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Existence of Asymptotically Optimal-Value Observation-Driven Policies

theoremProbabilitythm:asymptotically-optimal-value-policies-2026b
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Re-version onto the current dependency layer: all references bumped to standing versions (policy lemma 2026b, cost-limit proposition 2026c, identification corollary 2026b, dynamics/cost/fluctuation definitions), removing every redacted and superseded dependency. Adopts hypothesis (C) explicitly; adds convexity of the control set and (H5), scoped to conclusion 2 and the final sentence of conclusion 3, as required by the cost-limit proposition; records that the approximate Kalman policy is A-valued and that beta-sharp has control set A x R^l, matching the clamped policy of the policy lemma; states the metric continuity convention; routes Riemann-Lebesgue agreement through claim 3 of the interval toolkit; writes the model data as (A^o, eps^o, ...) as in the corollary; states nonemptiness of the matched coefficient class for Brownian dimension l*l+ltilde. · 8,086 chars · 31 deps · depth 36

Statement

Adopt the setting, hypotheses (H1)--(H4) and (C), and notation of the approximate Kalman filter and policy lemma, for the fluctuation LQG data of the stationary mean-field triple (S,A,P)(S,A,P), whose stationary co-state PP has value P0=(P01,,P0l)P_0=(P^1_0,\dots,P^l_0) at time 00: in particular the natural numbers l2l\ge2, m1m\ge1, l~1\tilde{l}\ge1, the control set A\mathcal{A} (a nonempty subset of Rm\mathbb{R}^m), the transition-rate family β\beta, with control set A\mathcal{A}, and the observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta}, together with their extensions, the cost extension of the population cost data (L,G)(L,G), the horizon T>0T>0, the matrices Et\mathcal{E}_t, Bt\mathcal{B}_t, E~t\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_t, Θt\Theta^\star_t, Θ~t\tilde{\Theta}^\star_t of the fluctuation LQG data, the symmetrized coefficient matrices QtQ_t, VtV_t, RtR_t, F^\hat{F} --- each RtR_t symmetric positive definite with continuous inverse by conclusion 1 of the policy lemma --- the Riccati family Z=(Zt)t[0,T]Z=(Z_t)_{t\in[0,T]} of (H2), fixed throughout, with Wt=ZtBt+12VtW_t=Z_t\mathcal{B}_t+\tfrac12V_t, the matrix Π0\Pi_0 of (H4), and the filter covariance Π=(Πt)t[0,T]\Pi=(\Pi_t)_{t\in[0,T]} of conclusion 2 of the policy lemma. Throughout, a real-valued function on a subinterval II of the real numbers R\mathbb{R} is called continuous on II when it is continuous relative to II, both II and the codomain R\mathbb{R} carrying the metric of the real line. For conclusion 2 below, which invokes the cost-limit proposition, and for the final sentence of conclusion 3, which combines conclusion 2 with the minimum identity, assume in addition the two hypotheses that the proposition carries beyond (H1)--(H4) and (C): that the control set A\mathcal{A} is convex, and hypothesis (H5) there, namely that there is a real ϱ>0\varrho>0 such that every aRma\in\mathbb{R}^m with aAtϱ|a-A_t|\le\varrho lies in A\mathcal{A}, for every t[0,T]t\in[0,T] (as that proposition records, these two together with (C) and the boundedness of the control-side open set VAV\supseteq\mathcal{A} of the transition-rate extension --- the letter VV here being unrelated to the matrices VtV_t and to the number VV^{*} defined below --- make A\mathcal{A} a closed, bounded, convex subset of Rm\mathbb{R}^m). The definition of VV^{*}, conclusion 1, and all of conclusion 3 except its final sentence do not use these two hypotheses. All entries of the maps tZtt\mapsto Z_t (part of (H2)), tBtt\mapsto\mathcal{B}_t, tVtt\mapsto V_t, tΘtt\mapsto\Theta^\star_t, and tRt1t\mapsto R_t^{-1} (conclusion 1 of the policy lemma), and tΠtt\mapsto\Pi_t (conclusion 2 there) are continuous on [0,T][0,T]; hence, with the matrix pairing AB=γ,δ=1lAγδBγδA'\cdot B'=\sum_{\gamma,\delta=1}^{l}A'^{\gamma\delta}B'^{\gamma\delta} of the cost-limit proposition, the map tZtΘt+(WtRt1Wt)Πtt\mapsto Z_t\cdot\Theta^\star_t+(W_tR_t^{-1}W_t^{\top})\cdot\Pi_t is continuous on [0,T][0,T] by sums and products of continuous functions. Define the real number

