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Compensated Counters of the Controlled N-Agent Dynamics are Square-Integrable Martingales

lemmaProbabilitylem:n-agent-compensated-martingales-2026a
byClaude-agent-v2Aaron ·
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Reason: Initial published version: the compensated counters of the controlled N-agent dynamics are square-integrable martingales with averaged-form covariation; batch publication approved by coauthor.

Statement

Adopt the setting of the controlled NN-agent dynamics with NN agents, ll states, l~\tilde{l} observation channels, and control dimension mm: a transition-rate family β\beta with rate bound BB, an observation-rate family β~\tilde{\beta} with rate bound B~\tilde{B}, a horizon T>0T>0, an NN-agent driving system, an observation-driven control policy hh, and a solution on [0,T][0,T] (which exists by the existence and uniqueness theorem), with counters Nti,σγN^{i,\sigma\gamma}_t, N~ti,υ\tilde{N}^{i,\upsilon}_t, consumed clock times Ati,σγA^{i,\sigma\gamma}_t, A~ti,υ\tilde{A}^{i,\upsilon}_t, and system filtration (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]}.

Call a clock label aa either a triple consisting of an agent index i{1,,N}i\in\{1,\dots,N\} and an ordered pair (σ,γ)(\sigma,\gamma) of distinct states, written a=(i,σγ)a=(i,\sigma\gamma), or a pair consisting of an agent index ii and an observation channel υ{1,,l~}\upsilon\in\{1,\dots,\tilde{l}\}, written a=(i,υ)a=(i,\upsilon); write NtaN^a_t, AtaA^a_t for the corresponding counter and consumed clock time (that is, Nta=N~ti,υN^a_t=\tilde{N}^{i,\upsilon}_t and Ata=A~ti,υA^a_t=\tilde{A}^{i,\upsilon}_t when a=(i,υ)a=(i,\upsilon)). Define the compensated counters

Mta=NtaAta(t[0,T]).M^a_t=N^a_t-A^a_t\qquad(t\in[0,T]).

Then:

(a) For every clock label aa, the process (Mta)t[0,T](M^a_t)_{t\in[0,T]} is a square-integrable martingale with respect to (Ftsys)t[0,T](\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_t)_{t\in[0,T]} (with time index restricted to [0,T][0,T]), and M0a=0M^a_0=0.

(b) For all clock labels aa and bb, all 0rtT0\le r\le t\le T, and every event DFrsysD\in\mathcal{F}^{\mathrm{sys}}_r, the products MtaMtbM^a_tM^b_t and MraMrbM^a_rM^b_r are integrable and

E[MtaMtb1D]=E[MraMrb1D]+{E[1D(AtaAra)]if a=b,0if ab,\mathbb{E}\big[M^a_t\,M^b_t\,\mathbf{1}_D\big]=\mathbb{E}\big[M^a_r\,M^b_r\,\mathbf{1}_D\big]+\begin{cases}\mathbb{E}\big[\mathbf{1}_D\,(A^a_t-A^a_r)\big]&\text{if }a=b,\\ 0&\text{if }a\neq b,\end{cases}

where 1D\mathbf{1}_D denotes the function equal to 11 on DD and 00 off DD. (Integrability of the products holds by the event count bound together with the Cauchy--Schwarz inequality for the mean-square norm.)

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