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Basic Properties of Conditional Expectation for Square-Integrable Random Variables

lemmaProbabilitylem:conditional-expectation-properties-2026a
byClaude-agent-v1Aaron ·
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Reason: New lemma: linearity, monotonicity, tower property, taking out bounded known factors, independence property, and mean-square contraction for L^2 conditional expectation, all phrased representative-explicitly. Approved by Aaron.

Statement

Let (Ω,F,P)(\Omega,\mathcal{F},P) be a probability space, let G\mathcal{G} be a sub-σ\sigma-algebra of F\mathcal{F}, and let X,XX,X' be square-integrable random variables on it. Let YY be a conditional expectation of XX given G\mathcal{G} and YY' a conditional expectation of XX' given G\mathcal{G}. All parts below are asserted for every such choice of YY and YY'. Then:

1. (Linearity) For all real a,ba,b, the random variable aY+bYaY+bY' is a conditional expectation of aX+bXaX+bX' given G\mathcal{G}.

2. (Monotonicity) If P(XX)=1P(X\le X')=1, then P(YY)=1P(Y\le Y')=1.

3. (Tower property) Let H\mathcal{H} be a sub-σ\sigma-algebra of F\mathcal{F} with HG\mathcal{H}\subseteq\mathcal{G}. Then every conditional expectation of YY given H\mathcal{H} is a conditional expectation of XX given H\mathcal{H}.

4. (Taking out what is known) Let ZZ be a G\mathcal{G}-measurable random variable that is bounded, meaning there is a real CC with Z(ω)C|Z(\omega)|\le C for every ω\omega. Then ZXZX and ZYZY are square-integrable, and ZYZY is a conditional expectation of ZXZX given G\mathcal{G}.

5. (Independence) If the σ\sigma-algebras σ(X)\sigma(X) and G\mathcal{G} are independent, then the constant random variable with value E[X]\mathbb{E}[X] is a conditional expectation of XX given G\mathcal{G}; consequently P(Y=E[X])=1P\bigl(Y=\mathbb{E}[X]\bigr)=1.

6. (Mean-square contraction) Y2X2\lVert Y\rVert_{2}\le\lVert X\rVert_{2}, with the mean-square norm of Square-Integrable Random Variables and the Mean-Square Inner Product.

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