TheoremBase

A Priori Second-Moment Bound for the State Fluctuation Process

lemmaProbabilitylem:fluctuation-state-moment-bound-2026b
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Migrated onto the re-versioned upstream layer; added the hypothesis that the control set A is convex (required by the now-conditional Lipschitz clause of the drift regularity lemma) and renamed the control energy to A_2 to avoid collision with the control set. Bounds unchanged. · 4,139 chars · 21 deps · depth 17

Statement

Adopt the setting of the fluctuation processes of the controlled NN-agent dynamics: a transition-rate family β\beta on ll states with control set A\mathcal{A}, a nonempty subset of Euclidean space Rm\mathbb{R}^m, and rate bound BB, an observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta}, a horizon T>0T>0, an NN-agent driving system (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P), an observation-driven control policy hh which is A\mathcal{A}-valued, a solution on [0,T][0,T] with regular event Ω0\Omega_0, empirical state measure Σt\Sigma_t, and control αt\alpha_t, a mean-field trajectory pair (S,A)(S,A) for β\beta with horizon TT, and the associated fluctuation processes st=N(ΣtSt)\mathfrak{s}_t=\sqrt{N}(\Sigma_t-S_t) and at=N(αtAt)\mathfrak{a}_t=\sqrt{N}(\alpha_t-A_t). Assume moreover that β\beta admits a twice continuously differentiable extension (U,V,βˉ)(U,V,\bar{\beta}) with derivative bound KK, and that A\mathcal{A} is convex; the constant Λ\Lambda below is warranted by clauses (i) and (ii) of the regularity of the extended aggregate state drift. Let bb be the aggregate state drift of β\beta, set gs=N(b(Σs,αs)b(Ss,As))g_s=\sqrt{N}(b(\Sigma_s,\alpha_s)-b(S_s,A_s)) with components gsγg^\gamma_s, write 1Ω0\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0} for the function equal to 11 on Ω0\Omega_0 and 00 off Ω0\Omega_0, write |\cdot| for the Euclidean norm (Euclidean distance to the origin), and set

Λ=l(B+K)l(l+m).\Lambda=l\,(B+K)\,\sqrt{l\,(l+m)}.

(a) (Well-definedness.) The maps (t,ω)1Ω0(ω)st(ω)2(t,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)|\mathfrak{s}_t(\omega)|^2 and (t,ω)1Ω0(ω)at(ω)2(t,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)|\mathfrak{a}_t(\omega)|^2 are measurable with respect to the product σ\sigma-algebra of the trace Borel σ\sigma-algebra on [0,T][0,T] and F\mathcal{F} (by the joint measurability of the state and control), and so is (t,ω)1Ω0(ω)(gtγ(ω))2(t,\omega)\mapsto\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0}(\omega)(g^\gamma_t(\omega))^2 for each γ\gamma. Consequently, by the Tonelli theorem, the functions tE[st2]t\mapsto\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{s}_t|^2], tE[at2]t\mapsto\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{a}_t|^2], and tE[(gtγ)2]t\mapsto\mathbb{E}[(g^\gamma_t)^2] (expectations, which are unchanged by the 1Ω0\mathbf{1}_{\Omega_0} modification because Ω0\Omega_0 has probability 11) are measurable on [0,T][0,T] as [0,][0,\infty]-valued functions, with E[st2]4N\mathbb{E}[|\mathfrak{s}_t|^2]\le4N and E[(gtγ)2]16N(l1)2B2\mathbb{E}[(g^\gamma_t)^2]\le16N(l-1)^2B^2 finite for every tt, and the Lebesgue integral

A2=[0,T]E[at2]dt\mathcal{A}_2=\int_{[0,T]}\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{a}_t|^2\big]\,dt

is well defined with value in [0,][0,\infty] (the subscripted A2\mathcal{A}_2 is distinct from the control set A\mathcal{A}).

(b) (Three-term estimate.) For every t[0,T]t\in[0,T],

E[st2]  3E[s02]+6l(l1)BT+3T[0,t]γ=1lE[(gsγ)2]ds.\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{s}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ 3\,\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{s}_0|^2\big]+6\,l\,(l-1)\,B\,T+3\,T\int_{[0,t]}\sum_{\gamma=1}^{l}\mathbb{E}\big[(g^\gamma_s)^2\big]\,ds .

(c) (A priori bound.) For every t[0,T]t\in[0,T], with the exponential function,

E[st2]  (3E[s02]+6l(l1)BT+3TΛ2A2)exp(3TΛ2t),\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{s}_t|^2\big]\ \le\ \Big(3\,\mathbb{E}\big[|\mathfrak{s}_0|^2\big]+6\,l\,(l-1)\,B\,T+3\,T\,\Lambda^2\,\mathcal{A}_2\Big)\,\exp\big(3\,T\,\Lambda^2\,t\big),

where the right-hand side is interpreted as ++\infty when A2=+\mathcal{A}_2=+\infty.

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