Existence of Asymptotically Optimal-Value Observation-Driven Policies

theoremProbabilitythm:asymptotically-optimal-value-policies-2026a
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron Β·
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Reason: B3 packaging theorem: single citable headline statement of the cost half of the paper's Proposition prop:approximate_solution - existence of observation-driven policies (the approximate Kalman policies) whose recentred normalized N-agent cost converges to the optimal value of the matched fluctuation LQG problem. Combines lem:approximate-kalman-policy-2026a, prop:kalman-policy-cost-limit-2026a, and cor:kalman-policy-limit-is-lqg-value-2026a.

Statement

Adopt the setting, hypotheses \textbf{(H1)}--\textbf{(H4)}, and notation of the \reftext{lem:approximate-kalman-policy-2026a}{approximate Kalman filter and policy lemma}, for the \reftext{def:fluctuation-lqg-data-2026a}{fluctuation LQG data} of the \reftext{def:stationary-mean-field-triple-2026b}{stationary mean-field triple} (S,A,P)(S,A,P), whose stationary co-state PP has value P0=(P01,…,P0l)P_0=(P^1_0,\dots,P^l_0) at time 00: in particular the \reftext{def:natural-numbers-2026a}{natural numbers} lβ‰₯2l\ge2, mβ‰₯1m\ge1, l~β‰₯1\tilde{l}\ge1, the \reftext{def:transition-rate-family-2026a}{transition-rate family} Ξ²\beta and \reftext{def:observation-rate-family-2026a}{observation-rate family} Ξ²~\tilde{\beta} with their extensions, the \reftext{def:c2-population-cost-extension-2026b}{cost extension} of the \reftext{def:population-cost-data-2026a}{population cost data} (L,G)(L,G), the horizon T>0T>0, the matrices Et\mathcal{E}_t, Bt\mathcal{B}_t, E~t\tilde{\mathcal{E}}_t, Θt⋆\Theta^\star_t, Θ~t⋆\tilde{\Theta}^\star_t of the fluctuation LQG data, the symmetrized coefficient matrices QtQ_t, VtV_t, RtR_t, F^\hat{F} --- each RtR_t symmetric positive definite with continuous inverse by conclusion 1 of the policy lemma --- the Riccati family Z=(Zt)t∈[0,T]Z=(Z_t)_{t\in[0,T]} of (H2), fixed throughout, with Wt=ZtBt+12VtW_t=Z_t\mathcal{B}_t+\tfrac12V_t, the matrix Ξ 0\Pi_0 of (H4), and the filter covariance Ξ =(Ξ t)t∈[0,T]\Pi=(\Pi_t)_{t\in[0,T]} of conclusion 2 of the policy lemma. All entries of the maps t↦Ztt\mapsto Z_t (part of (H2)), t↦Btt\mapsto\mathcal{B}_t, t↦Vtt\mapsto V_t, tβ†¦Ξ˜t⋆t\mapsto\Theta^\star_t, and t↦Rtβˆ’1t\mapsto R_t^{-1} (conclusion 1 of the policy lemma), and t↦Πtt\mapsto\Pi_t (conclusion 2 there) are \reftext{def:continuity-closed-interval-c54-2026b}{continuous} on [0,T][0,T]; hence, with the matrix pairing Aβ€²β‹…Bβ€²=βˆ‘Ξ³,Ξ΄=1lAβ€²Ξ³Ξ΄Bβ€²Ξ³Ξ΄A'\cdot B'=\sum_{\gamma,\delta=1}^{l}A'^{\gamma\delta}B'^{\gamma\delta} of \reftext{prop:kalman-policy-cost-limit-2026a}{the cost-limit proposition}, the map t↦Ztβ‹…Ξ˜t⋆+(WtRtβˆ’1Wt⊀)β‹…Ξ tt\mapsto Z_t\cdot\Theta^\star_t+(W_tR_t^{-1}W_t^{\top})\cdot\Pi_t is continuous on [0,T][0,T] by \reftext{thm:sum-product-continuous-real-2026a}{sums and products of continuous functions}. Define the real number

Vβˆ—β€…β€Š=β€…β€ŠZ0β‹…Ξ 0β€…β€Š+β€…β€Šβˆ«[0,T](Ztβ‹…Ξ˜t⋆+(WtRtβˆ’1Wt⊀)β‹…Ξ t) dt ,V^{*}\;=\;Z_0\cdot\Pi_0\;+\;\int_{[0,T]}\Big(Z_t\cdot\Theta^\star_t+\big(W_tR_t^{-1}W_t^{\top}\big)\cdot\Pi_t\Big)\,dt\,,

the integral being the \reftext{lem:interval-lebesgue-toolkit-2026a}{Lebesgue integral over the compact interval} [0,T][0,T] of this continuous integrand, which \reftext{lem:riemann-lebesgue-integral-agree-2026a}{agrees} with its Riemann integral. Then:

\textbf{1. (Existence of the policies.)} For each natural number Nβ‰₯1N\ge1 the approximate Kalman policy hNh^N of conclusion 3 of the policy lemma is an \reftext{def:observation-driven-control-policy-2026a}{observation-driven control policy} with horizon TT, control dimension mm, and l~\tilde{l} channels; and for every \reftext{def:n-agent-driving-system-2026a}{NN-agent driving system} with ll states and l~\tilde{l} observation channels there is a projected \reftext{def:n-agent-controlled-dynamics-2026a}{solution of the controlled NN-agent dynamics} on [0,T][0,T] for Ξ²\beta, Ξ²~\tilde{\beta}, that driving system, and hNh^N, as in conclusion 4(a) of the policy lemma --- the state processes, observation processes, and regular event of a solution for the modified family Ξ²β™―\beta^{\sharp} and policy hβ™―h^{\sharp} of conclusion 3 there, with the control process replaced by the vector of its first mm components --- and every solution for Ξ²\beta, Ξ²~\tilde{\beta}, that driving system, and hNh^N is indistinguishable from it in the sense of the \reftext{thm:n-agent-dynamics-existence-2026a}{uniqueness theorem}.

\textbf{2. (Asymptotic value.)} Suppose that for each Nβ‰₯1N\ge1 such a driving system and projected solution are fixed, with empirical state measure Ξ£tN\Sigma^N_t as in the solution definition and \reftext{def:n-agent-fluctuation-processes-2026a}{state fluctuation process} stN=N(Ξ£tNβˆ’St)\mathfrak{s}^N_t=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma^N_t-S_t), and that the initial-condition hypotheses (I1)--(I2) of \reftext{prop:kalman-policy-cost-limit-2026a}{the cost-limit proposition} hold for these solutions: E[s0N,Ξ³s0N,Ξ΄]β†’Ξ 0Ξ³Ξ΄\mathbb{E}[\mathfrak{s}^{N,\gamma}_0\mathfrak{s}^{N,\delta}_0]\to\Pi^{\gamma\delta}_0 as Nβ†’βˆžN\to\infty for all Ξ³,δ∈{1,…,l}\gamma,\delta\in\{1,\dots,l\}, and sup⁑{E[∣s0N∣4]:Nβ‰₯1}<∞\sup\{\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{s}^N_0|^4]:N\ge1\}<\infty, with the \reftext{def:expectation-variance-2026a}{expectation}. Let JN[hN]J^N[h^N] be the \reftext{def:n-agent-cost-2026a}{NN-agent cost} of the solution at level NN, let JMFJ^{MF} be the \reftext{def:mean-field-cost-2026a}{mean-field cost} of (S,A)(S,A), and set ΞΆN=N(E[Ξ£0N]βˆ’S0)∈Rl\zeta_N=N(\mathbb{E}[\Sigma^N_0]-S_0)\in\mathbb{R}^l with the componentwise expectation, as in the cost-limit proposition. Then each N(JN[hN]βˆ’JMF)+βˆ‘Ξ³=1lP0Ξ³ΞΆNΞ³N(J^N[h^N]-J^{MF})+\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}P^\gamma_0\zeta^\gamma_N is a well-defined real number and

lim⁑Nβ†’βˆžΒ (N(JN[hN]βˆ’JMF)+βˆ‘Ξ³=1lP0γ ΢NΞ³)β€…β€Š=β€…β€ŠVβˆ—.\lim_{N\to\infty}\ \Big(N\big(J^N[h^N]-J^{MF}\big)+\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}P^\gamma_0\,\zeta^\gamma_N\Big)\;=\;V^{*}.

\textbf{3. (Optimality of the value.)} For every \reftext{def:linear-gaussian-state-observation-model-2026a}{linear-Gaussian state-observation model} on [0,T][0,T] with state dimension ll, observation dimension l~\tilde{l}, and any Brownian dimension m∘β‰₯1m^\circ\ge1, matched to the fluctuation LQG data as in hypotheses (i)--(iii) of \reftext{cor:kalman-policy-limit-is-lqg-value-2026a}{the identification corollary} --- a nonempty class of coefficient data by conclusion 3 of that corollary --- with the control dimension of the \reftext{def:controlled-linear-gaussian-dynamics-2026a}{controlled system} taken to be mm, the control matrix assignment sending each t∈[0,T]t\in[0,T] to Bt\mathcal{B}_t, and the \reftext{def:lqg-cost-functional-2026a}{cost data} QtQ_t, 12Vt\tfrac12V_t (entrywise), RtR_t, F^\hat{F}, all as in the corollary, the \reftext{def:extended-lqg-cost-2026a}{linear-quadratic-Gaussian cost} JJ attains a minimum over the \reftext{def:extended-admissible-control-2026a}{extended admissible controls} with values in Rm\mathbb{R}^{m}, and

min⁑Jβ€…β€Š=β€…β€ŠVβˆ—.\min J\;=\;V^{*}.

In particular, the recentred limiting cost of conclusion 2 along the approximate Kalman policies equals this minimal LQG cost.

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