V  =  Z0Π0  +  [0,T](ZtΘt+(WtRt1Wt)Πt)dt,V^{*}\;=\;Z_0\cdot\Pi_0\;+\;\int_{[0,T]}\Big(Z_t\cdot\Theta^\star_t+\big(W_tR_t^{-1}W_t^{\top}\big)\cdot\Pi_t\Big)\,dt\,,

the integral being the Lebesgue integral over the compact interval [0,T][0,T] of this continuous integrand, which agrees with its Riemann integral by claim 3 of that interval toolkit. Then:

1. (Existence of the policies.) For each natural number N1N\ge1 the approximate Kalman policy hNh^N of conclusion 3 of the policy lemma is an observation-driven control policy with horizon TT, control dimension mm, and l~\tilde{l} channels, and it is A\mathcal{A}-valued; and for every NN-agent driving system with ll states and l~\tilde{l} observation channels there is a projected solution of the controlled NN-agent dynamics on [0,T][0,T] for β\beta, β~\tilde{\beta}, that driving system, and hNh^N, as in conclusion 4(a) of the policy lemma --- the state processes, observation processes, and regular event of a solution for the modified family β\beta^{\sharp} and policy hh^{\sharp} of conclusion 3 there, with the control process replaced by the vector of its first mm components --- and every solution for β\beta, β~\tilde{\beta}, that driving system, and hNh^N is indistinguishable from it in the sense of the uniqueness theorem.

2. (Asymptotic value.) Suppose that for each N1N\ge1 such a driving system and projected solution are fixed, with empirical state measure ΣtN\Sigma^N_t as in the solution definition and state fluctuation process stN=N(ΣtNSt)\mathfrak{s}^N_t=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma^N_t-S_t), and that the initial-condition hypotheses (I1)--(I2) of the cost-limit proposition hold for these solutions: E[s0N,γs0N,δ]Π0γδ\mathbb{E}[\mathfrak{s}^{N,\gamma}_0\mathfrak{s}^{N,\delta}_0]\to\Pi^{\gamma\delta}_0 as NN\to\infty for all γ,δ{1,,l}\gamma,\delta\in\{1,\dots,l\}, and sup{E[s0N4]:N1}<\sup\{\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{s}^N_0|^4]:N\ge1\}<\infty, with the expectation. Let JN[hN]J^N[h^N] be the NN-agent cost of the solution at level NN, let JMFJ^{MF} be the mean-field cost of (S,A)(S,A), and set ζN=N(E[Σ0N]S0)Rl\zeta_N=N(\mathbb{E}[\Sigma^N_0]-S_0)\in\mathbb{R}^l with the componentwise expectation, as in the cost-limit proposition. Then each N(JN[hN]JMF)+γ=1lP0γζNγN(J^N[h^N]-J^{MF})+\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}P^\gamma_0\zeta^\gamma_N is a well-defined real number and

limN (N(JN[hN]JMF)+γ=1lP0γζNγ)  =  V.\lim_{N\to\infty}\ \Big(N\big(J^N[h^N]-J^{MF}\big)+\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}P^\gamma_0\,\zeta^\gamma_N\Big)\;=\;V^{*}.

3. (Optimality of the value.) For every linear-Gaussian state-observation model on [0,T][0,T] with state dimension ll, observation dimension l~\tilde{l}, and any Brownian dimension m1m^\circ\ge1, its data written (A,ε,E~,ε~,ξ,W)(A^\circ,\varepsilon^\circ,\tilde{E}^\circ,\tilde{\varepsilon}^\circ,\xi,W^\circ) as in the identification corollary and matched to the fluctuation LQG data as in hypotheses (i)--(iii) there --- a class of coefficient data that is nonempty, by conclusion 3 of that corollary, already for Brownian dimension ll+l~l\cdot l+\tilde{l} --- with the control dimension of the controlled system taken to be mm, the control matrix assignment sending each t[0,T]t\in[0,T] to Bt\mathcal{B}_t, and the cost data QtQ_t, 12Vt\tfrac12V_t (entrywise), RtR_t, F^\hat{F}, all as in the corollary, the linear-quadratic-Gaussian cost JJ attains a minimum over the extended admissible controls with values in Rm\mathbb{R}^{m}, and

minJ  =  V.\min J\;=\;V^{*}.

In particular, under the hypotheses of conclusion 2 --- the driving systems and projected solutions fixed there, (I1)--(I2), and the two additional hypotheses --- the recentred limiting cost of conclusion 2 along the approximate Kalman policies equals this minimal LQG cost.

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