω)4(s,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)|z_s(\omega)|^4 are product-measurable, being continuous functions of the product-measurable maps of the joint measurability lemma, so the integrands sE[min()2]s\mapsto\mathbb{E}[\min(\cdots)^2] and sE[zs4]s\mapsto\mathbb{E}[|z_s|^4] (unchanged by the 1Ω0\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0} modification, Ω0\Omega_0 having probability 11) are measurable [0,][0,\infty]-valued functions of ss by the Tonelli theorem. In particular

E[Rt2]  9l3K2(l+m)24N  t[0,t]E[zs4]ds.\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathcal{R}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ \frac{9\,l^3\,K^2\,(l+m)^2}{4\,N}\;t\int_{[0,t]}\mathbb{E}\big[|z_s|^4\big]\,ds .
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